Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana
Light Heavyweight Division • UFC Fight Night: Abu Dhabi
Saturday, July 26, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Striker Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Mixed Martial Artist Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Ibo Aslan
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Ion Cutelaba | L | Submission - Arm Triangle Choke (R1, 2:51) |
| 2024-10-26 | Raffael Cerqueira | W | TKO (Punches) (R1, 0:50) |
| 2024-03-30 | Anton Turkalj | W | TKO (Overhand Right) (R3, 1:32) |
| 2023-08-15 | Paulo Renato Jr. | W | TKO (Punches) (R1, 2:22) |
| 2023-03-18 | Giorgi Kubejashvili | W | TKO (Low Kick & Punches) (R1, 1:30) |
Last 5 Fights - Billy Elekana
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | Bogdan Guskov | L | Submission - Guillotine Choke (R2, 3:33) |
| 2024-07-27 | Jureall Simmons | W | KO/TKO (Punches) (R1, 1:58) |
| 2023-08-04 | Chuck Campbell | W | Decision - Split (R3, 15:00) |
| 2023-03-10 | Tristan Overvig | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 15:00) |
| 2022-07-29 | Daniel Compton | L | Decision - Split (R3, 15:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (82 vs 58) and Grappling Composite (15 vs 75). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration (4:24 vs 8:33), striking rate per minute, and fight finish patterns. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
💥 Ibo Aslan Key Advantages
Elite 7.84 SLpM vs 2.34 - massive striking volume advantage with 100% KO finish rate
12 of 14 victories in Round 1 - devastating early pressure and power shots
0.5" reach advantage and 5 lbs heavier - better leverage for power strikes
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
If Billy survives early onslaught, Aslan's explosive style may fade in later rounds
Billy's superior grappling could neutralize striking advantages in clinch situations
📋 Likely Gameplan
Mix leg kicks to soften defenses, then unload power strikes in first 5 minutes
Stay on feet, avoid clinch work and grappling scrambles where Billy excels
🥋 Billy Elekana Key Advantages
75 vs 15 grappling composite with 100% takedown accuracy and submission threat
8:33 avg fight duration vs 4:24 - proven ability to go deep into fights
71% vs 50% striking accuracy - more efficient, calculated striking approach
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Aslan's explosive power and volume could overwhelm before grappling skills factor in
Lower striking defense (34% vs 63%) vulnerable to Aslan's high-volume attack
📋 Likely Gameplan
Weather Aslan's initial blitz, use movement and clinch work to avoid power shots
Secure takedowns when Aslan tires, control position and threaten submissions
🔮 AI Fight Prediction & Betting Analysis
📊 Victory Probability Analysis
Primary Path: Explosive early finish leveraging superior striking volume and power advantage
Primary Path: Survive early storm, implement grappling advantage in later rounds
🎯Key Determining Factors
💰 Betting Value Analysis
📊Market Odds Analysis
Our 70% Aslan probability vs 71.4% market shows slight overvaluation on Aslan
⭐Recommended Betting Strategy
Market overvalues by +1.4% | No edge detected
Model: 85% | Market: 62.9% | +22.1% edge
Model: 65% | Market: 40.8% | +24.2% edge
Model: 8% | Market: 11.1% | Small hedge value
Model: 75% | Market: 54.5% | +20.5% edge
⚠️ Risk Management: Focus on prop bets over moneyline. Aslan's KO/TKO props offer best value.
📊Comprehensive Betting Analysis
Method of Victory
Round Betting
Total Rounds & Props
🎯 Best Value Opportunities
🎯Prediction Confidence
🧮 Probabilistic Fight Simulation
📊 100 Fight Simulation Results
Hypothetical Fight Outcomes
💥Aslan Victory Breakdown (70 wins)
🥋Elekana Victory Breakdown (30 wins)
• 60% of fights end in first 10 minutes - early finishing tendency
• Round 1 most decisive - 42% of all simulated outcomes
• Late rounds favor Billy - 15/30 Billy wins go to decision
• Submission threat real - 10% of all fights end via tap
🌊Predicted Fight Flow
⚖️ Final Assessment
💬Expert Commentary
"This fight represents a classic striker vs grappler dynamic with clear stylistic contrasts. Aslan's explosive power and volume create a significant early finishing threat that Billy must navigate carefully."
"The key factor is timing - if Billy can weather the first 5-8 minutes and get the fight to the ground, his cardio and grappling advantages could shift momentum dramatically."
"From a betting perspective, Aslan offers solid value at -140, but the recent submission loss adds an element of uncertainty that savvy bettors should consider."