Luana Carolina vs Michelle Montague
UFC Perth • UFC Perth
Saturday, September 27, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Veteran Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Prospect Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Luana Carolina
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-20 | Lucie Pudilova | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-02-03 | Julija Stoliarenko | W | TKO - Punches (R3, 4:52) |
| 2023-07-01 | Ivana Petrovic | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-03-18 | Joanne Wood | L | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-03-19 | Molly McCann | L | KO - Spinning Back Elbow (R3, 1:52) |
Last 5 Fights - Michelle Montague
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | Marilia Morais | W | Submission - Rear-Naked Choke (R1, 1:44) |
| 2024-06-22 | Karolina Sobek | W | Submission - Rear-Naked Choke (R1, 2:41) |
| 2023-08-23 | Abigail Montes | W | Submission - Rear-Naked Choke (R2, 3:38) |
| 2023-02-03 | Shaquita Woods | W | Submission - Rear-Naked Choke (R2, 4:45) |
| 2022-10-14 | Danielle Wynn | W | Submission - Rear-Naked Choke (R3, 2:50) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite and Grappling Composite. Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and finish rate. Measures endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with conditioning and performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Luana Carolina Key Advantages
Consistent output and shot selection create a standing edge over a grappling-focused opponent.
Proven ability to keep fights standing against clinch and single-leg entries.
Comfortable in three-round battles with sustained output.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Submission specialist thrives once back control is established.
Montague's 2" height may aid clinch entries against the fence.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Work at range, punish entries, keep hips back and circle off the fence.
Accumulate damage to tax the cut to 135 and slow grappling shots.
🚀 Michelle Montague Key Advantages
Back takes and RNC sequences are the core finishing path.
Leverage in the clinch and trips to initiate ground sequences.
Relentless transitions from single/double to back takes and trips.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Volume and accuracy disadvantage in prolonged stand-up sequences.
Limited decision resume; endurance beyond 10 minutes is less tested.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Force clinch, create scrambles, jump to the back and work RNC.
Capitalize early before Carolina's volume game accumulates damage.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Experience & Context
Carolina enters with nine UFC fights and a three-fight win streak, built on volume striking and durable pacing. Montague is 6-0 with all wins by submission but debuts in the Octagon and drops from 145 to 135 lbs.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Stand-up favors Carolina (4.81 SLpM, 51% accuracy) while Montague's clearest path is grappling chains to back control. Carolina's 74% takedown defense is the hinge variable.
⚡Key Battle Areas
Early sequences decide momentum: if Montague secures clean entries in R1–R2, submission equity spikes; if stuffed, Carolina's volume and leg/body work tend to snowball.
🏁Final Prediction
Lean Luana Carolina. Most simulations favor a decision or late TKO for Carolina (65–35 overall), with live danger from Montague's RNC if the fight spends time on the mat.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive market analysis with live odds (BetOnline preferred)
📊Market Odds
Additional Markets
🤖Analytical Model
Model Props
💎Value Opportunities
MAX VALUE (if market drifts)
Model: 50% | Watch for plus money
GOOD VALUE (spot)
Model: 30% | Seek +250 or better
SLIGHT VALUE
Model: 60% | Market often near 55–60%
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Luana Carolina
Primary path via volume and TDD
Accumulation or late stoppage
Uncommon path
💥Outcome Distribution - Michelle Montague
Main finishing route
Less likely given style
Uncommon path
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
Veteran data vs debut variables
✅Supporting Factors
- • 9 UFC fights for Carolina (6–3)
- • 74% takedown defense vs grappler
- • 4.81 SLpM and sustained pace
- • 3-fight win streak in UFC
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Montague's elite submission game
- • Debut variance at 135 lbs
- • Height and clinch leverage