William Gomis vs Robert Ruchala
UFC Fight Night Paris
Saturday, September 6, 2025
Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - William Gomis
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Hyder Amil | L | Split Decision (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-09-28 | Joanderson Brito | W | Split Decision (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-09-02 | Yanis Ghemmouri | W | TKO - Body Kick (R3, 2:20) |
| 2023-04-22 | Francis Marshall | W | Split Decision (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-09-03 | Jarno Errens | W | Majority Decision (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Robert Ruchała
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | Kacper Formela | W | TKO - Elbows/Punches (R3, 2:44) |
| 2024-05-11 | Patryk Kaczmarczyk | W | TKO - Body Kick (R1, 0:59) |
| 2023-08-19 | Salahdine Parnasse | L | TKO - Body Kick (R4, 4:42) |
| 2023-03-17 | Lom-Ali Eskiev | W | TKO - Elbows (R5, 4:35) |
| 2022-10-14 | Damian Stasiak | W | Split Decision (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Ruchała advantage: 9.4%Cardio Score
Ruchała advantage: 7.1%Overall Rating
Ruchała advantage: 7.5%📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (72 vs 64) and Grappling Composite (55 vs 75). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Gomis advantage: 12.5%Grappling Composite
Ruchała advantage: 36.4%🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including offensive output, precision, and defensive ability.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min (SubPer15). Evaluates complete grappling game including takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
Strikes Landed/Min
Striking Accuracy
Striking Defense
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Takedowns/15min
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Submissions/15min
🥊Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆William Gomis Key Advantages
🛡️UFC Experience
5 fightsProven UFC composure with 4-1 record and experience in the Octagon against elite competition. Understands pace and pressure of UFC fights.
🥊Striking Precision
51% accuracySuperior striking accuracy (51% vs 49%) with proven finishing ability. Southpaw stance creates angles and timing issues for orthodox opponents.
📏Physical Advantages
+2" heightSignificant height (6'0" vs 5'10") and reach advantage (73" vs 72.5") allows control of striking distance and range management.
🚀Robert Ruchała Key Advantages
🤼Grappling Dominance
75 compositeSuperior grappling composite (75 vs 55) with strong takedown ability (2.4 vs 0.62 per 15min) and submission threat (1.8 vs 0.4 per 15min).
🔥Finishing Power
54.5% finish rateBalanced finishing ability with 6 finishes (3 KO/TKO, 3 submissions). Recent back-to-back TKO victories show dangerous power and timing.
📈Momentum & Youth
91.7% win rateExcellent record (11-1) with current 2-fight win streak. Prime age (27) and hunger for UFC debut success creates dangerous motivation.
⚠️Unfavorable Scenarios - Gomis
💥Grappling Exchanges
Struggles against strong wrestlers and grapplers. Ruchała's superior takedown rate and submission threats could neutralize striking advantages.
🔄Momentum Loss
Coming off split decision loss to Hyder Amil. Needs to rebuild confidence against motivated UFC debutant with everything to prove.
⚠️Unfavorable Scenarios - Ruchała
🎯Range Control
Gomis's reach and height advantages could keep fight at distance where his striking precision becomes decisive factor in scoring rounds.
🏟️UFC Debut Pressure
First UFC fight brings unique pressure and pace. Gomis's experience in big moments could prove decisive in close exchanges.
📋Likely Gameplan - Gomis
🎯Distance Management
Utilize reach advantage and southpaw stance to control range. Keep fight standing with jabs, leg kicks, and movement to avoid takedowns.
🥊Precision Striking
Focus on accuracy over volume. Look for counter-striking opportunities and use feints to create openings for power shots.
📋Likely Gameplan - Ruchała
🤼Pressure & Takedowns
Close distance quickly and pressure Gomis against the cage. Look for takedown opportunities and control positions on the ground.
⚡Early Aggression
Make statement early in UFC debut. Use combination of striking and grappling to overwhelm and finish fight before later rounds.
🔮Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
William Gomis Win Probability
Slight favorite based on UFC experience and striking precision
Robert Ruchała Win Probability
Strong chance with superior grappling and finishing power
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
Experience Factor
This featherweight bout presents a classic veteran vs newcomer dynamic. Gomis's UFC experience (4-1 record) provides significant advantages in understanding Octagon pace, pressure management, and championship-level competition adaptation.
