Allen Frye vs Guilherme Pat
Men's Heavyweight Bout • UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Saturday, December 13, 2025 • UFC Apex (25ft Octagon, Small Cage)
UFC Debutants - Limited UFC Data
Both fighters are making their UFC debut. Analysis is based on regional fight records and performance data. UFC-specific statistics will become available after their first Octagon appearance. Click on fighter names to explore their complete regional fight history and career statistics.
Age
27
Height
6'4"
Reach
78"
Weight
247 lbs
📊Career Performance
100%
Win Rate
100%
Finish Rate
1:42
Avg Duration
Win Round Distribution
Age
26
Height
6'5"
Reach
79"
Weight
241 lbs
📊Career Performance
100%
Win Rate
80%
Finish Rate
2:26
Avg Duration
Win Round Distribution
📋 Last 5 Fights - Allen Frye
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-06 | Justin Frazier | W | TKO - Punches (R1, 2:54) |
| 2025-06-14 | Ryan Shough | W | TKO (R1, 0:30) |
| 2025-01-18 | Cody Beck | W | TKO (R1, 2:15) |
| 2024-07-13 | Mark Gordon Jr. | W | TKO - Punches (R2, 3:21) |
| 2023-02-11 | David Ciuclea | W | TKO (R3, 0:22) |
📋 Last 5 Fights - Guilherme Pat
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-30 | Mauricio Boni Cogo Queiroz | W | TKO - Punches (R3, 3:13) |
| 2023-08-26 | Leandro Moreira de Oliveira | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-04-16 | Luis Andrade de Oliveira | W | TKO - Retirement (R2, 2:03) |
| 2023-03-25 | Joao Gabriel Mendes | W | KO - Head Kick and Punches (R1, 0:18) |
| 2022-11-26 | Ronny de Souza | W | KO - Punch (R1, 1:15) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (92.0 vs 85.0) and Grappling Composite (33.0 vs 35.0). Balances overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability based on regional performance.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, finish rate, and pace patterns from regional fights. Frye's quick finishes suggest explosive power; Pat's longer fights indicate sustained output.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view combining skill level with physical conditioning based on available regional data.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
ℹ️UFC Debut Statistics Note
As both fighters are making their UFC debut, detailed UFC statistics (SLpM, StrAcc, StrDef, TD15, TDAcc, TDDef, SubPer15) are not yet available. The radar chart and detailed statistical comparisons shown below will populate after their first UFC fight. Current analysis is based on regional fight performance, finish rates, and composite scoring from pre-UFC careers.
🎯 Our Pick
Based on regional performance analysis and fight characteristics
📊Fight Breakdown Summary
💥Frye's Advantages
Allen Frye brings devastating one-punch knockout power evidenced by his 100% finish rate and 1:42 average fight duration. His most recent victory over Justin Frazier (12-3) by R1 TKO demonstrates quality-tested power at the regional level. Frye's aggressive pressure style and explosive power create early-round danger that Pat will need to survive. In the small 25-foot Apex cage, Frye's ability to cut off angles and close distance quickly amplifies his knockout threat.
📏Pat's Path to Victory
Guilherme Pat holds a 1-inch height and reach advantage, crucial for maintaining distance against Frye's power. His 80% finish rate shows he possesses finishing ability, including spectacular head kick knockouts. Pat's proven ability to go the distance (one decision win) demonstrates cardio that could become relevant if he survives early exchanges. The Brazilian's varied striking—mixing kicks, knees, and punches—gives him more tools than a pure power puncher, though execution under UFC pressure remains untested for both.
⚖️The Deciding Factors
This fight likely hinges on the first 7–8 minutes. Frye's power is fight-changing if he finds the pocket, but Pat's length and movement could frustrate early entries. The small cage helps Frye compress space and land his power shots. Both are undefeated and making their UFC debuts, adding psychological pressure and uncertainty. Frye's consistency in early finishes gives him the edge in a debut scenario where nerves can amplify power-puncher advantages. We favor Frye's proven one-shot KO power over Pat's more varied but less decisive regional record.
🏁 Final Prediction
🎯Most Likely Outcome
Allen Frye by KO/TKO in Round 1-2 (48% probability)
Frye's devastating power and consistent early finishes make this the most probable path. His ability to end fights within the first two rounds has been proven repeatedly in regional competition. The small Apex cage favors his aggressive style, and the UFC debut jitters could make Pat more vulnerable to Frye's one-shot power. While Pat has the tools to win—size, reach, diverse striking—Frye's proven knockout ability in the opening minutes gives him the decisive edge in this heavyweight clash of undefeated prospects.
⚠️Confidence Level: 7.5/10
High confidence in Frye's power threat, but UFC debut uncertainty and lack of UFC-level data prevent maximum conviction. Both fighters are unproven at this level, creating legitimate variance in outcomes. Pat's physical advantages and finishing ability keep this competitive.