Joselyne Edwards vs Priscila Cachoeira
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez
Saturday, August 9, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Performance Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Performance Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Joselyne Edwards
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Chelsea Chandler | W | TKO - Hooks (R1, 2:31) |
| 2024-10-19 | Tamires Vidal | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R3, 4:33) |
| 2024-06-01 | Ailín Pérez | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-09-02 | Nora Cornolle | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-04-15 | Lucie Pudilová | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Priscila Cachoeira
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Josiane Nunes | W | TKO - Uppercut (R1, 2:46) |
| 2024-01-20 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | L | Submission - D'Arce Choke (R3, 4:21) |
| 2023-07-29 | Miranda Maverick | L | Submission - Armbar (R3, 2:11) |
| 2022-08-13 | Ariane Lipski da Silva | W | TKO - Punches (R1, 1:05) |
| 2022-02-26 | Ji Yeon Kim | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (60 vs -10 normalized) and Grappling Composite (139 vs 102 normalized). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration (13:42 vs 9:07), striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🎯 Joselyne Edwards Key Advantages
5-inch reach advantage with superior striking volume (4.62 vs 4.03 SLpM) and accuracy (54% vs 44%)
Absorbs 3.20 strikes per minute vs Cachoeira's 7.15 - massive defensive advantage
1.31 takedowns per 15min vs 0.15 with submission threats (0.55 attempts per 15min)
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Edwards' range control and defensive superiority make distance fighting challenging
Extended striking exchanges favor Edwards' superior accuracy and defensive skills
📋 Likely Gameplan
Utilize 5-inch reach advantage to control distance and pick apart Cachoeira from the outside
Use volume kicking to slow down Cachoeira's aggressive forward pressure
💥 Priscila Cachoeira Key Advantages
Dangerous knockout power with 0.45 knockdowns per fight - can end fights instantly
Marauding pocket brawler style that thrives in smaller cage environments
Shorter fight duration (9:07 vs 13:42) shows ability to end fights quickly
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Edwards' takedown defense (61%) could be vulnerable to prolonged grappling exchanges
Getting drawn into brawling exchanges could favor Cachoeira's power punching
📋 Likely Gameplan
Utilize 5-inch reach advantage to control distance and pick apart Cachoeira from the outside
Use volume kicking to slow down Cachoeira's aggressive forward pressure
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🎯Technical Breakdown
This strawweight bout showcases a classic range striker versus pressure fighter dynamic. Edwards brings significant physical advantages with her 5-inch reach differential (70" vs 65") and superior technical metrics across all categories. Her 14.6% advantage in striking volume (4.62 vs 4.03 SLpM) combined with 54% accuracy against Cachoeira's 44% creates a compelling case for range control. Most importantly, Edwards absorbs 123% fewer strikes per minute (3.20 vs 7.15), demonstrating exceptional defensive awareness that could prove decisive in a three-round fight.
⚡Power vs Precision
Cachoeira's primary path to victory lies in her knockout power, evidenced by 0.45 knockdowns per fight and her ability to end fights quickly (9:07 average duration vs Edwards' 13:42). Her aggressive pressure style and willingness to engage in pocket exchanges creates dangerous moments for any opponent. However, Edwards' superior defensive positioning and range management should limit these opportunities significantly. The key question becomes whether Cachoeira can force the type of chaotic exchanges that favor her power punching before Edwards establishes her preferred range and rhythm.
🔄Grappling Factor
Edwards' grappling advantage (1.31 vs 0.15 takedowns per 15 minutes) adds another dimension to her offensive arsenal. While her 61% takedown defense could be vulnerable to sustained pressure, Cachoeira's minimal takedown volume (0.15 per 15 minutes) suggests grappling won't be her primary strategy. Edwards' 0.55 submission attempts per 15 minutes provide additional finishing opportunities if the fight goes to the ground, creating multiple paths to victory through both striking and grappling.
🏁Victory Scenarios
Edwards' victory likely unfolds through consistent volume striking from range, using her reach advantage to frustrate Cachoeira's forward pressure while landing precise combinations. Her superior cardio and defensive awareness suggest she'll be more effective in the later rounds if the fight extends beyond 10 minutes. The most probable outcome sees Edwards controlling range early, weathering any aggressive flurries from Cachoeira, and pulling away decisively in rounds 2-3.