Technical Breakdown
The statistical analysis reveals contrasting strengths that could determine the outcome. Gomis's striking precision (51% vs 49% accuracy) and reach advantage create pathways to victory, while Ruchała's grappling superiority (75 vs 55 composite) provides alternative routes to success.
Key Battle Areas
The fight will likely be determined by range control versus pressure wrestling. Gomis must utilize his physical advantages (2" height, 0.5" reach) to maintain distance, while Ruchała needs to close the gap and impose his superior takedown rate (2.4 vs 0.62 per 15min).
Final Prediction
While Ruchała possesses dangerous finishing tools and superior grappling, Gomis's proven ability to perform under UFC pressure, combined with his striking advantages and takedown defense (73%), gives him the edge in this competitive matchup, likely resulting in a decision victory.
💰Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📈Market Odds
🧠Analytical Model
💎Value Opportunities
SLIGHT VALUE
Gomis by Decision
Model: 38% | Market: N/A
Edge: Model suggests higher probability of decision victory based on Gomis's striking precision and takedown defense capabilities.
FAIR VALUE
Ruchała by Submission
Model: 8% | Market: N/A
Analysis: Superior submission rate (1.8 vs 0.4 per 15min) creates legitimate finishing threat if grappling exchanges occur.
SLIGHT VALUE
Over 2.5 Rounds
Model: 53% | Market: N/A
Reasoning: Both fighters' average fight durations and defensive capabilities suggest competitive bout likely to see later rounds.
🔮Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Gomis
Primary path to victory via cardio and defense
Counter-striking opportunities in later rounds
Rare but possible defensive wrestling pressure
💥Outcome Distribution - Ruchała
Main finishing method - raw shot power
Less likely due to cardio disadvantage
Minimal submission threat historically
⏱️Fight Timeline Analysis (Round by Round)
⚡Window of Opportunity - Ruchała
- • First 10 minutes: Maximum grappling and striking power advantage
- • Round 1: 60% of his finishes occur early based on power stats
- • Pressure control: Must utilize superior takedown rate and aggression
- • Energy management: Avoid extended striking exchanges with veteran
🎯Progressive Control - Gomis
- • Round 2+: Superior UFC experience and pressure management
- • Accumulation: Striking precision wears down opponent over time
- • Distance control: Constant range management throughout all 3 rounds
- • Late control: Higher decision win rate in championship experience
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level: 6/10 - Competitive featherweight bout with multiple variables
Confidence Level
Moderate confidence due to contrasting fighting styles and debut variables
✅Supporting Factors
- • Gomis's proven UFC composure and experience
- • Superior striking accuracy and precision
- • Physical advantages (height and reach)
- • Strong takedown defense (73%)
- • Historical veteran vs debut patterns
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Ruchała's superior grappling composite (75 vs 55)
- • Strong takedown rate and submission threat
- • Recent momentum with 2-fight win streak
- • Dangerous early in fights with finishing power
- • UFC debut motivation and hunger
🏁Executive Summary
This featherweight bout presents a fascinating tactical battle between Gomis's proven UFC experience and striking precision against Ruchała's superior grappling credentials and finishing power. While Gomis's 4-1 UFC record and 51% striking accuracy create clear pathways to victory through range control and decision-making, Ruchała's 75 grappling composite and 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes present legitimate threats that could determine the outcome in the early rounds.
The statistical analysis favors Gomis's experience and striking advantages, particularly in championship-level pressure management where his UFC composure becomes increasingly decisive. However, Ruchała's ability to impose his grappling game and utilize his finishing power (54.5% finish rate) creates genuine uncertainty in this stylistic matchup.
Prediction: Gomis's proven ability to perform under UFC pressure, combined with superior striking metrics and physical advantages, gives him the slight edge in this competitive matchup. The 65-35 split reflects genuine uncertainty, with the winner likely emerging through either Gomis's patient striking discipline ultimately prevailing through superior range control, or Ruchała's explosive grappling power creating decisive moments before experience advantages take effect, likely resulting in a decision victory for the veteran that establishes his position in the featherweight division.