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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, April 18, 2026
Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
Canada Life Centre
⚡ Upcoming Event5 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
PT (Local)
Las Vegas (PT shown)
Early
2:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
5:00 PM
Prelims
6:00 PM
Main
8:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
10:00 PM
Prelims
11:00 PM
Main
1:00 AM (Sun)
CET
Central Europe
Early
11:00 PM
Prelims
12:00 AM (Sun)
Main
2:00 AM (Sun)
AEST
Australia (East)
Early
9:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
10:00 AM (Sun)
Main
12:00 PM (Sun)
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What is UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott?

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott is a mixed martial arts event scheduled for April 18, 2026, at the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. The main event features Gilbert Burns taking on Mike Malott in a Welterweight bout. Burns enters with a 22-9 record and is a former UFC Welterweight title challenger with elite Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and knockout power on the feet. Malott holds a 13-2-1 record and is known for his finishing ability with a well-rounded skill set. The event airs on Paramount+ with the main card starting at 6:00 PM ET. The undercard includes several competitive matchups across multiple weight classes.

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What are the predictions for Burns vs. Malott?

MMA Analytics uses a five-model machine learning ensemble (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, Logistic Regression, and a Siamese Neural Network) to generate fight predictions. The model analyzes 45 SHAP-selected features and achieves 67.6% accuracy on held-out test data. For each fight on the UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott card, the system produces win probabilities, method-of-victory likelihoods, and confidence metrics, comparing model probabilities against market odds to identify potential value bets. All predictions are generated from historical fighter performance data, matchup dynamics, and physical attributes without human editorial bias.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott takes place on Saturday, April 18, 2026. The main card begins at 6:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM GMT / 9:00 AM AEDT Sunday) on Paramount+. The preliminary card starts approximately two hours earlier on Paramount+. The event is held at the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott — Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Canada Life Centre)

Advanced UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott analysis for Burns vs. Malott featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a championship main event.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event
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Gilbert Burns

Gilbert Burns

"Durinho"

22-9-0

Welterweight
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Flyweight
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Bantamweight
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Flyweight
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Flyweight
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Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Burns vs Malott🟢Gilbert Burns50.0%N/AMike Malott50.0%N/A
Malott +50.0%
Jasudavicius vs Silva🟢Jasmine Jasudavicius50.0%N/AKarine Silva50.0%N/A
Silva +50.0%
Castaneda vs Vologdin🟢John Castaneda50.0%N/AMark Vologdin50.0%N/A
Vologdin +50.0%
Raposo vs Nascimento🟢Mitch Raposo50.0%N/AAllan Nascimento50.0%N/A
Nascimento +50.0%
Choi vs Lima🟢DongHun Choi50.0%N/AAndre Lima50.0%N/A
Lima +50.0%

Event Discussion

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