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UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal — Las Vegas

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, April 25, 2026
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Meta APEX
⚡ Upcoming Event9 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 4:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
PT (Local)
Las Vegas (PT shown)
Early
2:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
5:00 PM
Prelims
6:00 PM
Main
8:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
10:00 PM
Prelims
11:00 PM
Main
1:00 AM (Sun)
CET
Central Europe
Early
11:00 PM
Prelims
12:00 AM (Sun)
Main
2:00 AM (Sun)
AEST
Australia (East)
Early
9:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
10:00 AM (Sun)
Main
12:00 PM (Sun)
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UFC Fight Night Las Vegas: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal — Meta APEX, Las Vegas — April 25, 2026

Former bantamweight champion Aljamain Sterling (25-5, 17-5 UFC) moves up to 145 pounds — and immediately runs into one of the division's most dangerous submission threats in Youssef Zalal (18-5-1, 8-3-1 UFC). Sterling's 22 UFC appearances are built on wrestling dominance: 59% of his wins by decision, 24% by submission, only 12% by KO/TKO. Zalal is the mirror opposite — half his UFC wins come by submission, half by decision, and all three losses by decision. The question isn't whether this goes to the ground. It's who controls it when it gets there. Paramount+ at 4:00 PM ET.

AI-powered analytics cover every fight on the 9-fight card with model probabilities vs. market odds and value-bet flags. Jackson vs. Barcelos at bantamweight and Bueno Silva vs. Montague at flyweight are the undercard matchups to circle.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal?

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal is an MMA event on April 25, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. The storyline is compelling: former bantamweight champion Aljamain Sterling (25-5, 17-5 UFC) moves up to featherweight looking to prove he can compete with the bigger 145-pounders. Youssef Zalal (18-5-1, 8-3-1 UFC) stands in his way with one of the division's most active submission games — four UFC tap-outs and counting. Sterling's wrestling pedigree versus Zalal's back-take threat makes the mat exchanges must-watch. The 9-fight card airs on Paramount+ starting at 4:00 PM ET.

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What are the predictions for Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal?

Our model favors Sterling in the main event — his wrestling pedigree, volume striking, and championship composure are hard to bet against. But here's the caveat: Zalal's submission game off his back creates genuine danger every time Sterling takes this fight to the mat. It's the rare matchup where the wrestler might actually prefer to keep it standing. Jackson vs. Barcelos at bantamweight projects as a close, high-output striking battle worth watching, and Bueno Silva vs. Montague at flyweight is a grappling showcase where our model sees underdog value. Every fight includes model probabilities vs. market odds and method-of-victory projections.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal takes place Friday, April 25, 2026. Main card at 4:00 PM ET (1:00 PM PT / 9:00 PM BST / 6:00 AM AEST Saturday) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. The Meta APEX in Las Vegas hosts this intimate 9-fight card.

Main Event — Featherweight

Sterling vs. Zalal

Sterling's wrestling-heavy approach meets Zalal's dangerous submission game in a grappling chess match. Sterling's 17 UFC wins are built on elite control time, but Zalal's 4 submission victories mean every scramble carries risk.

Bantamweight

Jackson vs. Barcelos

Two experienced bantamweights with a combined 19 UFC bouts — this has fight-of-the-night written all over it. Jackson's range striking against Barcelos's pressure-heavy output should produce fireworks.

Flyweight

Bueno Silva vs. Montague

Bueno Silva is a BJJ black belt making her flyweight debut after cutting from bantamweight. Montague is a rising prospect — our model sees potential value on the underdog line.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event
🟢
Aljamain Sterling
Featherweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Youssef Zalal
🟡
Rodolfo Vieira
Middleweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Eric McConico
🟢
Montel Jackson
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Raoni Barcelos
🟢
Norma Dumont
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Joselyne Edwards
🟡
Jafel Filho
Flyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Lucas Rocha
🔴
Mayra Bueno Silva
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Michelle Montague
🟡
Sedriques Dumas
Middleweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Jackson McVey
🔴
Davey Grant
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Adrian Luna Martinetti
🔴
Allen Frye Jr.
Heavyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Max Gimenis

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Sterling vs Zalal🟢Aljamain Sterling50.0%N/A—Youssef Zalal50.0%N/A—
Zalal +50.0%
Vieira vs McConico🟡Rodolfo Vieira50.0%N/A—Eric McConico50.0%N/A—
McConico +50.0%
Jackson vs Barcelos🟢Montel Jackson50.0%N/A—Raoni Barcelos50.0%N/A—
Barcelos +50.0%
Dumont vs Edwards🟢Norma Dumont50.0%N/A—Joselyne Edwards50.0%N/A—
Edwards +50.0%
Filho vs Rocha🟡Jafel Filho50.0%N/A—Lucas Rocha50.0%N/A—
Rocha +50.0%
Dumas vs McVey🟡Sedriques Dumas50.0%N/A—Jackson McVey50.0%N/A—
McVey +50.0%

Event Discussion

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