Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic
UFC Apex, Las Vegas • UFC Apex Bonfim vs Brown
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Explore Detailed Fighter Profiles
Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Experienced Technician
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Dynamic Power Threat
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Muslim Salikhov
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-26 | Carlos Leal | W | KO - Punch (R1, 0:42) |
| 2024-11-23 | Kenan Song | W | KO - Spinning Wheel Kick (R1, 3:49) |
| 2024-07-13 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-02-03 | Randy Brown | L | KO - Punches (R1, 3:17) |
| 2023-06-17 | Nicolas Dalby | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Uros Medic
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-09 | Gilbert Urbina | W | KO - Punch (R1, 1:03) |
| 2025-01-11 | Punahele Soriano | L | KO - Punches (R1, 0:31) |
| 2024-04-27 | Tim Means | W | TKO - Punches (R1, 2:09) |
| 2023-11-18 | Myktybek Orolbai | L | Submission - Neck Crank (R2, 4:12) |
| 2023-07-29 | Matthew Semelsberger | W | TKO - Spinning Backfist and Punches (R3, 2:36) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (78 vs 85) and Grappling Composite (72 vs 55). Reflects striking precision, defense, volume, and takedown metrics to summarize core skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, strike pace, takedown rate, and finish profile. Rewards sustained output and durability across three rounds.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view combining skill and conditioning.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Muslim Salikhov Key Advantages
Salikhov's defensive craft (63% StrDef) and takedown denial (72% TDD) create a formidable barrier against Medic's early pressure. His ability to absorb and deflect high-volume attacks while maintaining composure allows him to weather the storm and find counter opportunities. The small cage amplifies this advantage, as Medic's explosive entries can be neutralized through superior defensive positioning and clinch control.
Salikhov's counter-striking arsenal includes devastating spinning attacks and precise straight shots that capitalize on opponent aggression. His 50% accuracy combined with 3.38 SLpM demonstrates efficiency over volume. The spinning wheel kick knockout against Song Kenan showcases his ability to finish fights with unorthodox techniques, while his decision wins prove he can outpoint opponents through clean counter-punching.
With 13 UFC fights and an average fight duration of 10:24 minutes, Salikhov has proven his ability to maintain technical precision and cardio across extended contests. His experience in high-pressure situations allows him to adapt mid-fight, making adjustments that younger fighters often struggle with. This endurance advantage becomes crucial in the later rounds when Medic's explosive output typically diminishes.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Medic's explosive first-round power (5.49 SLpM, 61% accuracy) creates immediate danger before Salikhov can establish his defensive rhythm. His knockout victories over Means (R1, 2:09) and Urbina (R1, 1:03) demonstrate his ability to finish fights quickly. If Salikhov cannot weather the initial storm, Medic's power could overwhelm his defensive structure before counter opportunities emerge.
At 40 years old, Salikhov's chin and recovery ability face increased scrutiny against younger power punchers. While his defensive skills help mitigate damage, the aging curve introduces higher variance in exchanges. If caught clean by Medic's power shots before establishing defensive reads, the cumulative damage could accelerate fatigue and reduce his counter-striking effectiveness.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Salikhov will likely employ a kick-heavy approach to manage distance and create counter opportunities. His leg kicks can slow Medic's explosive entries while body kicks disrupt rhythm. When Medic commits to forward pressure, Salikhov's straight punches and spinning attacks become primary weapons. This strategy maximizes his defensive advantages while creating finishing opportunities.
Salikhov's 1.08 takedowns per 15 minutes, combined with his 72% takedown defense, allows him to control the pace and drain Medic's explosive energy. Clinch work against the cage can neutralize Medic's power while creating opportunities for short strikes and takedowns. This grappling layer forces Medic to expend energy defending rather than attacking.
