UFC 319: du Plessis vs Chimaev - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions
UFC 319 Chicago: Du Plessis vs Chimaev Predictions, Odds & Start Time
UFC 319 Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns at United Center (Chicago, IL)
Advanced UFC 319 fight card analysis for Chicago at the United Center on August 16, 2025, featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks and how to watch with main card start time 10:00 PM ET. Our comprehensive MMA analytics platform delivers in-depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for Du Plessis vs Chimaev and the full card.
We deliver super‑detailed fight analysis using proprietary MMA data combined with AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Get fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis with model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Plus ongoing UFC 319 news on fighters, camps and preparation, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
UFC 319: du Plessis vs Chimaev Fights, Analytics & Predictions
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus vs Khamzat🟢 | Dricus du Plessis | 62.0% | +190 | 34.5% | Khamzat Chimaev | 38.0% | -230 | 69.7% | Plessis +27.5% |
| Geoff vs Carlos🟢 | Geoff Neal | 35.0% | +205 | 32.8% | Carlos Prates | 65.0% | -240 | 70.6% | Aligned |
| Jared vs Michael🟡 | Jared Cannonier | 70.0% | +160 | 38.5% | Michael Page | 30.0% | -185 | 64.9% | Cannonier +31.5% |
| King vs Diego🟢 | King Green | 65.0% | +125 | 44.4% | Diego Ferreira | 35.0% | -145 | 59.2% | Green +20.6% |
| Gerald vs Michał🟢 | Gerald Meerschaert | 60.0% | +185 | 35.1% | Michał Oleksiejczuk | 40.0% | -220 | 68.8% | Meerschaert +24.9% |
| Jéssica vs Lupita🟢 | Jéssica Andrade | 43.0% | +119 | 45.7% | Lupita Godinez | 57.0% | -139 | 58.2% | Aligned |
| Alexander vs Chase🟢 | Alexander Hernandez | 60.0% | +275 | 26.7% | Chase Hooper | 40.0% | -335 | 77.0% | Hernandez +33.3% |
| Edson vs Drakkar🟢 | Edson Barboza | 35.0% | -160 | 61.5% | Drakkar Klose | 65.0% | +140 | 41.7% | Klose +23.3% |
| Nursulton vs Bryan🟢 | Nursulton Ruziboev | 61.0% | +145 | 40.8% | Bryan Battle | 39.0% | -170 | 63.0% | Ruziboev +20.2% |
| Karine vs Dione🟡 | Karine Silva | 68.0% | -210 | 67.7% | Dione Barbosa | 32.0% | +180 | 35.7% | Aligned |
UFC 319 News & Articles
UFC 319: Complete Global Viewing Guide - Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Schedule and Fight Card Breakdown
Complete global viewing guide for UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev — fight card, start times by region, and where to watch.
Inside Khamzat Chimaev's Revolutionary UFC 319 Training Camp: How Coach Cal's Garage Transformed "Borz" Into a Championship Machine
Inside Khamzat Chimaev’s UFC 319 title-camp with Coach Cal: the garage, science-driven conditioning, elite partners, mental prep, and the road to August 16.
From Wrestling Prodigy to UFC Debut: The Complete Aaron Pico Story
Aaron Pico’s journey from wrestling prodigy to his UFC 319 debut against Lerone Murphy — history, preparation, odds, and expert analysis.
Event Highlights
Event Preview
Middleweight Championship Main Event
The main event features an explosive middleweight championship bout between championDricus "Stillknocks" du Plessisand the undefeated phenomKhamzat "Borz" Chimaev. This clash of elite fighters, grapplers with devastating striking power promises an intense battle for UFC gold, as du Plessis makes his third title defense against one of the division's most dominant forces.
International Showcase
UFC 319 brings together elite talent from across the globe, featuring fighters from South Africa, UAE, Japan, Brazil, England, and beyond. The card showcases diverse fighting styles and international matchups, including the highly comeback of the former title flyweight contenderKai Asakuraagainst veteranTim Elliottin the co-main event.
Notable Storylines
This Chicago event features compelling matchups across six weight divisions, including the historic clash betweendu PlessisandChimaev. Key storylines includeMichael "Venom" Page's return against veteranJared Cannonier,Edson Barboza's quest to continue his career resurgence at Lightweight, and the return of former championJéssica Andrade. With a mix of established veterans and rising prospects, UFC 319 promises technical excellence and explosive action throughout the card.
