Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison
Men's Heavyweight Bout • UFC Perth
Saturday, September 27, 2025
Explore Detailed Fighter Profiles
Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Brando Pericic
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | Orion Kenny | W | KO/TKO - Ground and Pound (R1, 1:08) |
| 2024-10-25 | Tumanako Phillips | W | KO/TKO - Strikes (R1, 0:17) |
| 2024-05-04 | Randall Rayment | L | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R2, 1:36) |
| 2024-04-20 | Kelvin Fitial | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R1, 3:26) |
| 2019-11-03 | Ricky Beichun | W | TKO (R2, —) |
Last 5 Fights - Elisha Ellison
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | Rafael Brewster | W | KO/TKO - Punches (R1, 3:21) |
| 2024-10-05 | Spur Roundstone | W | KO/TKO - Strikes (R1, 1:36) |
| 2024-08-31 | Johnnie Burlington | W | KO/TKO (R1, 0:47) |
| 2024-05-25 | Dave Pearson | L | Submission - Side Choke (R2, 0:45) |
| 2023-12-08 | Sua Tuani | W | Submission - Guillotine Choke (R1, 3:31) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Elisha Ellison advantage: 1.1%Cardio Score
Elisha Ellison advantage: 4.3%Overall Rating
Elisha Ellison advantage: 2.6%📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite and Grappling Composite. Uses finish rates and style profiles to approximate overall technical capability prior to UFC stat availability.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average finish timing, streak momentum, and fight pacing indicators. Approximates endurance and ability to maintain output across a 3‑round heavyweight fight.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score for an at‑a‑glance comparison of total capability.
Striking Composite
Elisha Ellison advantage: 5.1%Grappling Composite
Brando Pericic advantage: 3.6%🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of striking output and efficiency proxies. For debuting heavyweights, finish method history and pace tendencies inform this pre‑UFC estimate.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Derived from submission history and defensive outcomes to approximate takedown and scramble efficacy when round‑by‑round UFC stats are not yet available.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data‑driven 3‑round prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Range & Cage Dynamics
Large cage aids Pericic's ranging and clinch entries; Ellison thrives when the fight collapses into the pocket early.
🎯Technical Breakdown
KO power both sides; size plus clinch persistence increase Pericic's round‑winning stability beyond R1.
🏁Final Prediction
Lean Pericic by KO/TKO or decision if early hazards are managed; Ellison remains live for an early KO.
🏅 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis (3‑Round Fight)
100 hypothetical fight simulations based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Brando Pericic
Control and cage time advantage
Clinched entries and attritional damage
Occasional scramble opportunism
💥Outcome Distribution - Elisha Ellison
Early pocket exchanges and counters
Less likely over 3 rounds
Front‑headlock or guillotine traps
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis (3 Round Fight)
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Model confidence and key risk factors
Confidence Level
Edge to Pericic via size and control with early KO risk from Ellison.
✅Supporting Factors
- • Height and reach leverage in a large cage
- • Clinch control pathways and finishing volume
- • Both fighters finish in wins; control favors the larger athlete
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Ellison's first‑round KO power
- • Submission defense in scrambles for Pericic
- • Small professional sample sizes
🏁Executive Summary
Matchup pits compact KO power versus rangy control. If early danger is managed, Pericic's size and cage craft trend the final minutes. Ellison remains live to detonate round‑one counters.
Prediction: Pericic by KO/TKO or Decision. Live hedge: Ellison KO R1.