🚀 Uros Medic Key Advantages
Medic's explosive power manifests through his 5.49 SLpM and 61% accuracy, creating a high-efficiency offense that maximizes damage per strike. His first-round finishing history includes devastating knockouts over Means and Urbina, demonstrating his ability to overwhelm opponents before they can establish defensive patterns. This power advantage becomes crucial in the small cage where distance management is limited.
Medic's physical advantages (73" height, 71" reach, 43" leg reach) provide superior leverage for power generation and lane creation. His height allows him to generate downward force on strikes while his reach enables him to land from outside Salikhov's preferred counter range. These physical tools become amplified in the small cage where lateral movement is restricted.
Medic's knockout threat extends beyond raw power to include precise timing and entry angles. His ability to land clean shots creates immediate finishing opportunities, as evidenced by his 100% finish rate in UFC victories. When he connects cleanly, his power can overwhelm even experienced opponents, making every clean entry a potential fight-ending moment.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Medic's complete absence of decision victories reveals a critical vulnerability in extended contests. When forced into layered clinch exchanges and control sequences, his explosive output diminishes significantly. His cardio remains untested in grinding minutes, creating opportunities for opponents to exploit defensive lapses that emerge in later rounds.
Medic's 56% takedown defense leaves him vulnerable to control sequences that drain his explosive energy. When taken down, his limited grappling skills make mat returns difficult, allowing opponents to maintain top control and limit his power windows. This grappling deficiency becomes particularly problematic against experienced wrestlers who can exploit his defensive gaps.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Medic's optimal strategy involves immediate pressure and volume to overwhelm Salikhov before defensive reads can be established. His high-output approach (5.49 SLpM) combined with power creates knockdown opportunities that can finish fights early. This blitz strategy maximizes his physical advantages while minimizing exposure to Salikhov's counter-striking.
Medic must prioritize takedown defense and cage awareness to maintain striking exchanges where his power and accuracy shine. By sprawling effectively and resetting to center cage, he can avoid the clinch sequences that drain his energy. This strategy keeps the fight in his preferred range while limiting Salikhov's control opportunities.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Venue & Cage Size
The small 25-foot UFC Apex cage fundamentally alters the dynamics of this matchup, compressing distance and increasing the frequency of exchanges. This environment rewards Medic's explosive early pressure while simultaneously shortening reset times for Salikhov's counter-striking opportunities. The confined space amplifies both fighters' strengths—Medic's power becomes more dangerous in close quarters, while Salikhov's defensive craft and clinch control become more effective tools for neutralizing explosive entries.
🎯Technical Breakdown
The technical contrast between these fighters creates a fascinating stylistic clash. Salikhov's defensive mastery (63% StrDef, 72% TDD) represents a calculated approach to combat, prioritizing efficiency and control over raw output. His ability to absorb Medic's high-volume offense (5.49 SLpM, 61% Acc) while maintaining composure allows him to accumulate counter-striking value over time. If Medic cannot secure early momentum and knockdowns, Salikhov's superior defensive metrics and counter-punching precision will gradually shift the fight's momentum in his favor.
⚡Key Battle Areas
Each round presents distinct strategic implications that favor different fighters. Round 1 represents Medic's optimal window, where his explosive power and high-volume offense can overwhelm Salikhov before defensive reads are established. Round 2 becomes the critical adjustment period, where fight IQ and adaptability determine momentum shifts. Round 3 heavily favors Salikhov's experience, cardio, and counter-striking craft, as Medic's output typically diminishes while Salikhov's technical precision and control sequences become more effective.
🔮Victory Scenarios
Salikhov's path to victory centers on controlling tempo through defensive craft and counter-striking, utilizing clinch work and occasional takedowns to drain Medic's explosive energy. His decision equity becomes significant if he survives the early rounds, while his spinning attacks and late-fight finishing ability provide knockout opportunities. Medic's victory requires overwhelming early pressure and power, targeting head and body to force knockdowns before Salikhov can establish defensive patterns. His success depends on avoiding extended clinch exchanges and maintaining striking range where his accuracy and power shine.
