Heavyweight Main Event • 5 Rounds

Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira • Heavyweight Division

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Black Beast
+225
Underdog
Rising Prospect
-265
Favorite
Derrick Lewis
#15

Derrick Lewis

"The Black Beast"

28-12-0

🥊 Knockout Artist

Age:
40+15 years exp
Height:
6'3"-4" shorter
Reach:
79"-4" shorter
Weight:
265lbsSimilar

Veteran Metrics

ELO Rating
1167.1
ELO Peak
1268.2
Total UFC Fights
29
UFC Record
19-10
Current Streak
1 win
Longest Win Streak
4
Win Rate
65.5%
Avg Fight Duration
2.2 rounds
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Tallison Teixeira
UR

Tallison Teixeira

8-0-0

🌟 Undefeated Prospect

Age:
25Prime age
Height:
6'7"+4" taller
Reach:
83"+4" advantage
Weight:
265lbsSimilar

Prospect Metrics

ELO Rating
1057.6
ELO Peak
1057.6
Total UFC Fights
1
UFC Record
1-0
Current Streak
1 win
Longest Win Streak
8
Win Rate
100%
Avg Fight Duration
1.0 round
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution

Last 5 Fights - Derrick Lewis

DateOpponentResultMethod
2024-05-11Rodrigo NascimentoWKO/TKO (R3, 1:49)
2023-11-11Jailton AlmeidaLDecision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00)
2023-05-06Marcos Rogerio de LimaWKO/TKO (R1, 3:00)
2022-11-05Serghei SpivacLSubmission - Rear Naked Choke (R1, 2:45)
2022-07-30Sergei PavlovichLKO/TKO (R1, 1:55)

Last 5 Fights - Tallison Teixeira

DateOpponentResultMethod
2024-02-17Jhonata DinizWKO/TKO (R1, 2:15)
2023-09-23Junior TafaWKO/TKO (R1, 1:33)
2023-05-13Eduardo NevesWKO/TKO (R1, 0:58)
2022-12-17Alex MunizWKO/TKO (R1, 2:47)
2022-08-06Bruno SilvaWKO/TKO (R1, 1:22)

Technical Analysis

Technical Score

46.5/10057/100
Derrick
Tallison
Tallison advantage: 10.1%

Cardio Score

42.6/10085/100
Derrick
Tallison
Tallison advantage: 33.2%

Overall Rating

44.55/10071/100
Derrick
Tallison
Tallison advantage: 22.9%
📊 Technical Score

Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (88 vs 85) and Grappling Composite (65 vs 88). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.

💪 Cardio Score

Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.

🎯 Overall Rating

Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.

Striking Composite

88/10085/100
Derrick
Tallison
Derrick advantage: 1.7%

Grappling Composite

65/10088/100
Derrick
Tallison
Tallison advantage: 15.0%
🥊 Striking Composite

Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including offensive output, precision, and defensive ability.

🤼 Grappling Composite

Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min (SubPer15). Evaluates complete grappling game including takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.

Technical Radar Comparison

Metrics Legend
SLpM: Strikes/Min
StrAcc: Strike Accuracy
StrDef: Strike Defense
TD15: Takedowns/15min
TDAcc: TD Accuracy
TDDef: TD Defense
SubPer15: Subs/15min
Derrick Lewis
VS
Tallison Teixeira

Detailed Statistical Comparison

Strikes Landed/Min
Advantage:Tallison (+29.0%)
2.48per min3.2per min
Derrick
Tallison
Difference: 0.72per min
Striking Accuracy
Advantage:Tallison (+10.0%)
50%55%
Derrick
Tallison
Difference: 5.00%
Striking Defense
Advantage:Tallison (+62.5%)
40%65%
Derrick
Tallison
Difference: 25.00%
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Advantage:Derrick (+18.1%)
2.48per min2.1per min
Derrick
Tallison
Difference: 0.38per min
Takedowns/15min
Advantage:Tallison (+215.8%)
0.57per 15min1.8per 15min
Tallison
Difference: 1.23per 15min
Takedown Accuracy
Advantage:Tallison (+130.8%)
26%60%
Derrick
Tallison
Difference: 34.00%
Takedown Defense
Advantage:Tallison (+50.0%)
52%78%
Derrick
Tallison
Difference: 26.00%
Submissions/15min
Advantage:Tallison (+Infinity%)
0per 15min0.8per 15min
Tallison
Difference: 0.80per 15min

🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown

🥊 Derrick Lewis Key Advantages

💥One-Punch Power
UFC KO Leader

Legendary knockout power with 15 KO/TKO wins - can end the fight with any clean connection

🧠Veteran Experience
29 UFC fights

Massive experience advantage having faced elite competition including title challengers

🎯Pressure Timing
78.9% finish rate

Excellent timing to capitalize on opponent mistakes and pressure situations

⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios

📏Range Fighting

Teixeira's 4" reach and height advantages could keep Lewis at distance where his power is less effective

🏃Extended Exchanges

Teixeira's superior cardio and volume could overwhelm Lewis in longer exchanges

📋 Likely Gameplan

🎯Early Aggression

Hunt for early knockout opportunities before cardio becomes a factor

🔥Close Distance

Use veteran tricks and timing to get inside Teixeira's reach advantage

🌟 Tallison Teixeira Key Advantages

📏Physical Advantages
4" reach, 15 years younger

Significant height, reach, and age advantages - massive physical superiority

Volume & Cardio
5.9x striking output

Massive striking volume advantage (14.61 vs 2.48 SLpM) with superior conditioning

🛡️Technical Superiority
Better accuracy & defense

Superior striking accuracy (60% vs 50%) and defense (60% vs 40%) - more technical fighter

⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios

💥Getting Caught

Lewis' legendary power could end the fight instantly if Teixeira gets careless

😰UFC Pressure

Limited UFC experience (1 fight) could be a factor against a veteran like Lewis

📋 Likely Gameplan

📐Distance Control

Utilize reach and height to maintain distance, pepper Lewis with volume strikes

🎯High Volume

Use superior cardio to maintain high pace and break down Lewis over time

🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis

Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis

27%
Derrick Lewis Win Probability
Power puncher's chance despite disadvantages
73%
Tallison Teixeira Win Probability
Strong favorite with multiple advantages

📊Detailed Analysis Summary

⚖️Experience vs Youth

This heavyweight clash represents the classic veteran vs prospect dynamic that defines many pivotal UFC moments. Lewis brings the wisdom of 29 UFC fights, having faced elite competition including former champions and title challengers. His legendary knockout power has been proven at the highest level time and again. However, at 40 years old, questions about his physical decline and cardio limitations become increasingly relevant against a young, hungry competitor like Teixeira.

📏Physical Mismatch

The physical comparison heavily favors Teixeira with significant advantages in reach (83" vs 79"), height (6'7" vs 6'3"), and most critically, age (25 vs 40). These physical tools allow Teixeira to implement his high-volume striking game while staying at a safe distance. His conditioning advantage (85 cardio score vs 42.6) suggests he can maintain this pace throughout five rounds, while Lewis historically fades after the first round.

Technical Breakdown

Teixeira's technical superiority is evident across multiple metrics: 5.9x higher striking output (14.61 vs 2.48 SLpM), superior accuracy (60% vs 50%), and much better defense (60% vs 40%). His overall technical score (57.0 vs 46.5) reflects a more complete mixed martial artist. The grappling differential (88 vs 65 composite) could also become relevant if Teixeira chooses to test Lewis' notoriously poor takedown defense (52%).

🎯The Power Factor

Despite all statistical disadvantages, Lewis possesses the great equalizer - legendary knockout power. His 78.9% finish rate and reputation as the UFC's all-time knockout leader cannot be quantified by traditional metrics. The "puncher's chance" is very real, especially early in the fight before cardio becomes a factor. Teixeira's limited UFC experience (1 fight) means he hasn't yet faced this level of game-changing power at the sport's highest level.

🏁Final Prediction

While Lewis' power makes him dangerous for brief moments, Teixeira's comprehensive advantages across physical attributes, technique, conditioning, and youth suggest he should control the majority of this fight. The 73-27 split reflects both the legitimate threat Lewis poses and the overwhelming evidence supporting Teixeira's superiority. Expect Teixeira to utilize his reach advantage effectively, maintain a high pace to exploit Lewis' cardio weaknesses, and potentially finish the fight via strikes or even grappling if the opportunity presents itself. Lewis' best chance lies in landing his trademark power shots early before the physical and conditioning disadvantages compound.

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