Ikram Aliskerov vs Jun Yong Park
Men's Middleweight Bout • UFC Abu Dhabi
Saturday, October 25, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Ikram Aliskerov
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Andre Muniz | W | TKO (punches) (R1, 4:54) |
| 2024-06-22 | Robert Whittaker | L | KO (punch) (R1, 1:49) |
| 2023-10-21 | Warlley Alves | W | KO (punches) (R1, 2:07) |
| 2023-05-06 | Phil Hawes | W | KO (punches) (R1, 2:10) |
| 2022-09-13 | Mario Sousa | W | Submission (Jaw Crank) (R1, 2:23) |
Last 5 Fights - Jun Yong Park
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-21 | Ismail Naurdiev | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-10-12 | Brad Tavares | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-12-09 | Andre Muniz | L | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-07-15 | Albert Duraev | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R2, 4:45) |
| 2023-02-04 | Denis Tiuliulin | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R1, 4:05) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Ikram Aliskerov advantage: 6.7%Cardio Score
Jun Yong Park advantage: 38.5%Overall Rating
Jun Yong Park advantage: 13.8%📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (85 vs 70) and Grappling Composite (75 vs 80). Reflects combined offensive and defensive technique.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Park sustains higher pace over three rounds.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with conditioning.
Striking Composite
Ikram Aliskerov advantage: 21.4%Grappling Composite
Jun Yong Park advantage: 6.7%Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven 3-round prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Range & Cage Dynamics
Large cage favors Aliskerov's length and distance weapons early; Park's entries are best in clinch but face elite 100% takedown defense.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Aliskerov owns output and accuracy edges (7.76 SLpM, 62% acc) with KO power; Park balances defense and grappling volume (1.87 TD/15, 43% acc) and can wear down late.
🧩Key Battle Areas
Early survivability for Park vs. early KO lanes for Aliskerov. If extended, Park's cardio and clinch pressure can bank minutes.
🏁Final Prediction
Minutes favor Park over time; moments favor Aliskerov early. Projection: Aliskerov finds a finish or edges rounds 1–2; Park's best path is decisions via pace.
🏅 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
💎Value Opportunities
GOOD VALUE
Model: 40% | Market: N/A
FAIR VALUE
Model: 15% | Market: N/A
SLIGHT VALUE
Model: 60% | Market: N/A
⚠️Key Market Discrepancies
- • Early KO equity – Aliskerov's power often underpriced vs durable opponents.
- • Elite TDD impact – 100% defense reduces Park's best path; not always fully priced.
- • Cardio variance – Late rounds volatile if pace spikes; totals sensitive.
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis (3-Round Fight)
100 hypothetical fight simulations based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Aliskerov
Power striking lanes early
Transitions after knockdowns
Minutes banked if tempered pace
💥Outcome Distribution - Park
Pace and pressure late
Counter exchanges
Clinches and mat control
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis (3 Round Fight)
⚡Window of Opportunity - Aliskerov
- • First 5 minutes: Peak KO equity before Park settles.
- • Counter entries: Meet level changes with uppercuts.
- • Maintain range: Long jab and kicks to manage distance.
🎯Progressive Dominance - Park
- • Minute winning: Jabs and clinch grind bank points.
- • Pace control: Push fence clinches, mix takedown attempts.
- • Defense first: Avoid early exchanges; deny counters.
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment (3-Round Fight)
Conviction level: 8/10 — Early power vs late cardio dynamic
Confidence Level
Aliskerov edges overall via striking power and TDD.
✅Supporting Factors
- • Higher SLpM with superior accuracy (7.76 @ 62%)
- • 100% takedown defense vs Park's TD entries
- • Reach advantage (+3") in a large cage
- • KO power validated across recent wins
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Park's cardio advantage over extended exchanges
- • Clinch control and fence time from Park
- • Aliskerov's defensive hittability in exchanges
- • Middleweight volatility
🏁Executive Summary
Aliskerov owns early striking momentum and elite takedown defense; Park carries cardio and clinch leverage late. Over three rounds, the model leans 70–30 toward Aliskerov.
Prediction: Aliskerov by KO/TKO or Decision. Park live by Decision if he survives R1 and controls pace.