Andre Petroski vs Cam Rowston
Men's Middleweight Bout • UFC Perth
Saturday, September 27, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Andre Petroski
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-14 | Edmen Shahbazyan | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2025-02-15 | Rodolfo Vieira | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-09-07 | Dylan Budka | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-07-13 | Josh Fremd | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-03-30 | Jacob Malkoun | L | KO/TKO (R2, 0:39) |
Last 5 Fights - Cam Rowston
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-19 | Brandon Holmes | W | KO/TKO (R1, 2:58) |
| 2024-08-20 | Torrez Finney | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-10-26 | Estrada Donga-as | W | KO/TKO (R1, —) |
| 2024-07-23 | Jon Kunneman | W | Submission (R1, —) |
| 2020-10-03 | Eli Taufuiaevalu | W | Submission (R1, —) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Andre Petroski advantage: 27.3%Cardio Score
Andre Petroski advantage: 5.9%Overall Rating
Andre Petroski advantage: 15.4%📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (64 vs 67) and Grappling Composite (75 vs 42). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Cam Rowston advantage: 4.7%Grappling Composite
Andre Petroski advantage: 78.6%🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of SLpM, Striking Accuracy, Striking Defense, and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including output, precision, and defense.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min, Takedown Accuracy, Takedown Defense, and Submissions per 15min. Evaluates takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Range & Cage Dynamics
Large cage favors the longer fighter, but Petroski's wrestling volume (3.21 TD/15) and 86% TD defense provide pace control when needed, mitigating Rowston's distance offense.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Petroski holds a decisive grappling edge (75 vs 42 composite). Rowston carries slight striking volume advantage (3.23 vs 2.82 SLpM) and 5" reach but faces a significant 28% takedown defense gap.
🧩Key Battle Areas
Entries off the fence, half-guard control, and Petroski's submission chains vs Rowston's counter windows in open space.
🏁Final Prediction
Minutes favor Petroski via takedowns and control; moments favor Rowston's power at range. Projection: Petroski by decision or submission if ground sequences accumulate.
🏅 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
💎Value Opportunities
GOOD VALUE
Model: 35% | Market: N/A
FAIR VALUE
Model: 25% | Market: N/A
SLIGHT VALUE
Model: 45% | Market: N/A
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis (3-Round Fight)
100 hypothetical fight simulations based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Andre Petroski
Primary path via control and defense
Ground-and-pound opportunities
Half-guard/mount chains create tap threats
💥Outcome Distribution - Cam Rowston
One-shot power at distance
Less likely in extended grappling sequences
Opportunistic but unlikely vs 86% TDD
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis (3 Round Fight)
⚡Window of Opportunity - Cam Rowston
- • First 5 minutes: highest KO equity before takedown reads
- • Long jabs and counter hooks as Petroski entries
- • Maintain outside footwork, avoid fence clinches
🎯Progressive Dominance - Andre Petroski
- • Chain wrestling to clinch control and top time
- • Risk management after exchanges; re-shoot on breaks
- • Prioritize half-guard pressure over risky submissions
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment (3-Round Fight)
Conviction level: 8/10 - Clear stylistic edge with KO volatility
Confidence Level
Grappling control advantage with debut variance
✅Supporting Factors
- • 3.21 TD/15 with 51% accuracy and 86% TDD
- • Experience edge (11 UFC fights) vs debut
- • Grappling composite 75 vs 42
- • Proven decision durability at UFC pace
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Early KO threat from Rowston at range
- • Petroski hittable during entries
- • Debut uncertainty for Rowston (unknown ceiling)
- • Large cage increases defensive footwork space
🏁Executive Summary
Petroski owns the sustainable minute-winning profile and decisive grappling edge, while Rowston carries genuine early knockout danger. The model leans 70–30 toward Petroski, with decision and submission as primary routes and deeper minutes increasingly favoring his control.
Prediction: Petroski by Decision or Submission. Live hedge: Rowston KO R1.