Shauna Bannon vs Sam Hughes
Women's Strawweight • UFC Fight Night Paris
Saturday, September 6, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Bannon Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Hughes Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Shauna Bannon
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | Puja Tomar | W | Submission - Armbar (R2, 3:22) |
| 2024-07-27 | Alice Ardelean | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-07-22 | Bruna Brasil | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-03-15 | Minna Grusander | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-12-04 | Kerry Isom | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Sam Hughes
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Stephanie Luciano | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-08-03 | Victoria Dudakova | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-02-24 | Yazmin Jauregui | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-04-08 | Jaqueline Amorim | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-10-15 | Piera Rodriguez | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (65 vs 69) and Grappling Composite (28 vs 46). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including offensive output, precision, and defensive ability.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min (SubPer15). Evaluates complete grappling game including takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Shauna Bannon Key Advantages
Higher submission rate (0.78 vs 0.11 per 15min) creates constant submission danger in transitions
Higher output with 4.77 vs 4.41 SLpM allows more opportunities to find openings
Slight reach advantage allows better control of striking distance and range management
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Hughes' superior takedown defense (60% vs 43%) and wrestling pressure could neutralize grappling advantages
Hughes' superior striking defense (59% vs 44%) makes it harder to land clean strikes for openings
📋 Likely Gameplan
Use striking volume and reach advantage to create openings and opportunities for grappling exchanges
Look for submission opportunities in scrambles and transition positions rather than prolonged ground control
🚀 Sam Hughes Key Advantages
Elite defensive striking (59% vs 44%) and takedown defense (60% vs 43%) create fortress-like protection
Superior striking accuracy (47% vs 44%) with better defensive awareness makes strikes more meaningful
Active takedown threat (1.08 per 15min vs 0.00) can control fight geography and dictate engagement
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Bannon's submission threat increases significantly in scrambles and transition positions
Extended striking exchanges could favor Bannon's higher volume and create more transition opportunities
📋 Likely Gameplan
Use wrestling pressure and takedown threat to control fight geography and limit Bannon's movement
Utilize superior striking defense to weather volume while landing more accurate counter strikes
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🥊Stylistic Matchup Analysis
This women's strawweight bout showcases a classic striker versus wrestler dynamic with both fighters bringing unique advantages to the octagon. Hughes enters as the statistical favorite due to her superior defensive metrics across both striking and grappling domains, while Bannon's submission threat and volume striking create legitimate paths to victory through opportunistic scrambles and sustained pressure.
🎯Technical Breakdown
The statistical analysis reveals Hughes' superiority in key defensive areas: 59% striking defense versus Bannon's 44%, and 60% takedown defense compared to 43%. However, Bannon's submission rate advantage (0.78 vs 0.11 per 15 minutes) represents a constant threat that could neutralize Hughes' wrestling control. The striking volume differential (4.77 vs 4.41 SLpM) favors Bannon in extended exchanges.
⚡Key Battlegrounds
The fight's outcome will likely hinge on three critical areas: Hughes' ability to implement wrestling pressure without exposing herself to Bannon's submission attempts; Bannon's success in creating scramble situations where her grappling advantage becomes most pronounced; and the pace of striking exchanges where Bannon's volume could accumulate damage against Hughes' more measured approach.
🏁Final Prediction
Hughes' comprehensive defensive advantages and wrestling control give her the clearer path to victory through consistent round-winning performances. Her ability to neutralize takedowns while implementing her own wrestling pressure, combined with superior striking accuracy, creates multiple avenues to success. Bannon's best opportunities lie in forcing scrambles and capitalizing on submission windows, but Hughes' defensive metrics suggest she's well-equipped to navigate these dangers over 15 minutes.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Detailed value assessment in the betting market
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
Model Props
📈Market Analysis
🎯Expected Market Positioning
Based on our statistical model, we expect Hughes to open as a moderate favorite around -180 to -200 when odds become available. Her superior defensive metrics and more extensive UFC experience should make her the betting favorite, though Bannon's submission threat and finishing ability could keep the line from growing too wide. Early value may exist on Hughes if the market undervalues her defensive advantages, while Bannon could offer value if her recent submission victory is overlooked.
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Bannon
Volume striking path to victory via cardio and defense
Less likely but possible via accumulated damage
Primary finishing threat via scrambles and transitions
💥Outcome Distribution - Hughes
Most likely path via wrestling control and defensive striking
Counter striking opportunities and accumulated damage
Ground control leading to submission opportunities
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
⚡Window of Opportunity - Bannon
- • First 8 minutes: Maximum submission threat before Hughes establishes control
- • Scramble situations: Brief windows where superior grappling can shine
- • Volume accumulation: Early rounds to build up striking advantages
- • Transition moments: Capitalize on Hughes' wrestling entries
🎯Control Strategy - Hughes
- • Round 2-3: Establish wrestling control and pace management
- • Defensive positioning: Neutralize submission attempts with superior TDD
- • Counter striking: Use defensive awareness to land clean shots
- • Cardio advantage: Maintain pressure in later rounds
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level: 7/10 - Strong statistical backing with clear stylistic advantages
Confidence Level
High confidence due to clear statistical advantages
✅Supporting Factors
- • Hughes' superior defensive metrics
- • Wrestling control advantage
- • More extensive UFC experience
- • Better cardio and conditioning
- • Recent competitive improvements
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Bannon's submission threat
- • Striking volume disadvantage
- • Scramble situations favor Bannon
- • Women's MMA unpredictability
- • Limited recent high-level competition
🏁Executive Summary
This women's strawweight bout represents a compelling stylistic clash where Hughes' comprehensive defensive advantages create multiple paths to victory against Bannon's more specialized submission threat. Hughes' superior striking defense (59% vs 44%), takedown defense (60% vs 43%), and wrestling control provide a solid foundation for consistent round-winning performances over 15 minutes.
While Bannon's submission rate advantage (0.78 vs 0.11 per 15 minutes) and striking volume create legitimate upset potential, Hughes' defensive metrics suggest she's well-equipped to navigate these dangers. The statistical analysis strongly favors the more well-rounded fighter in Hughes, whose improvements in recent outings demonstrate continued evolution in her game.
Prediction: Hughes should control this fight through wrestling pressure and defensive striking, likely winning a clear decision. Bannon's best chance lies in forcing early scrambles and capitalizing on submission opportunities, but Hughes' 65% win probability reflects her clearer path to victory and superior all-around skill set in this matchup.