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3 Rounds

Angela Hill vs Fatima Kline

Women's Strawweight Bout • UFC 322

Saturday, November 15, 2025

Fighter • Odds source: BetOnline
...
High-volume striker
Fighter • Odds source: BetOnline
...
Power shots, accurate TDs
Angela Hill vs Fatima Kline - UFC 322

Explore Detailed Fighter Profiles

Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.

Angela Hill

Angela Hill

"Overkill"

18-15-0

Veteran volume specialist

Age:
40Veteran
Height:
5'3"-3" shorter
Reach:
64"-3" reach
Leg Reach:
37"Shorter

Fighter Metrics

Total UFC Fights
33
UFC Record
18-15-0
Current Streak
1L
Win Rate
55%
Finish Rate
33%
Avg Fight Time
14:36
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fatima Kline

Fatima Kline

8-1-0

Surging finisher

Age:
25Prime
Height:
5'6"+3" taller
Reach:
67"+3" advantage
Leg Reach:
39"Longer

Fighter Metrics

Total UFC Fights
3
UFC Record
2-1-0
Current Streak
2W
Win Rate
89%
Finish Rate
63%
Avg Fight Time
12:23
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution

Last 5 Fights - Angela Hill

DateOpponentResultMethod
2025-08-09Iasmin LucindoLDecision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00)
2025-02-15Ketlen SouzaWDecision - Split (R3, 5:00)
2024-08-24Tabatha RicciLDecision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00)
2024-05-18Luana PinheiroWSubmission - Guillotine Choke (R2, 4:12)
2023-11-04Denise GomesWDecision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00)

Last 5 Fights - Fatima Kline

DateOpponentResultMethod
2025-07-12Melissa MartinezWKO/TKO (Head Kick) (R3, 2:36)
2025-01-11Viktoriia DudakovaWKO/TKO - Elbows (Half Guard) (R2, 4:27)
2024-07-13Jasmin JasudaviciusLDecision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00)
2023-11-03Sara CovaWKO/TKO - Punches (R3, 3:56)
2023-03-15Natasha KuziutinaWDecision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00)

Technical Analysis

Technical Score

48.8/10047.7/100
Angela
Fatima
Angela advantage: 1.1%

Cardio Score

80.5/10064.2/100
Angela
Fatima
Angela advantage: 11.3%

Overall Rating

64.65/10055.95/100
Angela
Fatima
Angela advantage: 7.2%
📊 Technical Score

Average of Striking Composite and Grappling Composite. Striking and wrestling metrics weighted by pace, accuracy, defense, and submission threat per our public ceilings policy.

💪 Cardio Score

Based on average fight duration, SLpM, TD attempts, and finish tendency. Hill's high motor elevates her score across 15 minutes.

🎯 Overall Rating

Simple average of Technical and Cardio scores, reflecting both skill and fight-long sustainability.

Striking Composite

65.5/10059.5/100
Angela
Fatima
Angela advantage: 4.8%

Grappling Composite

32.1/10036/100
Angela
Fatima
Fatima advantage: 3.9%
🥊 Striking Composite

Weighted combination of SLpM, StrAcc, StrDef, and inverse SApM to reflect both pace and defensive quality.

🤼 Grappling Composite

Derived from TD/15, TDAcc, TDDef, and Sub/15. Kline's accuracy boosts her score; Hill's TDD limits control time.

Technical Radar Comparison

Metrics Legend
SLpM: Strikes/Min
StrAcc: Strike Accuracy
StrDef: Strike Defense
TD15: Takedowns/15min
TDAcc: TD Accuracy
TDDef: TD Defense
SubPer15: Subs/15min
Angela Hill
VS
Fatima Kline

Detailed Statistical Comparison

Strikes Landed/Min
Advantage:Angela (+37.8%)
5.43 per min3.94 per min
Angela
Fatima
Difference: 1.49 per min
Striking Accuracy
Advantage:Angela (+2.0%)
50%49%
Angela
Fatima
Difference: 1.00%
Striking Defense
Advantage:Angela (+1.7%)
60%59%
Angela
Fatima
Difference: 1.00%
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Advantage:Angela (+114.8%)
4.92 per min2.29 per min
Angela
Fatima
Difference: 2.63 per min
Takedowns/15min
Advantage:Fatima (+55.1%)
0.78 per 15min1.21 per 15min
Angela
Fatima
Difference: 0.43 per 15min
Takedown Accuracy
Advantage:Fatima (+100.0%)
30%60%
Angela
Fatima
Difference: 30.00%
Takedown Defense
Advantage:Angela (+48.0%)
74%50%
Angela
Fatima
Difference: 24.00%
Submissions/15min
Advantage:Angela (+Infinity%)
0.1 per 15min0 per 15min
Angela
Difference: 0.10 per 15min

🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown

🏆 Angela Hill Key Advantages

📈Pace & Minute-Winning
SLpM edge

5.43 SLpM vs 3.94; veteran cage craft banks rounds in a big space.

🛡️Defensive Wrestling
74% TDD

Limits control time; forces Kline to be extremely efficient on first attempts.

