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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
T-Mobile Arena
Upcoming Event11 Fights2 Title Fights
Main Card: ESPN+ PPV
Prelims: ESPN/ESPN+
Start Time: 10:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET (Local)
Las Vegas (ET shown)
Early
7:00 PM
Prelims
8:00 PM
Main
10:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
4:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
7:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
12:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
1:00 AM (Sun)
Main
3:00 AM (Sun)
CET
Central Europe
Early
1:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
2:00 AM (Sun)
Main
4:00 AM (Sun)
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
7:00 PM
Prelims
8:00 PM
Main
10:00 PM

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 — Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (T‑Mobile Arena)

Advanced UFC 323 analysis for Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platformdelivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a championship double‑header and the full card including Pantoja vs Van.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC 323 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

Main Event
🟢
Merab Dvalishvili

Merab Dvalishvili

"The Machine"

21-4-0

UFC Bantamweight Championship
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Petr Yan

Petr Yan

"No Mercy"

19-5-0

Co-Main Event
🟢
Alexandre Pantoja

Alexandre Pantoja

"The Cannibal"

30-5-0

UFC Flyweight Championship
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🟢
Henry Cejudo

Henry Cejudo

"Triple C"

16-5-0

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🟢
Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🟢
Brandon Moreno

Brandon Moreno

"The Assassin Baby"

23-8-2

Flyweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🟢
Grant Dawson

Grant Dawson

"KGD"

23-2-1

Lightweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Manuel Torres

Manuel Torres

"El Loco"

16-3-0

🟢
Women's Flyweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🔴
Middleweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🟢
Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan

"The Problem"

14-2-0

Lightweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Terrance McKinney

Terrance McKinney

"T.Wrecks"

17-7-0

🟢
Nazim Sadykhov

Nazim Sadykhov

"Black Wolf"

11-1-1

Lightweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Fares Ziam

Fares Ziam

"Smile Killer"

17-4-0

🟢
Marvin Vettori

Marvin Vettori

"The Italian Dream"

19-8-1

Middleweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Brunno Ferreira

Brunno Ferreira

"The Hulk"

14-2-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Merab vs Petr🟢Merab Dvalishvili67.0%N/APetr Yan33.0%N/ADvalishvili +67.0%
Alexandre vs Joshua🟢Alexandre Pantoja68.0%N/AJoshua Van32.0%N/APantoja +68.0%
Henry vs Payton🟢Henry Cejudo39.0%N/APayton Talbott61.0%N/ATalbott +61.0%
Jan vs Bogdan🟢Jan Błachowicz38.0%N/ABogdan Guskov62.0%N/AGuskov +62.0%
Brandon vs Tatsuro🟢Brandon Moreno60.0%N/ATatsuro Taira40.0%N/AMoreno +60.0%
Grant vs Manuel🟢Grant Dawson68.0%N/AManuel Torres32.0%N/ADawson +68.0%
Maycee vs Karine🟢Maycee Barber63.0%N/AKarine Silva37.0%N/ABarber +63.0%
Chris vs Terrance🟢Chris Duncan55.0%N/ATerrance McKinney45.0%N/ADuncan +55.0%
Nazim vs Fares🟢Nazim Sadykhov38.0%N/AFares Ziam62.0%N/AZiam +62.0%
Marvin vs Brunno🟢Marvin Vettori61.0%N/ABrunno Ferreira39.0%N/AVettori +61.0%
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Event Discussion

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