Long Xiao vs Su Young You
Men's Bantamweight Bout • UFC Fight Night
Saturday, August 23, 2025
Explore Detailed Fighter Profiles
Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Striker Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Grappler Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Long Xiao
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-23 | Quang Le | W | TKO - Punches R3 1:28 |
| 2024-06-22 | Chang Ho Lee | L | Decision - Split R3 5:00 |
| 2023-08-27 | Shuya Kamikubo | W | Decision - Majority R3 5:00 |
| 2023-05-28 | Shohei Nose | W | Decision - Split R3 5:00 |
| 2022-03-02 | Shamaiti Shanati | W | Decision - Unanimous R5 5:00 |
Last 5 Fights - Su Young You
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | AJ Cunningham | W | Decision - Unanimous R3 5:00 |
| 2024-11-23 | Baergeng Jieleyisi | W | Decision - Unanimous R3 5:00 |
| 2024-08-23 | Daermisi Zhawupasi | W | Decision - Split R3 5:00 |
| 2024-05-19 | Shohei Nose | W | Decision - Unanimous R3 5:00 |
| 2024-01-20 | Min Woo Kim | NC | No Contest R4 2:09 |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (75 vs 56) and Grappling Composite (52 vs 75). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including offensive output, precision, and defensive ability.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min (SubPer15). Evaluates complete grappling game including takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆Long Xiao Key Advantages
🎯 Volume Striking+287% output
Significant striking advantage with 5.40 SLpM vs 1.88 - can bank rounds through consistent volume and pressure if fight stays standing.
📏 Range Control+5" reach
Substantial reach advantage (70" vs 65") allows him to control distance, land clean shots while staying out of You's grappling range.
🛡️ Takedown Defense77% TDD
Strong takedown defense (77%) provides good foundation to keep fight standing where his striking advantages can be maximized.
⚠️Unfavorable Scenarios
Grappling Exchanges
You's superior grappling (4.75 TD/15min at 55% accuracy) and submission threat could neutralize Xiao's striking advantages on the ground.
Late Round Fatigue
You's superior cardio score (75 vs 70) could become decisive in championship rounds where conditioning matters most.
📋Likely Gameplan
Distance Management: Use reach advantage to land clean 1-2 combinations while staying out of clinch range
Leg Kick Threat: Target You's lead leg to limit his mobility and takedown entries
Defensive Wrestling: Sprawl hard on takedown attempts and look to scramble back to feet quickly
Early Aggression: Push pace early to capitalize on striking advantages before You settles into rhythm
🏆Su Young You Key Advantages
🥋 Grappling Dominance+565% TD rate
Overwhelming grappling advantage with 4.75 TD/15min at 55% accuracy vs Xiao's limited wrestling output (0.84 TD/15min).
🛡️ Defensive Excellence71% def
Superior striking defense (71% vs 50%) and minimal damage absorption (1.32 vs 4.27 SApM) neutralizes Xiao's volume.
🫁 Cardio Advantage+7% cardio
Better conditioning (75 vs 70 cardio score) provides advantage in later rounds and allows sustained grappling pressure.
⚠️Unfavorable Scenarios
Range Striking Battles
Xiao's reach advantage and superior striking volume could create problems if You can't consistently close distance for takedowns.
Low Output Striking
Limited striking volume (1.88 SLpM) makes it difficult to win rounds on feet and could lead to falling behind early.
📋Likely Gameplan
Early Takedowns: Pressure for takedowns early and often to establish grappling dominance
Chain Wrestling: Mix single-leg to double-leg combinations, finish along the fence
Top Control: Advance position systematically, look for submission opportunities
Pace Control: Use superior cardio to maintain grappling pressure throughout 3 rounds
🔮Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
Long Xiao Win Probability
Slight favorite based on striking advantages and reach
Su Young You Win Probability
Strong chance with superior grappling and defense
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏆Stylistic Matchup
This bantamweight clash presents a classic striker vs grappler dynamic. Xiao's 287% striking output advantage contrasts sharply with You's 565% takedown rate superiority. The fight outcome will likely hinge on whether Xiao can maintain distance and utilize his reach advantage, or if You can close the gap and impose his grappling.
⚙️Technical Breakdown
The statistical analysis reveals contrasting strengths that could determine the outcome. Xiao's striking volume (5.40 vs 1.88 SLpM) provides a clear path to victory on the feet, while You's defensive metrics (71% vs 50% striking defense) and grappling dominance (4.75 vs 0.84 TD/15min) offer alternative routes to success.
⚔️Key Battle Areas
The fight will be determined by timing and conditioning. Xiao's path to victory involves weathering You's early takedown pressure while utilizing his 5" reach advantage. You must capitalize on his superior cardio (75 vs 70) and establish grappling control before Xiao's striking volume accumulates decisive damage on the scorecards.
🎯Final Prediction
While You possesses the tools to score a knockout victory and his striking advantages are legitimate, Xiao's proven ability to neutralize superior grappling combined with his defensive metrics and conditioning gives him the slight edge. The 60-40 split reflects the quality of both fighters and the multiple pathways each has to victory. Expect a tactical battle where Xiao's distance management and You's grappling pressure create a compelling three-round chess match, likely resulting in a decision victory for the striker.
💰Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
⚠️Market Analysis
No Market Data Available: Without available betting odds, we cannot assess market efficiency or identify value opportunities. Our model suggests Xiao is a 60% favorite based on his striking advantages and reach, while You's grappling dominance makes him a live 40% underdog. Monitor odds when they become available for potential value.
🎲Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Long Xiao
Primary path to victory via cardio and volume
Counter-striking opportunities in later rounds
Rare but possible defensive grappling sequence
🏆Outcome Distribution - Su Young You
Grappling control and positional dominance
Ground control leading to submission finish
Minimal knockout threat historically
⏱️Fight Timeline Analysis
R1
Advantage: You
Fresh grappling and early takedown attempts
R2
Advantage: Even
Grappling vs striking adaptations
R3
Advantage: Xiao
Conditioning and late round volume
🎯Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level: 6/10 - Competitive rematch with multiple variables
✅Supporting Factors
Clear statistical advantages in key areas for both fighters
Contrasting styles create clear paths to victory
Both fighters have proven finishing ability
Recent form supports statistical analysis
⚠️Risk Factors
Limited UFC sample size for both fighters
Stylistic unknowns in bantamweight division
Both capable of tactical adjustments
Cage size and venue factors unknown
📋Executive Summary
This bantamweight clash presents a fascinating tactical battle between proven championship-level fighters. Xiao's striking advantages and You's grappling dominance create a genuine pick'em fight. The statistical analysis slightly favors Xiao due to his volume striking and reach, but You's defensive metrics and grappling threat make this competitive. Expect tactical adjustments throughout, likely resulting in a decision victory for whichever fighter can best implement their gameplan consistently across three rounds.