Cachoeira's path requires early aggression and creating chaotic exchanges where her power can be maximized. Her 9:07 average fight duration indicates she either wins early or struggles with extended contests. She must pressure Edwards immediately, cut off the cage effectively, and look for explosive combinations in the pocket. The window for victory likely closes significantly after the first round if Edwards establishes her preferred range and rhythm.
🎲Final Prediction
While Cachoeira possesses legitimate knockout power and the ability to end fights quickly, Edwards' comprehensive advantages in striking volume, accuracy, defense, and grappling create multiple paths to victory. The 74-26 split reflects both the quality of Edwards' technical advantages and the inherent danger that comes with facing a power puncher in MMA. Edwards should control this fight from range, dictating the pace and distance while staying alert to Cachoeira's explosive moments. The most likely outcome sees Edwards winning a clear decision through superior volume, accuracy, and defensive positioning.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Detailed value assessment in the betting market
📊Market Odds
Method Props
🤖Analytical Model
Model Props (Estimated Odds)
💎Value Opportunities
MAXIMUM VALUE
Model: 20% | Market: 12.5%
GOOD VALUE
Model: 50% | Market: 50%
SLIGHT VALUE
Model: 74% | Market: 64.3%
🎯Highest Probability Bets
💎Value Opportunities Analysis
- • Best Value: Cachoeira by KO/TKO (+700) - Model shows 20% probability vs 12.5% market implied
- • High Value: Over 2.5 Rounds (-180) - Model 74% vs 64.3% market implied
- • Good Value: Edwards by Decision (+100) - Model 50% vs 50% market implied
- • Fair Value: Edwards Moneyline (-370) - Model 74% vs 78.7% market implied
- • Overvalued: Under 2.5 Rounds (+150) - Market overpricing the early finish
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🎯Outcome Distribution - Edwards
67.6% of her wins | Volume striking dominance
20.3% of her wins | Counter-striking opportunities
12.2% of her wins | Grappling pressure threat
💥Outcome Distribution - Cachoeira
76.9% of her wins | Primary finishing method
19.2% of her wins | Pressure volume path
0% career submissions | Minimal threat
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
💥Window of Opportunity - Cachoeira
- • First 5 minutes: Maximum power advantage before Edwards settles
- • Early Round 1: 4 of 13 career wins in first round
- • Pressure sequences: Plant-and-fire right hook combinations
- • Cage advantage: Smaller space reduces Edwards' mobility
🎯Progressive Dominance - Edwards
- • Rounds 2-3: Volume and accuracy advantages compound
- • Distance control: Jab-teep matrix neutralizes pressure
- • Cardio superiority: Maintains pace while opponent fades
- • Grappling threat: Takedown mixing keeps opponent guessing
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
High confidence due to convergent data
✅Supporting Factors
- • Data convergence across all metrics
- • Significant defensive superiority
- • Physical advantages (reach, age)
- • Superior cardio & volume output
- • Positive momentum (3-2 vs 1-4)
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Cachoeira's knockout power
- • Smaller cage environment
- • Edwards' defensive lapses
- • Women's MMA volatility
- • Pressure fighting in close quarters
🏁Executive Summary
This strawweight matchup presents a compelling study in contrasts: Edwards' systematic technical advantages versus Cachoeira's power-based upset potential. Edwards dominates virtually every efficiency metric - striking volume (+14.6%), accuracy (+22.7%), and most critically, defensive efficiency (+123% better absorption rate). The 5-inch reach advantage and superior cardio create clear paths to victory through volume striking and distance control.
However, Cachoeira's legitimate knockout power (0.45 knockdowns per fight) and early-round finishing ability provide a narrow but real path to victory. The smaller cage environment slightly favors the Brazilian's pressure approach, and Edwards' defensive lapses (absorbing 3.20 per minute) create windows for power shots.
Prediction: Edwards' systematic advantages across striking, grappling, and cardio suggest she wins approximately 3 of 4 hypothetical matchups. The most likely outcome is a technical decision victory where Edwards establishes range control early and gradually accumulates volume throughout the 15-minute duration. Market efficiency is high with odds accurately reflecting the statistical reality, offering limited value opportunities beyond Edwards by decision at fair odds.