Jack Jenkins vs Ramon Taveras
Men's Featherweight Bout • UFC Perth
Saturday, September 27, 2025
Explore Detailed Fighter Profiles
Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Jack Jenkins
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | Gabriel Santos | L | Submission - Rear-Naked Choke (R3, 2:06) |
| 2024-08-17 | Herbert Burns | W | TKO - Retirement (R3, 0:48) |
| 2023-09-09 | Jose Mariscal | L | TKO - Arm Injury (R2, 3:19) |
| 2023-06-24 | Jamall Emmers | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-02-11 | Don Shainis | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Ramon Taveras
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-14 | Davey Grant | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-01-20 | Serhiy Sidey | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-10-10 | Cortavious Romious | W | TKO - Punches (R1, 0:29) |
| 2023-09-05 | Serhiy Sidey | L | TKO - Punches (R1, 2:26) |
| 2023-05-06 | James Dunn | W | TKO (R2, 2:26) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (57.5 vs 37.9) and Grappling Composite (47.2 vs 25). Balances overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, pace (SLpM), takedown attempts per 15, and finish rate. Measures ability to maintain output through the full 15 minutes.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of each fighter’s capabilities and consistency across phases.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Jack Jenkins Key Advantages
Superior strike selection (≈60% accuracy) with manageable absorption (3.4 per min).
Opportunistic takedowns at 62.5% accuracy disrupt pocket rhythm and bank control minutes.
Absorbs far fewer strikes than opponent; better range control in a big cage.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
If stuck trading in tight pockets, variance rises and defense erodes.
Recent finishes against keep an underdog KO path present.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Pick shots, manage exits, sprinkle level changes to bank control time.
Use takedown feints/entries to suppress pocket exchanges.
🚀 Ramon Taveras Key Advantages
Solid 15-minute engine; can keep pressure and stay in the fight late.
Two-inch reach advantage aids his jab and pocket entries.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
At range, economy gaps (43% acc, 7.5 SApM) become liabilities.
Limited offensive wrestling; resets caused by TD threats can stall momentum.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Collapse space, force exchanges, and work 2–3 punch bursts into clinch resets.
Chew the lead leg and use feints to draw counters; aim to land over the top.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Championship Geometry
Big-cage distance striking favors Jenkins: the 16.5 percentage-point accuracy gap and much lower absorption rate usually widen over 15 minutes.
🧠Technical Breakdown
Jenkins brings phase variety (1.2 TD/15 at 62.5% acc) and efficiency; Taveras brings pace and reach but leaks economy (7.5 absorbed/min, 43.2% accuracy). Those signals typically map to Jenkins banking rounds unless pocket brawls dominate.
🔑Key Battlegrounds
Distance exchanges, level-change optics, and whether Taveras can hold pocket time despite the cage. If he can’t, Jenkins’s clean minutes accumulate.
🏁Final Prediction
Numbers lean to Jenkins by decision more often, with stoppage chances emerging if Taveras’s absorption persists. Projection: Jenkins edges a decision or late KO/TKO; underdog KO remains the main Taveras path.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
💎Value Opportunities
GOOD VALUE
Model: 36% | Market: N/A
FAIR VALUE
Model: 30% | Market: N/A
ALIGNED
Model: 58% | Market: N/A
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Jack Jenkins
Primary path via clean minutes and defense
Accumulated damage in later rounds
Opportunistic only
💥Outcome Distribution - Ramon Taveras
Early pocket success is key
Pocket control and volume minutes
Rare outcome
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
⚡Window of Opportunity - Ramon Taveras
- • First 5–7 minutes: most KO leverage
- • Force pocket time; avoid resets from level changes
- • Make accuracy gap irrelevant by increasing pace
🎯Progressive Control - Jack Jenkins
- • Manage distance and exits; counter clean
- • Mix levels 1–2 times per round to stall rhythm
- • Prioritize clean minutes over brawls
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
Strong conviction from accuracy and absorption splits
✅Supporting Factors
- • +16.5 pp accuracy edge
- • Massive absorption gap (3.4 vs 7.5 per min)
- • Phase-shift tool (TDs) to control rounds
- • Big-cage geometry favors movement
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Small UFC sample for Taveras (possible improvement)
- • Jenkins recent volatility (finishes against)
- • Pocket brawls increase variance
🏁Executive Summary
Efficiency, defense, and phase-shifting point to Jenkins controlling more minutes in a large cage. Taveras’s path is early pocket success and sustained pressure; otherwise the accuracy/absorption gaps accumulate against him.
Prediction: Jenkins by Decision most often, KO/TKO live late. Underdog KO remains Taveras’s primary route.