Jamall Emmers vs Hyder Amil
Men's Featherweight Bout • UFC Apex (25ft, Small Cage)
Saturday, November 8, 2025
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Performance Snapshot
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Performance Snapshot
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Jamall Emmers
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Gabriel Miranda | W | TKO (R1, 4:06) |
| 2024-03-30 | Nate Landwehr | L | KO/TKO (R1, 4:43) |
| 2023-11-11 | Dennis Buzukja | W | TKO (R1, 0:49) |
| 2023-06-24 | Jack Jenkins | L | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-02-18 | Khusein Askhabov | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Hyder Amil
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-28 | Jose Miguel Delgado | L | KO/TKO (R1, 0:26) |
| 2025-03-01 | William Gomis | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-07-20 | JeongYeong Lee | W | KO/TKO (R1, 1:05) |
| 2024-02-10 | Fernie Garcia | W | KO/TKO (R2, 2:12) |
| 2023-08-15 | Emrah Sonmez | W | Submission (R1, —) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite and Grappling Composite. Reflects complete technical skills across phases.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and finish rate proxies.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score to summarize capability and conditioning.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Jamall Emmers Key Advantages
With a 74" reach advantage, Emmers can operate at the edge of Amil's range, landing jabs and low kicks while forcing Amil to close gaps through dangerous counter zones. His 57% striking defense—paired with lower absorption (4.07 SApM vs Amil's 4.18)—means he slips and parries effectively, making Amil work harder for every landed strike. In the compressed 25ft Apex cage, this reach becomes even more valuable for creating angles off the fence and circling away from pressure sequences.
Emmers averages 1.74 takedowns per 15 minutes at 41% accuracy—more than double Amil's 0.77 attempts and significantly higher success rate than Amil's 20%. In the small Apex cage, Emmers can press Amil against the fence and chain wrestling attempts to drain the volume striker's cardio. Even stuffed attempts force defensive energy expenditure, slowly eroding Amil's burst capacity over three rounds. This pressure becomes a cumulative weapon that compounds as the fight progresses.
Emmers has proven knockout power with 9 KO/TKO victories and an average of 0.77 knockdowns per fight. His counter timing shines when opponents rush forward—evidenced by his 49-second destruction of Dennis Buzukja and multiple first-round finishes. Against a high-volume pressure fighter like Amil, Emmers' ability to time entries with check hooks and counter rights becomes a fight-ending threat. One well-placed counter during Amil's forward surges could shift momentum instantly or end the bout outright.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
If Amil can trap Emmers in prolonged clinch exchanges against the cage, the 4" reach advantage evaporates and Emmers faces high-volume short punches, knees, and elbows at close range. The 25ft cage makes it harder to circle out of these positions, and Amil's 6.84 SLpM at 57% accuracy becomes devastating in phone-booth range. Emmers' defensive metrics drop significantly when he can't use footwork and distance management.
Amil's 1.16 submission attempts per 15 minutes—all from guillotine chokes—create a constant trap for Emmers' wrestling entries. Any lazy or overextended takedown attempt leaves Emmers' neck exposed to front-headlock attacks. With Amil's wrestling base and proven finishing ability (1 sub victory via guillotine on Contender Series), Emmers must shoot with perfect technique or risk turning his greatest advantage into a catastrophic vulnerability. One sloppy entry could end the fight in seconds.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Emmers should establish his jab early to measure distance and disrupt Amil's rhythm, then mix in low kicks to slow Amil's forward movement and reduce his ability to close distance explosively. When Amil pressures, Emmers can tie him up in the clinch against the cage, using his wrestling to control position, drain energy, and win rounds on control time. This measured approach allows Emmers to accumulate striking and grappling volume while forcing Amil to expend cardio chasing and defending.
Rather than initiating naked takedown attempts, Emmers should wait for Amil's pressure bursts and counter with clean strikes first—check hooks, uppercuts, or straight rights. Once Amil is momentarily stunned or off-balance, Emmers can shoot his takedowns behind the striking exchanges when Amil's posture is compromised and his guillotine threat is minimized. This sequencing protects Emmers' neck while still accessing his wrestling advantage at safer moments in the fight.
