UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane Event Analytics & Predictions
UFC 321 Analysis & Prediction
UFC 321 Analytics & Fight Breakdowns
Complete UFC 321 event preview and analysis featuring the highly anticipated Heavyweight Championship bout from Abu Dhabi. Tom Aspinall challenges Ciryl "Bon Gamin" Gane in what promises to be a technical masterpiece of grappling versus striking at the highest level. The card also features heavyweight veteran Alexander Volkov against rising star Jailton Almeida. Our comprehensive pre-fight analysisprovides detailed breakdowns, statistical insights, and expert predictions for this international showcase from the Middle East.
UFC 321 Fights, Analytics & Predictions
Event Preview
🏆Heavyweight Championship in Abu Dhabi
UFC 321 brings the heavyweight championship to the Middle East as Tom Aspinall challenges Ciryl "Bon Gamin" Gane at the stunning Etihad Arena. This technical masterpiece features two of the division's most skilled fighters, with Aspinall's explosive grappling and finishing ability tested against Gane's elite striking and movement. The early start time accommodates the global audience for this international showcase.
🥊Heavyweight Division Showcase
The card doubles as a heavyweight showcase with veteran Alexander "Drago" Volkov facing rising star Jailton "Malhadinho" Almeida. This bout could determine the next title challenger, as Volkov's experience and striking meet Almeida's relentless grappling pressure. The winner positions themselves perfectly for a future championship opportunity.
🌍International Talent Showcase
UFC 321 represents the global nature of mixed martial arts, featuring fighters from England, France, Russia, Brazil, Austria, Kazakhstan, and Canada. The card showcases the international depth of talent across multiple divisions, from the heavyweight championship down to the flyweight prospects. This Abu Dhabi event exemplifies the UFC's worldwide reach and the sport's universal appeal.
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom vs Ciryl | Tom Aspinall | 58.0% | -135 | 57.4% | Ciryl Gane | 42.0% | +115 | 46.5% | Aligned |
| Alexander vs Jailton | Alexander Volkov | 42.0% | +165 | 37.7% | Jailton Almeida | 58.0% | -195 | 66.1% | Aligned |
| Aleksandar vs Azamat | Aleksandar Rakić | 52.0% | -125 | 55.6% | Azamat Murzakanov | 48.0% | +105 | 48.8% | Aligned |
Event Highlights
Event Preview
Heavyweight Championship
Tom Aspinall challenges Ciryl "Bon Gamin" Gane for the Heavyweight Championship in Abu Dhabi. This technical masterpiece features Aspinall's explosive grappling and submission skills against Gane's elite striking and footwork. The Englishman's finishing ability meets the Frenchman's technical precision in what promises to be a defining moment for the heavyweight division.
International Showcase
UFC 321 represents the global reach of mixed martial arts, taking place at the stunning Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. The card features international talent from six countries, showcasing the worldwide depth of MMA skill. The early start time accommodates global audiences for this Middle Eastern championship spectacle.
Division-Defining Moments
Beyond the championship bout, UFC 321 features crucial divisional matchups. Alexander Volkov faces Jailton Almeida in a heavyweight bout that could determine the next title challenger, while Jailton Almeida in a heavyweight bout that could determine the next title challenger, while Aleksandar Rakić seeks redemption against the undefeated Azamat Murzakanov in light heavyweight action. The flyweight division is represented by prospects Azat Maksum and Mitch Raposo, showcasing the future of the 125-pound weight class.