Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius
Women's Flyweight Bout • UFC Vancouver
Saturday, October 18, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Manon Fiorot
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Valentina Shevchenko | L | Decision - Unanimous (R5, 5:00) |
| 2024-03-30 | Erin Blanchfield | W | Decision - Unanimous (R5, 5:00) |
| 2023-09-02 | Rose Namajunas | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-10-22 | Katlyn Cerminara | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-03-26 | Jennifer Maia | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Jasmine Jasudavicius
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Jessica Andrade | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R1, 2:40) |
| 2025-02-01 | Mayra Bueno Silva | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-11-02 | Ariane da Silva | W | Submission - Brabo Choke (R3, 2:28) |
| 2024-07-13 | Fatima Kline | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-01-20 | Priscila Cachoeira | W | Submission - Anaconda Choke (R3, 4:21) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Manon Fiorot advantage: 13.0%Cardio Score
Manon Fiorot advantage: 9.3%Overall Rating
Manon Fiorot advantage: 11.1%📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (85.0 vs 65.0) and Grappling Composite (70.0 vs 73.0). Balances overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Manon Fiorot advantage: 30.8%Grappling Composite
Jasmine Jasudavicius advantage: 4.3%Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven 3-round prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Range & Cage Dynamics
Big cage favors Fiorot’s footwork and counter entries; Jasmine must close responsibly to avoid getting picked off at range.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Striking clearly favors Fiorot (higher SLpM/Acc, lower SApM), while Jasmine’s path is through takedowns and clinch control.
🧩Key Battle Areas
Leg kick disruption vs. clinch entries; underhooks at the fence; balance after exchanges to deny level changes.
🏁Final Prediction
Minutes favor Fiorot; moments favor Jasmine if she turns minutes into clinch and mat time. Projection: Fiorot by decision most often, with KO/TKO equity on accumulative damage.
🏅 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
💎Value Opportunities
GOOD VALUE
Model: 40% | Market: N/A
FAIR VALUE
Model: 10% | Market: N/A
SLIGHT VALUE
Model: 66% | Market: N/A
⚠️Key Market Discrepancies
- • Range vs Pressure – Books may underweight Fiorot’s range advantage in a big cage.
- • Clinch tax – Jasmine’s entries face counters; takedown success not guaranteed against footwork.
- • Decision skew – Three-round pacing favors minute winners, boosting decision equity.
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis (3-Round Fight)
100 hypothetical fight simulations based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Manon Fiorot
Primary path via minute winning at range
Accumulative damage finish lanes
Opportunistic grappling sequences
💥Outcome Distribution - Jasmine Jasudavicius
Chain-wrestling plus control time
Top control and damage in pockets
Lower stand-up finishing profile
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis (3 Round Fight)
⚡Window of Opportunity - Jasmine Jasudavicius
- • First 5 minutes: Best clinch and takedown equity before reads settle.
- • Intercept entries: Force fence exchanges to build control time.
- • Top pressure: Hunt transitions to backtakes.
🎯Progressive Dominance - Manon Fiorot
- • Minute winning: Jab, kicks, and counters at range.
- • Pace control: Reset after exchanges; deny clinch chains.
- • Defense first: Exit responsibly after combinations to avoid level changes.
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment (3-Round Fight)
Conviction level: 8/10 — Range control with live grappling danger
Confidence Level
Clear stand-up edge for Fiorot; Jasmine’s wrestling is the swing factor.
✅Supporting Factors
- • Higher SLpM and accuracy with lower SApM
- • Proven range management in big cage
- • Effective leg/body targeting to slow entries
- • Good defensive balance after exchanges
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Clinch chains at fence creating top control
- • Takedown flurries stealing minutes late in rounds
- • Counter-wrestling taxed by pace changes
🏁Executive Summary
Fiorot owns the sustainable minute‑winning profile and range tools, while Jasudavicius carries grappling danger. Over three rounds in a big cage, the model leans 75–25 toward Fiorot, with decision and KO as primary routes and Jasmine’s best chances tied to sustained clinch/mat time.
Prediction: Fiorot by Decision or KO/TKO. Hedge consideration: Jasmine by Submission.