Daniel Santos vs Joo Sang Yoo
Men's Featherweight Bout • UFC 320
Saturday, October 4, 2025
Explore Detailed Fighter Profiles
Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Core Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Prospect Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Daniel Santos
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Jeong Yeong Lee | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-06-03 | Johnny Munoz Jr. | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-10-01 | John Castaneda | W | KO/TKO - Knee in Clinch (R2, 4:28) |
| 2022-04-09 | Julio Arce | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2019-12-14 | Nizambek Abdrashitov | W | Submission - Armbar (R1, 2:37) |
Last 5 Fights - Joo Sang Yoo
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-07 | Jeka Saragih | W | KO/TKO - Check Hook (R1, 0:28) |
| 2024-12-14 | Masuto Kawana | W | KO/TKO - Punches (R1, 1:15) |
| 2024-06-29 | Reinaldo Ekson | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-08-19 | Takuya Kuramoto | W | TKO - Punches (R1, 0:32) |
| 2022-12-30 | Shunichi Shimizu | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite and Grappling Composite. Santos (36/43) vs Yoo (57/0) reflects a balanced pressure-wrestler versus an explosive but untested grappler.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and finish rate. Santos' proven 15-minute pace edges Yoo's limited UFC sample.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score to capture overall capability combining skill set with endurance and consistency.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Highlights Yoo's precision and reach vs Santos' volume.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min. Santos carries the clear edge.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Daniel Santos Key Advantages
Proven takedown volume and clinch control that disrupt opponent rhythm and reduces counter windows.
Sustained pace over 15 minutes with high-pressure sequences; proven in multiple decision wins.
Ability to stall and damage in close, mitigating Yoo's check hook timing on entries.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Early linear pressure can walk onto Yoo's signature counter left.
At long range, Yoo's 4" reach and timing reduce Santos' effectiveness.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Angle off entries, pin to fence, and mix level changes to blunt counters.
Grind minutes with clinch knees and top control to build scorecard equity.
🚀 Joo Sang Yoo Key Advantages
One-shot counter threat with signature check-left; elite timing on entries.
71" reach and sharp accuracy create first-contact advantages at range.
Reads linear entries and punishes with compact counters.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Wrestling sequences and fence work tax arms and suppress counter windows.
Cage cuts and pressure reduce set-up time for counters.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Maintain center, draw entries, and punish over-steps with the check-left.
Avoid clinch entanglements; circle out and reset after single exchanges.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Fight Dynamics
Classic pressure-versus-counter matchup. The large cage and Yoo's +4" reach increase counter windows early, while Santos' pressure game aims to shift geography to fence and clinch.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Statistical profile shows Yoo's inflated SLpM and accuracy from a tiny UFC sample, yet genuine timing and power. Santos brings superior takedown volume (3.03/15) and sturdy TDD (73%), enabling mixed phases to dampen counters.
⚡Key Battle Areas
R1 timing exchanges favor Yoo; clinch and wrestling cycles favor Santos; late-round pace favors Santos' cardio. The bout likely hinges on whether Santos avoids walking into the early check-left.
🏁Final Prediction
Slight lean to Santos by decision after absorbing early pressure and securing clinch/top-control minutes. Yoo is live for an early KO if he finds clean counters in the first five minutes.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Market review and model projections
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
Model Props (no market)
💎Value Opportunities (model-derived)
MAXIMUM VALUE
Probability: 38%
GOOD VALUE
Probability: 30%
SLIGHT VALUE
Probability: 55%
⚠️Key Market Discrepancies
- • No public market yet — monitor openers for mispricing on decision vs KO props.
- • Model expects early volatility (Under 2.5 ~55%) contrary to typical 3-round pacing.
- • Grappling uncertainty for Yoo could be undervalued on open.
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Santos
Primary route via clinch and control minutes
Accumulation or ground-and-pound
Occasional submission threat
💥Outcome Distribution - Yoo
Primary finishing weapon via counters
Lower likelihood if pressure takes over
Minimal submission path
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
⚡Window of Opportunity - Yoo
- • First 5 minutes: prime counter timing and power.
- • Maintain center and force linear entries.
- • Avoid clinch entanglements and fence pressure.
🎯Progressive Control - Santos
- • Early cage cuts to reduce pocketless entries.
- • Chain takedowns off clinch for control minutes.
- • Short combos and level changes to avoid counters.
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
Clear stylistic edges with small-sample risks
✅Supporting Factors
- • Santos' grappling volume and clinch control
- • 15-minute cardio profile and durability
- • Ability to mix phases to mute counters
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Yoo's early counter KO threat
- • Unknown UFC-level TDD sample for Yoo
- • Large cage favors range striking moments
🏁Executive Summary
Slight lean to Santos in a high-variance striker–counter striker bout. His wrestling pace and clinch control reduce risk over 15 minutes, while Yoo's early KO window remains significant.
Prediction: Santos by Decision most often, with Yoo's KO threat concentrated in the opening round. Monitor market openers for potential pricing errors on decision and under props.