Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue
Women's Strawweight Bout • UFC Abu Dhabi
Saturday, October 25, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Jaqueline Amorim
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Polyana Viana | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R2, 1:49) |
| 2024-09-07 | Vanessa Demopoulos | W | Submission - Armbar (R1, 3:28) |
| 2024-03-16 | Cory McKenna | W | Submission - Armbar (R1, 1:38) |
| 2023-08-12 | Montserrat Conejo Ruiz | W | TKO (elbows and punches) (R3, 3:41) |
| 2023-04-08 | Sam Hughes | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Mizuki Inoue
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-23 | Hannah Goldy | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2020-08-22 | Amanda Lemos | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2019-08-31 | Wu Yanan | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2018-03-24 | Virna Jandiroba | L | Decision - Split (R5, 5:00) |
| 2016-07-29 | Lynn Alvarez | W | Submission - Armbar (R2, 3:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Jaqueline Amorim advantage: 23.6%Cardio Score
Mizuki Inoue advantage: 29.4%Overall Rating
Mizuki Inoue advantage: 3.4%📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (72 vs 65) and Grappling Composite (85 vs 62). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Jaqueline Amorim advantage: 10.8%Grappling Composite
Jaqueline Amorim advantage: 37.1%🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including offensive output, precision, and defensive ability.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min (SubPer15). Evaluates complete grappling game including takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven 3-round prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Range & Cage Dynamics
In a large cage, Inoue's footwork and volume can build minutes, but Amorim's reach edge and clinch entries set up takedowns and control.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Amorim owns the grappling advantage (SubAtt 4.8/15, TD15 2.22), while Inoue brings cardio and volume (SLpM 4.56, TDDef 85%). The clash hinges on takedown success and ground transitions.
🧩Key Battle Areas
Cage clinch entries, first-layer sprawl vs. chain wrestling, and Amorim's defensive exits after exchanges will define momentum. If grounded, submission lanes open quickly.
🏁Final Prediction
Minutes favor Inoue; finishing gravity favors Amorim. Over three rounds, Amorim's grappling control and submission threat tilt the contest unless Inoue keeps it standing clean. Projection: Amorim wins by submission or edges a close decision.
🏅 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
💎Value Opportunities
GOOD VALUE
Model: 50% | Market: N/A
FAIR VALUE
Model: 25% | Market: N/A
SLIGHT VALUE
Model: 55% | Market: N/A
⚠️Key Market Discrepancies
- • Submission equity – Books may underweight Amorim's early submission lanes.
- • Cardio vs control – Inoue's minute-winning cardio balanced by Amorim's location control.
- • Decision volatility – If takedowns are stuffed, minute edges could swing cards.
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis (3-Round Fight)
100 hypothetical 3-round fight simulations based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Amorim
Primary path via back takes and armbar chains
Ground-and-pound finishing sequences
Control-based rounds when subs don't land
💥Outcome Distribution - Inoue
Volume striking path on the cards
Low KO equity via accumulation
Minimal submission threat historically
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis (3 Round Fight)
🎯Progressive Dominance - Amorim
- • Location control: Clinch to mat, pass to dominant positions.
- • Submission chains: Back takes and armbar sequences off scrambles.
- • Risk management: Avoid long striking trades.
⚡Window of Opportunity - Inoue
- • Sprawl and circle: Force resets; stay at kicking range.
- • Volume surges: Build round-winning numbers late.
- • Frame breaks: Deny grips, pummel back to space.
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment (3-Round Fight)
Conviction level: 8/10 – Grappling edge vs volume decision path
Confidence Level
Strong Amorim edge if grounded; Inoue's decision path needs consistent sprawls.
✅Supporting Factors
- • Elite submission attempts (4.8 per 15min)
- • Reach and leg-reach advantages
- • Lower SApM (1.43) with strong StrDef (64%)
- • Recent finishing streak and momentum
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Inoue's 85% Takedown Defense
- • High SLpM (4.56) and late-round volume surges
- • Large cage favors footwork and space
- • Variance if TDs are stuffed early
🏁Executive Summary
Amorim carries decisive submission equity with strong defensive metrics, while Inoue offers durable minute-winning potential. Over three rounds, takedown success and ground control likely determine the outcome.
Prediction: Amorim by Submission or Decision. Hedge: Inoue by Decision.