Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman
UFC Bantamweight Division • UFC 100
Saturday, December 14, 2024
Performance Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Performance Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Ricky Simon
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Javid Basharat | W | KO/TKO (R1, 3:58) |
| 2024-06-29 | Vinicius Oliveira | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-01-13 | Mario Bautista | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-04-29 | Song Yadong | L | KO/TKO (R5, 1:10) |
| 2022-07-16 | Jack Shore | W | Submission (R2, 3:28) |
Last 5 Fights - Cameron Smotherman
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Serhiy Sidey | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-10-19 | Jake Hadley | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Ricky Simon Key Advantages
5.17 takedowns per 15 minutes vs 0 attempts - massive grappling advantage
14 UFC fights vs 2 - proven against elite competition including ranked opponents
🚀 Cameron Smotherman Key Advantages
5.1 vs 2.98 significant strikes per minute - creates constant pressure
3" height advantage and youth (27 vs 32) for mobility and recovery
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Analysis Summary
🤼Wrestling vs Striking Matchup
This represents a classic wrestler-vs-striker dynamic heavily favoring the grappler. Simon's 5.17 takedowns per 15 minutes against elite UFC competition vastly exceeds anything Smotherman has faced. The experience gap is profound - Simon has competed against ranked bantamweights while Smotherman's UFC experience consists of decisions against Jake Hadley and Serhiy Sidey.
🎯Path to Victory Analysis
Simon's path is clear: pressure against the cage, mix striking with takedown attempts, and control position. His 75% takedown defense means he can likely avoid Smotherman's limited grappling while imposing his wrestling game. Smotherman needs an early knockout before Simon establishes his grinding pace, but his 0% finish rate in the UFC suggests this is unlikely.
🔮Final Prediction
Simon wins by decision through positional control and accumulated damage. His recent knockout of Javid Basharat shows improved finishing ability, but the most likely scenario is a grinding 30-27 decision. The betting line of -525 accurately reflects the skill and experience differential in this matchup.