Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos
Women's Flyweight Division • UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley
Saturday, June 14, 2025
Performance Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Performance Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Jamey-Lyn Horth
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-14 | Miranda Maverick | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-11-02 | Ivana Petrovic | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-12-02 | Veronica Hardy | L | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-04-29 | Hailey Cowan | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2021-12-10 | Mayra Cantuaria | W | KO/TKO (R2, 3:45) |
Last 5 Fights - Vanessa Demopoulos
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Talita Alencar | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-09-07 | Jaqueline Amorim | L | Submission (R1, 3:28) |
| 2024-05-18 | Emily Ducote | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-10-07 | Kanako Murata | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-05-20 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🥊 Jamey-Lyn Horth Key Advantages
Natural FW frame (5'7", ~125 lb) with 6.5" reach advantage - gives physicality edge and striking range control
100% takedown defense shown through four UFC bouts - has yet to be taken down in the UFC
Mobile kick-boxer with clean distance striking - lands at 52% while absorbing little hard damage
Calf-kicks exploit 5" reach gap and can cripple Demopoulos' wide, loading stance
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
0 finishes in 4 UFC fights - must win on points, no knockout threat to deter opponent's pressure
Can be backed to fence by swarming opponents - loses mobility advantage in tight spaces
📋 Likely Gameplan
Circle on the outside, spam calf-kicks to the shorter stance, keep jab in opponent's face
Sprawl hard and immediately stand - make judges watch her land 80-90 clean strikes
🐉 Vanessa Demopoulos Key Advantages
Dangerous submission arsenal (4 career armbars, 1 in UFC) - Craig-style triangles from bottom come fast
Never knocked out despite absorbing 5.23 SLpM - incredible durability and heart
High per-round output when allowed (up to 126 sig. strikes landed vs Ducote) - volume threat
Compact, pocket-first boxer-grappler - throws looping overhands into clinch for dirty boxing
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Very porous defense: absorbs 5.23 SLpM with only 42% striking & 25% TD defense
Physically small for 125 lb (5'2", 59.5" reach) - massive reach and height disadvantage
📋 Likely Gameplan
Blitz inside the reach, throw big looping overhands to create clinch ties and dirty-box
Jump guard if level change stalls, attack armbars/triangles early and often - needs R1 finish
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
⚔️Fight Preview
A true size matchup: the 5'7" Canadian flyweight faces a 5'2" ex-strawweight who has struggled to stuff takedowns or avoid damage at 115. The 30-ft cage widens Horth's escape lanes, making it harder for Demopoulos to drag the fight to the floor. This represents a classic tall technical striker vs. compact submission grappler dynamic, where physical dimensions play a crucial role in determining fight outcomes. Horth's natural flyweight frame gives her significant advantages in reach, leverage, and defensive positioning that could prove decisive.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Striking: Horth's straight shots, calf-kicks and knees exploit a five-inch reach gap; Demopoulos' looping right is potent but telegraphed. Vanessa's 42% strike-defense means she eats almost every other attempt thrown her way. Clinch & Wrestling: Demopoulos converts less than 0.4 TDs/15 min and stuffs only 25% coming her way; her lone R1 armbar vs Juarez happened because the striker followed her to the mat. Horth has yet to be taken down in the UFC and keeps a strong over-hook when pressured. Grappling: If Demopoulos does pull guard, Horth's risk is real - Craig-style triangles from bottom come fast. But Horth has shown patient posture and good hand-fighting, choosing to disengage rather than ride.
⚡Key Battle Areas
Early Guard Attempts: Vanessa needs a first-round submission - she converts 70% of her subs in R1 historically, making the opening frame crucial for her victory path.Leg-Kick Differential: Horth's outside kick cripples Demopoulos' wide, loading stance and hinders level changes, potentially neutralizing her takedown attempts before they begin.Output Optics: Judges reward volume; Horth averages 20+ attempts/min to Vanessa's 14 in recent fights, creating a significant visual advantage for scorecards. The combination of Horth's reach advantage and Demopoulos' defensive vulnerabilities creates multiple pathways for the Canadian to control distance and dictate engagement terms.
🎮Victory Scenarios
Horth Victory Paths (65%): Lands 80-100 sig. strikes, stuffs the guard pull, wins 30-27 (45% decision) or clubs a late standing TKO when Vanessa's entries slow (10% KO/TKO). Her perfect takedown defense and range control create multiple avenues for controlling the fight's pace and location. Demopoulos Victory Paths (35%): Times a wild overhand into body-lock, jumps guard, clamps an armbar/triangle inside 90 seconds (17% submission), or edges 29-28 with top-time after catching a kick (15% decision). Her submission threat is legitimate but requires getting past Horth's defensive advantages first. The size differential makes Demopoulos' paths narrower but still dangerous given her finishing ability.
🏁Final Prediction
Six times in ten the bigger, cleaner striker keeps the bout upright and out-points the smaller grappler. Demopoulos' live "hail-Mary" armbar is real, but her paths are fewer and narrower in the big cage. All measurable edges (size, defense, takedown numbers, recent momentum) lean Horth, creating a conviction rating of 7/10. The sole caution lies in Demopoulos' genuine submission threat against opponents who over-stay inside the guard. However, Horth's patient grappling approach and strong defensive awareness suggest she can navigate these dangerous moments while capitalizing on her significant physical and technical advantages throughout the 15-minute fight.