🏁Final Prediction
Our analytical model strongly favors Salikhov (65-35) based on his superior defensive metrics, experience, and ability to control pace through counter-striking and grappling. His proven track record of adapting to different styles and maintaining technical precision across extended contests provides a significant advantage. However, Medic's explosive power creates legitimate upset potential, particularly in the early rounds. The prediction leans toward Muslim Salikhov by Decision or late KO/TKO, with Medic remaining live for early finishes if he can overwhelm Salikhov's defensive structure before counter opportunities emerge.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Detailed value assessment in the betting market
📊Market Odds (BetOnline)
Market Props (reference)
🤖Analytical Model
Model Props
💎Value Opportunities
MAXIMUM VALUE
Model favors control and counters across minutes in small cage.
GOOD VALUE
Model: -186 • Value improves at ≤ -170
SLIGHT VALUE
High combined finish rate; early KO threat live for both.
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Muslim Salikhov
Counter control and minutes management
Counters and spinning attacks as momentum turns
Rare scramble openings
💥Outcome Distribution - Uros Medic
First-round power and volume pocket
Requires sustained pace and damage without clinch stalling
Chaotic scrambles or hurt-to-sub sequences
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
📈Timeline Projections
- Round 1 (0-5 min):Medic's pressure and power peak, creating maximum knockout danger. High-volume offense (5.49 SLpM) combines with 61% accuracy to generate immediate finishing opportunities before Salikhov establishes defensive reads. Critical window accounts for 25% of Medic's overall win probability.
- Round 2 (5-10 min):Pace begins to even as Salikhov's defensive adjustments take effect. Counter-striking opportunities increase as Medic's explosive output starts to wane. Clinch sequences and takedown attempts become more viable. Both fighters retain finishing potential, making this the swing round.
- Round 3 (10-15 min):Salikhov's experience and cardio advantages manifest fully. His 10:24 average fight duration demonstrates superior endurance management, while Medic's untested cardio (0 decision wins) creates defensive vulnerabilities. Counter-striking precision and control sequences dominate, with decision equity heavily favoring Salikhov if the fight reaches this point.
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
Defense and experience advantages, tempered by Medic's early KO threat
✅Supporting Factors
- • 63% StrDef, 72% TDD vs. high-variance offense
- • Proven late finishing and decision equity
- • Small cage benefits counter traps and clinch layers
- • Medic defensive gaps vs. clinch/TD sequences
- • Experience across 13 UFC bouts
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Medic's first-round power and accuracy
- • Age-related durability for Salikhov
- • Judges valuing forward pressure sequences
- • Variance in quick momentum swings
🏁Executive Summary
The statistical analysis strongly supports Salikhov's superior defensive craft and counter-striking precision over Medic's explosive but volatile approach. Salikhov's 63% striking defense and 72% takedown defense create formidable barriers against Medic's high-volume offense, while his experience across 13 UFC fights provides crucial adaptability in high-pressure situations. The small cage environment amplifies both fighters' strengths—Medic's power becomes more dangerous in close quarters, while Salikhov's defensive positioning and clinch control become more effective tools for neutralizing explosive entries.
Early minutes represent Medic's optimal window for victory, where his 5.49 SLpM and 61% accuracy can overwhelm Salikhov before defensive reads are established. However, if Salikhov weathers the initial storm, his counter-striking arsenal and control sequences will gradually shift momentum in his favor. Medic's complete absence of decision victories reveals a critical vulnerability in extended contests, while Salikhov's proven ability to maintain technical precision across 10:24 average fight duration provides significant late-round advantages.
Prediction: Muslim Salikhov by Decision or late KO/TKO. The model's 65-35 edge reflects Salikhov's superior defensive metrics and experience, though Medic's explosive power creates legitimate upset potential in the early rounds. Monitor live betting lines if Medic's early surge fails to produce knockdowns, as Salikhov's counter-striking and control advantages become increasingly significant as the fight progresses.