🏃‍♀️Cardio Reliability
High motor

Proven 15-minute engine; consistent outputs win optics in R2–R3.

⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios

🦵High-Kick Moments

Head-kick counters at fence resets; avoid tall exits.

🤼‍♀️Reactive Shots

Second-shot level changes off Hill's combos.

📋 Likely Gameplan

🌀Circle & Frame

Deny clinch entries with frames, bank minutes on jab/low kick.

🎯Short 2-3s

Short combos, exit on angles to avoid reactive doubles.

🚀 Fatima Kline Key Advantages

💥Damage Moments
Low SApM

Better damage control (2.29 SApM) with cleaner power optics.

🎣Reactive TD Accuracy
60% TDAcc

Level-change windows off Hill's 2nd/3rd shots create control chances.

🦵Kick Threat
Nashville KO

Head-kick setups off hand traps and body work change fight state fast.

⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios

🕸️Extended Space

Long-range minutes where Hill dictates tempo and exits.

🏗️Fence Clinch

Being turned and held; defensive wrestling tests add up.

📋 Likely Gameplan

🎯Short Entries

Jab feints, counter the second shot, mix 1–2 reactive doubles.

🦵Layer Kicks

Work body to set the late high-kick read after hand traps.

🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis

Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis

62%
Angela Hill Win Probability
Pace + TDD profile for minute-winning
38%
Fatima Kline Win Probability
KO equity + reactive TD accuracy

📊Detailed Analysis Summary

🏟️Range & Cage Dynamics

Large-cage minutes favor Hill's jab-low-kick triads and exits. Kline's moments are sharper but less frequent without clean entries.

🎯Technical Breakdown

Hill carries striking pace and TDD; Kline brings lower SApM and 60% TD accuracy. The clash is consistency vs damage spikes.

🧩Key Battle Areas

Hill's exits after 2-3s vs Kline's reactive doubles; fence phases (frames vs clinch turns); head-kick traps in late sequences.

🏁Final Prediction

Minutes favor Hill; moments favor Kline. Projection: Hill edges rounds by pace and geography unless Kline forces major damage or sticky control. Modal outcome: Hill by Decision.

💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market

Detailed value assessment in the betting market

📊Market Odds

Implied Probability: N/A
Implied Probability: N/A

🤖Analytical Model

Angela Hill-163
Model Probability: 62%
Fatima Kline+163
Model Probability: 38%

💎Value Opportunities

⭐⭐⭐
GOOD VALUE
Hill by Decision (+104)

Model: 49% of Hill wins | Market: ~49%

PROBABILITY:
49%
⭐⭐
FAIR VALUE
Kline by KO/TKO (+335)

Model: 23% | Market: priced for volatility

ALIGNED:
23%
SLIGHT VALUE
Over 2.5 Rounds (-178)

Model: 64% | Fair: -178

EDGE:
Tempo favors distance
⚠️Key Market Discrepancies
  • Pace vs Damage – Books may overweight KO equity vs Hill's consistent minute-winning.
  • TD optics – Kline's 60% TDAcc looks strong, but Hill's 74% TDD blunts ride time.
  • Age curve – Market uncertainty adds variance, but outputs remain robust.

🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis

100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data

🏆Outcome Distribution - Angela Hill

By Decision49%

Modal path via pace and control

By KO/TKO7%

Accumulation creates late stoppage lanes

By Submission6%

Occasional guillotine/snatch threat

💥Outcome Distribution - Fatima Kline

By KO/TKO23%

Primary finishing path via head/body kick lanes

By Decision12%

Short, sharp exchanges bank optics

By Submission3%

Lower submission emphasis historically

Fight Timeline Analysis

R1
Advantage: Kline
KO threat early, reactive shots
R2
Advantage: Even
Adjustments vs pace control
R3
Advantage: Hill
Minute-winning trend grows
R4
Advantage: —
N/A (3-round bout)
R5
Advantage: —
N/A (3-round bout)
Window of Opportunity - Fatima Kline
  • First 7–8 minutes: Highest KO equity before Hill's reads settle.
  • Kick layers: Body → head after hand traps.
  • Reactive doubles: Counter the second punch.
🎯Progressive Dominance - Angela Hill
  • Minute winning: Jab, calf kicks, fence frames.
  • Exit discipline: Avoid counters post-combo.
  • Late optics: R3 favors pace and control.

🎯 Final Confidence Assessment

Confidence level and uncertainty factors

7.5/10

Confidence Level

Solid edge for Hill in round-winning with KO volatility from Kline.

Supporting Factors

  • • Higher SLpM with similar accuracy
  • • Superior takedown defense (74%)
  • • Proven cardio across 15 minutes
  • • Veteran shot selection and exits

⚠️Risk Factors

  • • Kline's KO setups (head-kick layers)
  • • Reactive TD timing on second shots
  • • Age curve for Hill
  • • Strawweight variance

🏁Executive Summary

Hill's volume and defensive wrestling travel in big cages and map to consistent minute-winning, while Kline carries real finish spikes through head-kick layers and reactive takedowns. The model leans 62–38 toward Hill, with UD as the modal outcome and Kline KO as the live spoiler.

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