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UFC 320: Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, October 4, 2025
Las Vegas, Nevada
T-Mobile Arena
Upcoming Event13 Fights2 Title Fights
Main Card: ESPN+ PPV
Prelims: ESPN/ESPN+
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
PT (Local)
Pacific US/Canada
Early
3:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
6:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
6:00 PM
Prelims
8:00 PM
Main
9:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
11:00 PM
Prelims
1:00 AM
Main
2:00 AM
CET
Central Europe
Early
12:00 AM
Prelims
2:00 AM
Main
3:00 AM
Local
Las Vegas, NV
Early
3:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
6:00 PM

UFC 320 Las Vegas: Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Double Championship Headliner)

Advanced UFC 320 analysis for Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for both title fights including Dvalishvili vs Sandhagen and the full card.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC 320 news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC 320 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

Main Event
🟢
Light Heavyweight Championship
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Alex Pereira

Alex Pereira

"Poatan"

12-3-0

Co-Main Event
🟢
Merab Dvalishvili

Merab Dvalishvili

"The Machine"

20-4-0

Bantamweight Championship
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Cory Sandhagen

Cory Sandhagen

"The Sandman"

18-5-0

🟢
Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Khalil Rountree Jr.

"The War Horse"

14-6-0

🟢
Featherweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🟢
Joe Pyfer

Joe Pyfer

"Bodybagz"

14-3-0

Middleweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Abusupiyan Magomedov

"Jaguar"

28-6-1

🟢
Women's Bantamweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Yana Santos

Yana Santos

"Foxy"

16-8-0

🟢
Edmen Shahbazyan

Edmen Shahbazyan

"The Golden Boy"

15-5-0

Middleweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
André Muniz

André Muniz

"Sergipano"

24-7-0

🟡
Bantamweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🔴
Welterweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🔴
Women's Flyweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🔴
Daniel Santos

Daniel Santos

"Willycat"

12-2-0

Featherweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🔴
Bantamweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🟡
Welterweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
🔴
Middleweight
VS
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
CANCELLED — Diaz Withdrew
🔴
Middleweight
CANCELLED
Odds:... / ...
No picks yet
Ozzy Diaz

Ozzy Diaz

10-3-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Magomed vs Alex🟢Magomed Ankalaev54.0%N/AAlex Pereira46.0%N/AAnkalaev +54.0%
Merab vs Cory🟢Merab Dvalishvili62.0%N/ACory Sandhagen38.0%N/ADvalishvili +62.0%
Jiří vs Khalil🟢Jiří Procházka70.0%N/AKhalil Rountree Jr.30.0%N/AProcházka +70.0%
Josh vs Youssef🟢Josh Emmett35.0%N/AYoussef Zalal65.0%N/AZalal +65.0%
Joe vs Abusupiyan🟢Joe Pyfer65.0%N/AAbusupiyan Magomedov35.0%N/APyfer +65.0%
Macy vs Yana🟢Macy Chiasson57.0%N/AYana Santos43.0%N/AChiasson +57.0%
Edmen vs André🟢Edmen Shahbazyan35.0%N/AAndré Muniz65.0%N/AMuniz +65.0%
Farid vs Chris🟡Farid Basharat62.0%N/AChris Gutierrez38.0%N/ABasharat +62.0%
Punahele vs Nikolay🟡Punahele Soriano70.0%N/ANikolay Veretennikov30.0%N/ASoriano +70.0%
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Event Discussion

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Event Highlights

Event Preview

Championship Rematch

The main event features the highly anticipated Light Heavyweight Championship rematch between Magomed Ankalaev and Alex "Poatan" Pereira. After their controversial first encounter, both fighters have evolved their games. Ankalaev's wrestling and grappling prowess will be tested against Pereira's devastating knockout power in what promises to be a technical masterpiece that could define the division's future.

Bantamweight Title Defense

Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili makes his first title defense against the dangerous striker Cory "The Sandman" Sandhagen. The Georgian champion's relentless wrestling and cardio will face its toughest test against Sandhagen's creative striking and movement. This co-main event could steal the show with its contrasting styles and championship implications.

Star-Studded Supporting Card

The supporting card features a mix of rising contenders and established veterans. Former Light Heavyweight champion Jiří Procházka returns to face the explosive Khalil Rountree Jr. in what promises to be a Fight of the Night candidate. Rising middleweight Joe Pyfer looks to continue his knockout streak against veteran Abusupiyan Magomedov, while Edmen Shahbazyan seeks redemption against submission specialist André Muniz. The preliminary card features featherweight action as Josh Emmett faces Youssef Zalal, and women's bantamweight action as Macy Chiasson faces Yana Santos. Additional prelims include Farid Basharat vs Chris Gutierrez and Patchy Mix vs Jakub Wikłacz.

Event Analytics Overview

13
Total Fights
2
Title Fights
8
Divisions
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