🚀 Hyder Amil Key Advantages
Amil's 6.84 significant strikes landed per minute at 57% accuracy creates overwhelming offensive surges that can bury opponents under sheer volume. When he closes distance and enters his rhythm, Amil throws combinations in bunches—landing 265 significant strikes across his UFC career with devastating effect. His striking output is 25% higher than Emmers', and in a phone-booth fight or extended exchanges, this volume becomes suffocating. The small Apex cage plays into his hands, limiting escape routes and forcing extended firefights where his higher output wins exchanges.
Amil's 81% takedown defense is critical to maintaining his striking-centric gameplan. While Emmers attempts 1.74 takedowns per 15 minutes at 41% accuracy, Amil has proven capable of stuffing the majority of attempts and keeping fights vertical. His wrestling base allows him to sprawl effectively and quickly return to striking range. If Amil can maintain this defensive rate against Emmers' pressure, he forces the fight into his preferred domain and neutralizes Emmers' path to control and attrition-based rounds. Every stuffed takedown is a moral victory that keeps momentum in Amil's favor.
Amil's 1.16 submission attempts per 15 minutes—all guillotine chokes—create a fight-ending deterrent against Emmers' wrestling game. His Contender Series finish via guillotine proves this isn't just a statistical curiosity but a legitimate weapon. Every time Emmers shoots for a takedown, he must account for Amil's front-headlock game. This threat taxes Emmers mentally and physically, forcing perfect technique on every entry and potentially making him more hesitant to utilize his wrestling advantage. If Amil can catch one neck, the fight ends instantly regardless of what happened in prior rounds.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
If Emmers can successfully chain wrestling attempts and pin Amil against the cage for extended periods, Amil's explosive striking volume gets completely neutralized. Prolonged wrestling exchanges drain Amil's cardio reserves that fuel his burst attacks, and cage control rounds shift scoring away from Amil's striking advantages. Even if Amil stuffs the initial takedown, fighting off multiple attempts in succession is exhausting and prevents him from establishing his offensive rhythm. Three minutes of clinch work per round could turn Amil's fast-twitch explosiveness into a liability by Round 3.
Emmers' 74" reach and measured kickboxing approach—featuring jabs, low kicks, and patient counter striking—is designed to keep aggressive fighters at bay. If Emmers maintains disciplined distance management and refuses to engage in Amil's preferred pocket exchanges, Amil's volume becomes less effective as he's forced to chase and eat strikes on entries. Emmers' 57% striking defense means Amil lands at a lower rate when forced to work from outside, and every failed entry attempt costs energy while Emmers stays fresh circling and pot-shotting. Patience and discipline from Emmers could frustrate Amil into desperation and tactical errors.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Amil should explode out of the gates with immediate pressure, throwing combination punches in rapid succession to establish offensive momentum before Emmers can settle into his rhythm. His 6.84 SLpM is most effective when he forces pocket exchanges where his volume overwhelms Emmers' defensive structure. By starting fast and maintaining bursts throughout each round, Amil can steal rounds early and force Emmers to chase, reversing the tactical dynamic. Early aggression also tests Emmers' chin and cardio before the wrestling pressure accumulates.
Every time Emmers contemplates a takedown, Amil needs to make him see the guillotine threat. By consistently establishing head control and threatening the front-headlock position when Emmers shoots or dips his level, Amil can inject hesitation into Emmers' wrestling game. This psychological warfare forces Emmers to think twice before initiating his best weapon, potentially reducing his takedown volume and accuracy. Even if Amil doesn't finish the submission, forcing Emmers to defend scrambles keeps the fight standing and maintains Amil's striking advantage.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Venue & Pace Dynamics
The UFC Apex's smaller 25-foot cage fundamentally alters fight dynamics compared to the standard 30-foot Octagon, compressing the available space by nearly 30% and creating a pressure cooker environment where distance management becomes exponentially more difficult. This spatial constraint forces more clinch engagements, increases the frequency of cage wrestling exchanges, and dramatically elevates finishing volatility—especially from explosive entries and counter strikes. For Jamall Emmers, the compressed space enhances his ability to trap opponents against the fence for wrestling control and limits escape routes for circling fighters, while his counter-striking becomes more dangerous as opponents are forced into his range. However, the smaller cage is a double-edged sword: it also amplifies Hyder Amil's burst striking offense by reducing the distance he needs to close to enter his preferred pocket-fighting range. The Apex environment should produce more frequent momentum swings, higher-paced action sequences, and potentially earlier finishes than this same fight would produce in a larger cage.
