UFC 320: Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, October 4, 2025
Las Vegas, Nevada
T-Mobile Arena
Upcoming Event6 Fights2 Title Fights
Main Card: ESPN+ PPV
Prelims: ESPN/ESPN+
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET

UFC 320 Analysis & Prediction

UFC 320 Analytics & Fight Breakdowns

Complete UFC 320 event preview and analysis featuring the highly anticipated Light Heavyweight Championship rematch. Magomed Ankalaev challenges Alex "Poatan" Pereira in what promises to be a technical masterpiece of wrestling versus striking. The co-main event features Merab Dvalishvili defending his Bantamweight title against the dangerous striker Cory Sandhagen. Our comprehensive pre-fight analysisprovides detailed breakdowns, statistical insights, and expert predictions for this stacked Las Vegas card.

UFC 320 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

Main EventLight Heavyweight Championship
Light Heavyweight🟢
VS
-145 / +125
Alex Pereira

Alex Pereira

"Poatan"

12-3-0

Co-Main EventBantamweight Championship
Bantamweight🟢
Merab Dvalishvili

Merab Dvalishvili

"The Machine"

20-4-0

VS
-185 / +165
Cory Sandhagen

Cory Sandhagen

"The Sandman"

18-5-0

Middleweight🟢
Joe Pyfer

Joe Pyfer

"Bodybagz"

14-3-0

VS
-235 / +195
Abus Magomedov

Abus Magomedov

"Jaguar"

28-6-1

Light Heavyweight🟢
VS
-175 / +155
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Khalil Rountree Jr.

"The War Horse"

14-6-0

Middleweight🟢
Edmen Shahbazyan

Edmen Shahbazyan

"The Golden Boy"

15-5-0

VS
-125 / +105
André Muniz

André Muniz

"Sergipano"

24-7-0

Women's Bantamweight🟢
VS
-155 / +135
Yana Santos

Yana Santos

"Foxy"

16-8-0

Event Preview

🏆Championship Doubleheader in Las Vegas

UFC 320 delivers a spectacular championship doubleheader at the T-Mobile Arena. The main event features the highly anticipated Light Heavyweight Championship rematch between Magomed Ankalaev and Alex "Poatan" Pereira, while the co-main event sees Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili defend his Bantamweight title against the dangerous Cory "The Sandman" Sandhagen. Both title fights promise contrasting styles and high-level competition.

⚔️Elite Stylistic Battles

The card is built around compelling stylistic matchups. Wrestling meets striking in multiple bouts, with Ankalaev's grappling facing Pereira's knockout power, and Dvalishvili's relentless pressure challenging Sandhagen's technical striking. The supporting card features rising contenders and veterans, including the return of former champion Jiří Procházka against the explosive Khalil Rountree Jr.

👑Championship Legacy on the Line

UFC 320 represents a pivotal moment for both championship divisions. Ankalaev seeks to capture the Light Heavyweight title that has eluded him, while Pereira looks to continue his remarkable championship run. In the bantamweight division, Dvalishvili aims to establish his reign against one of the division's most dangerous contenders. The outcomes will shape the future of both weight classes and determine the next chapter in their respective title pictures.

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Magomed vs AlexMagomed Ankalaev62.0%-14559.2%Alex Pereira38.0%+12544.4%Aligned
Merab vs CoryMerab Dvalishvili68.0%-18564.9%Cory Sandhagen32.0%+16537.7%Aligned
Joe vs AbusJoe Pyfer58.0%-23570.1%Abus Magomedov42.0%+19533.9%Magomedov +8.1%
Jiří vs KhalilJiří Procházka55.0%-17563.6%Khalil Rountree Jr.45.0%+15539.2%Jr. +5.8%
Edmen vs AndréEdmen Shahbazyan48.0%-12555.6%André Muniz52.0%+10548.8%Aligned
Macy vs YanaMacy Chiasson55.0%-15560.8%Yana Santos45.0%+13542.6%Aligned
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Event Highlights

Event Preview

Championship Rematch

The main event features the highly anticipated Light Heavyweight Championship rematch between Magomed Ankalaev and Alex "Poatan" Pereira. After their controversial first encounter, both fighters have evolved their games. Ankalaev's wrestling and grappling prowess will be tested against Pereira's devastating knockout power in what promises to be a technical masterpiece that could define the division's future.

Bantamweight Title Defense

Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili makes his first title defense against the dangerous striker Cory "The Sandman" Sandhagen. The Georgian champion's relentless wrestling and cardio will face its toughest test against Sandhagen's creative striking and movement. This co-main event could steal the show with its contrasting styles and championship implications.

Star-Studded Supporting Card

The supporting card features a mix of rising contenders and established veterans. Former Light Heavyweight champion Jiří Procházka returns to face the explosive Khalil Rountree Jr. in what promises to be a Fight of the Night candidate. Rising middleweight Joe Pyfer looks to continue his knockout streak against veteran Abus Magomedov, while Edmen Shahbazyan seeks redemption against submission specialist André Muniz. The preliminary card rounds out with women's bantamweight action as Macy Chiasson faces Yana Santos.

Event Analytics Overview

6
Total Fights
2
Title Fights
4
Divisions
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