When is UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 and what time does it start?

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 takes place on March 7, 2026. The main card starts at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+ PPV.

Where is UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 being held?

The event is at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

Where can I find predictions, odds and fight card breakdowns for UFC 326?

This page provides AI-powered predictions, model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets and full fight card analysis for UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2.

UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Event Analytics & Predictions

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

T-Mobile Arena

completed15 Fights🏆 1 Title Fight

Main Card: Paramount+ PPV

Prelims: Paramount+

Start Time: 5:00 PM ET

Start Time by Timezone

Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.

PT (Local)

Las Vegas (PT shown)

Early

2:00 PM

Prelims

3:00 PM

Main

5:00 PM

Eastern US/Canada

Early

5:00 PM

Prelims

6:00 PM

Main

8:00 PM

BST

United Kingdom / Ireland

Early

10:00 PM

Prelims

11:00 PM

Main

1:00 AM (Sun)

CET

Central Europe

Early

11:00 PM

Prelims

12:00 AM (Sun)

Main

2:00 AM (Sun)

AEST

Australia (East)

Early

9:00 AM (Sun)

Prelims

10:00 AM (Sun)

Main

12:00 PM (Sun)

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What is UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2?

UFC 326 is a pay-per-view mixed martial arts event scheduled for March 7, 2026, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main event features Max Holloway defending the UFC BMF Lightweight Championship against former UFC Lightweight Champion Charles Oliveira in a highly anticipated rematch. Holloway enters with a 27-8 record and is one of the most prolific volume strikers in UFC history, landing 7.2 significant strikes per minute with a 94 composite striking score. Oliveira holds a 36-11 record with 20 submission victories and a 93 composite grappling score. The event airs on Paramount+ PPV with the main card starting at 5:00 PM ET. The undercard includes a co-main event and several ranked matchups across multiple weight classes.

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What are the predictions for Holloway vs Oliveira 2?

MMA Analytics uses a five-model machine learning ensemble (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, Logistic Regression, and a Siamese Neural Network) to generate fight predictions. The model analyzes 45 SHAP-selected features and achieves 67.6% accuracy on held-out test data. For each fight on the UFC 326 card, the system produces win probabilities, method-of-victory likelihoods, and confidence metrics, comparing model probabilities against market odds to identify potential value bets. All predictions are generated from historical fighter performance data, matchup dynamics, and physical attributes without human editorial bias.

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How to watch UFC 326 and what time does it start?

UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 takes place on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The main card begins at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM GMT / 9:00 AM AEDT Sunday) on Paramount+ PPV. The preliminary card starts approximately two hours earlier on Paramount+. The event is held at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 — Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (T-Mobile Arena)

Advanced UFC 326 analysis for Holloway vs Oliveira 2 featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a championship main event.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC 326 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

"El Niño Problema"

11-1-0

🟢

Gregory Rodrigues

"Robocop"

18-6-0

Middleweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Brunno Ferreira

"The Hulk"

Jeong Yeong Lee

11-3-0

🔴

Alberto Montes

10-1-0

Featherweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Ricky Turcios

"Pretty Ricky"

12-5-0

🟢

Drew Dober

28-15-0

Lightweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Michael Johnson

"The Menace"

24-19-0

⛔ CANCELLED

🟢

Renato Moicano

20-7-1

Lightweight

CANCELLED

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Brian Ortega

16-5-0

⛔ CANCELLED

🟢

Paulo Costa

15-4-0

Middleweight

CANCELLED

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Brunno Ferreira

15-2-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Fight	Fighter A	Model Prob A	Market Odds A	Implied Prob A	Fighter B	Model Prob B	Market Odds B	Implied Prob B	Value
Holloway vs Oliveira🟢	Max Holloway	63.0%	N/A	—	Charles Oliveira	37.0%	N/A	—	Holloway +63.0%Volume dominance and championship cardio
Borralho vs Ridder🟢	Caio Borralho	74.0%	N/A	—	Reinier de Ridder	26.0%	N/A	—	Borralho +74.0%Control of fight location and damage economy
Font vs Jr.🟢	Rob Font	36.0%	N/A	—	Raul Rosas Jr.	64.0%	N/A	—	Jr. +64.0%Striking volume advantage if fight stays upright
Rodrigues vs Ferreira🟢	Gregory Rodrigues	62.0%	N/A	—	Brunno Ferreira	38.0%	N/A	—	Rodrigues +62.0%Volume, reach advantage & wrestling control
Garbrandt vs Xiao🟡	Cody Garbrandt	37.0%	N/A	—	Long Xiao	63.0%	N/A	—	Xiao +63.0%Knockdown power and counter-striking ability
Sumudaerji vs Aguilar🟢	Sumudaerji	69.0%	N/A	—	Jesus Aguilar	31.0%	N/A	—	Sumudaerji +69.0%Volume and range management advantage
Bolaños vs Lee🟢	Gaston Bolaños	50.0%	N/A	—	Jeong Yeong Lee	50.0%	N/A	—	Lee +50.0%
Dober vs Johnson🟢	Drew Dober	54.0%	N/A	—	Michael Johnson	46.0%	N/A	—	Dober +54.0%Physical strength and relentless pressure vs Hand speed and technical counter-striking

Event Discussion

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UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 Event Analytics & Predictions

What is UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2?

What are the predictions for Holloway vs Oliveira 2?

How to watch UFC 326 and what time does it start?

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 — Predictions, Odds & Start Time

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

UFC 326 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

Max Holloway

Charles Oliveira

Caio Borralho

Reinier de Ridder

Rob Font

Raul Rosas Jr.

Gregory Rodrigues

Brunno Ferreira

Cody Durden

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Cody Garbrandt

Long Xiao

Rafael Tobias

Diyar Nurgozhay

Sumudaerji

Jesus Aguilar

Donte Johnson

Cody Brundage

Luke Fernandez

Rodolfo Bellato

Gaston Bolaños

Jeong Yeong Lee

Alberto Montes

Ricky Turcios

Drew Dober

Michael Johnson

Renato Moicano

Brian Ortega

Paulo Costa

Brunno Ferreira

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Event Discussion

THE FUTURE OFCOMBAT SPORTS ANALYTICS

THE FUTURE OF
COMBAT SPORTS ANALYTICS