🎯Technical Breakdown
The statistical breakdown reveals a classic striker-versus-wrestler dynamic with nuanced wrinkles that prevent either fighter from holding a decisive edge. Jamall Emmers enters with a significant 4-inch reach advantage (74" vs 70"), superior defensive striking metrics (57% defense absorbing only 4.07 strikes per minute compared to Amil's 52% defense and 4.18 SApM), and more than double the takedown volume (1.74 TD/15 at 41% accuracy versus 0.77 at 20%). These metrics suggest Emmers can control distance, defend efficiently, and implement wrestling pressure to drain rounds—the blueprint for defeating high-volume strikers. However, Hyder Amilcounters with his own formidable arsenal: a 25% higher striking output (6.84 SLpM vs 5.45) at elite 57% accuracy that can overwhelm defensive structures in bursts, a rock-solid 81% takedown defense that has consistently kept his fights vertical, and a legitimate submission threat (1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, all guillotines) that functions as a psychological deterrent against Emmers' wrestling entries. The calculus becomes: can Emmers' range management and wrestling pressure neutralize Amil's volume before Amil's burst striking and guillotine threat create fight-ending moments? Both fighters possess clear paths to victory, making this a genuine stylistic puzzle rather than a one-sided matchup.
⚡Key Battle Areas
The fight will likely be decided across three distinct battlegrounds, each presenting tactical inflection points. In the opening exchanges, Hyder Amil's explosive entry bursts—leveraging his 6.84 SLpM volume—will collide with Jamall Emmers's counter-striking timing and 0.77 knockdown-per-fight power. This early phase determines whether Amil can establish offensive momentum or if Emmers' counters force caution and reset the tempo. The mid-fight phase pivots to the clinch and cage wrestling sequences where Emmers' 1.74 TD/15 pressure directly tests Amil's 81% takedown defense; extended grappling exchanges drain Amil's explosive cardio reserves while accumulating control time for Emmers. At range, the tactical chess match centers on Emmers' jab-and-low-kick discipline to maintain distance versus Amil's ability to time entries and land power counters that collapse Emmers' structure. Perhaps most critically, every single takedown attempt by Emmers carries catastrophic risk: any lazy, overextended, or poorly-timed level change exposes his neck to Amil's front-headlock game and the ever-present guillotine trap (1.16 sub attempts/15 min). One defensive lapse on Emmers' part could instantly erase 14 minutes of winning fight time. The winner will be determined by who better navigates their opponent's traps while imposing their own offensive threats.
🔮Victory Scenarios
Jamall Emmers's path to victory follows a measured, accumulation-based strategy that leverages his physical and technical advantages across three rounds. He should use his 74" reach and superior defensive metrics (57% StrDef) to win minutes at range through disciplined jab-and-low-kick sequences that score points while slowing Amil's forward movement. When Amil pressures, Emmers transitions to clinch control against the cage—not necessarily hunting finishes, but draining energy and accumulating control time that wins rounds on the scorecards. Sprinkled throughout should be strategic takedown attempts (his 1.74 TD/15 at 41% accuracy) executed behind striking exchanges when Amil's posture is compromised and guillotine threats are minimized. Emmers' counter-striking (0.77 knockdowns/fight) remains a live KO/TKO threat if Amil becomes reckless, but the primary path is decision equity through defensive striking, wrestling control, and efficient energy management. Conversely, Hyder Amil must embrace a high-risk, high-reward approach that forces Emmers out of his comfort zone. Amil needs to explode with immediate pressure in each round's opening minute, using his 6.84 SLpM volume at 57% accuracy to establish offensive momentum before Emmers settles into rhythm. By forcing pocket exchanges and rapid-fire combination sequences, Amil can overwhelm Emmers' defensive structure and spike rounds with damage that steals judges' eyes. His 81% takedown defense must hold strong to keep the fight vertical, while his guillotine threat (1.16 sub attempts/15 min) functions as a psychological weapon that makes Emmers hesitate before shooting—every defensive scramble is an opportunity for front-headlock attacks. Amil's path includes both early KO/TKO potential (6 career knockout victories, 2 in Round 1) and high-pace decisions where his superior output on the scorecards forces judges' hands despite lower control time.
