Chidi Njokuani vs Jake Matthews
Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
25-10-0
⭐ Veteran Striker
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Jake Matthews
"The Celtic Kid"
21-7-0
🤼 Wrestling Specialist
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Chidi Njokuani - Last 5 Fights
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | W | TKO - Knee and Elbows (R2, N/A) |
| 2024-10-12 | Jared Gooden | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-03-30 | Rhys McKee | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-08-26 | Michal Oleksiejczuk | L | TKO - Punches (R1, 4:16) |
| 2023-03-25 | Albert Duraev | L | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
Jake Matthews - Last 5 Fights
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | Francisco Prado | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-06-01 | Philip Rowe | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-11-18 | Michael Morales | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-07-29 | Darrius Flowers | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R2, 2:37) |
| 2022-12-17 | Matthew Semelsberger | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (85 vs 65) and Grappling Composite (40 vs 65). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including offensive output, precision, and defensive ability.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min (SubPer15). Evaluates complete grappling game including takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
Detailed Analysis Summary
🥊 Chidi Njokuani Advantages
⚡ Striking Superiority
+43% advantageElite 63% striking accuracy vs 44% - massive precision advantage with 4.59 SLpM output rate for explosive finishing potential
📏 Reach & Range Control
+7" reachSignificant reach advantage with higher striking output - can control distance and punish Matthews' entries with precise counters
💥 Explosive Finishing
56% finish rateHigh knockout power with recent TKO victory - strong early-round finishing threat when striking exchanges occur
❌ Unfavorable Scenarios
🎯 Likely Gameplan
Distance Management: Utilize reach advantage to keep Matthews at range, punish takedown entries with precise striking, and seek early finish opportunities
🤼 Jake Matthews Advantages
🤼 Grappling Dominance
+62% advantageElite grappling composite (65 vs 40) with 1.46 TD per 15min and 55% submission threat - complete ground control specialist
🏃 Superior Cardio
+25% enduranceHigher cardio score (75 vs 60) with 11:44 average fight duration - excels in championship rounds and extended battles
🎖️ Experience Edge
+14 UFC fightsExtensive UFC experience (22 vs 8 fights) with +111 ELO advantage - proven ability against higher-level competition
❌ Unfavorable Scenarios
🎯 Likely Gameplan
Pressure & Chain Wrestling: Use striking pressure to set up takedown entries, chain attempts together to overcome strong TDD, and control on the ground
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Probabilistic simulation model based on 100 hypothetical fights
📊 Stylistic & Technical Snapshot
Chidi Njokuani
Jake Matthews
🎲 Probabilistic Simulation Results
Based on 100 simulated fights using historical performance data and stylistic matchups
KO/TKO Finish
Submission
Decision
🏆 Final Prediction
🏅 Championship Dynamics
This welterweight bout showcases a classic striker vs grappler matchup. Matthews' superior ELO rating (+111 points) reflects his consistent performance against higher-level competition, while Njokuani's recent form indicates improved technical striking.
⚙️ Technical Breakdown
Statistical analysis reveals a clear contrast in fighting philosophies: Njokuani's 43% striking accuracy advantage (63% vs 44%) versus Matthews' 62% grappling composite superiority (65 vs 40). The 7-inch reach disparity could prove decisive in early exchanges.
⚔️ Key Battle Areas
The fight will likely be determined in the grappling transitions and distance management phases. Matthews must overcome the reach disadvantage to implement his wrestling, while Njokuani needs to maintain striking range and capitalize on early opportunities.
🎯 Victory Scenarios
Matthews by Decision (35%) - Most likely path involves surviving early striking, implementing consistent takedowns, and banking control time. Njokuani by TKO (15%)- Counter-striking opportunities during Matthews' entries could create knockout moments.
The +111 ELO gap reflects Matthews' proven ability to neutralize striking specialists through wrestling pressure. However, Njokuani's recent TKO victory and improved striking accuracy suggest he has evolved as a finisher.
Conviction Rating: 7/10 - Clear statistical advantages for Matthews in experience and grappling, but Njokuani's striking precision and finish rate could create upset potential in early rounds.