🏁Final Prediction
After comprehensive statistical analysis and tactical evaluation, our model projects a narrow 55-45 advantage for Jamall Emmers, though this slim margin reflects genuine competitive balance rather than dominance. The tiebreaker favoring Emmers stems from three critical factors: his defensive striking quality (57% defense vs 52%) should allow him to weather Amil's volume surges without accumulating catastrophic damage; his reach and wrestling pressure provide multiple scoring pathways that can win rounds even when striking exchanges are competitive; and his more measured, accumulation-based approach tends to age better across three rounds compared to Amil's burst-dependent style that requires perfect execution in limited windows. However, labeling Emmers the "favorite" undersells how live Hyder Amil remains throughout all 15 minutes. Amil's early-round explosive power (2 Round 1 KO victories), his front-headlock submission threat that creates instant-finish potential on any scramble, and his ability to steal rounds with sudden volume surges means Emmers can never safely settle into cruise control—one lapse in defensive discipline or one poorly-executed takedown could swing the entire fight in seconds. The 55-45 split accurately captures a competitive, momentum-shifting three-rounder where both fighters possess realistic paths to victory and where small tactical adjustments or singular moments could easily flip the outcome. The UFC Apex's compressed cage geometry should produce more frequent tactical inflection points, making this fight particularly volatile and difficult to predict with certainty. Expect a chess match punctuated by explosive exchanges, multiple momentum swings, and a final result that could legitimately go either direction.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive market analysis for this bout (BetOnline preferred; best-line fallback)
📊Market Odds
Additional Markets
🤖Analytical Model
Model Totals
💎Value Opportunities
💰Strong Value Bets
⚠️Market Overvaluation
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
Detailed outcome modeling based on fighter analytics
🏆Outcome Distribution - Jamall Emmers
Counter windows vs forward pressure
Wrestling control, range management
Opportunistic topside finishes
💥Outcome Distribution - Hyder Amil
Burst damage in tight exchanges
Volume carries minutes when entries succeed
Front‑headlock opportunism
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
📈Timeline Projections
- • 0-5 minutes: Pressure vs. counters; highest volatility
- • 5-10 minutes: Entries slow, control attempts rise
- • 10-15 minutes: Even minutes hinge on damage moments
- • 15-25 minutes: Veteran control and defense edge late
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Model confidence and key risk factors
Confidence Level
Close fight with stylistic volatility; slight lean to Emmers
✅Supporting Factors
- • Emmers reach/defense + wrestling in small cage
- • Amil volume/accuracy keeps pressure on judges
- • Live finishing danger both ways
- • Strong cardio metrics for Emmers late
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Amil clinch knees and early surges
- • Front‑headlock submissions vs level changes
- • Emmers chin vulnerability in pocket exchanges
- • Small cage compresses space and increases chaos
🏁Executive Summary
Veteran control and defensive awareness versus surging volume and early danger. The small Apex cage elevates wrestling and clinch phases; distance discipline and counter‑timing favor Emmers late, while Amil’s bursts keep live finishing equity.
Final Verdict: Slight lean to Jamall Emmers (55‑45), with best betting angles around opportunistic underdog shots and time‑based props (Under 2.5 in volatile markets).