When is UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott and what time does it start?

UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott (UFC Winnipeg) takes place on April 18, 2026. The main card starts at 6:00 PM ET on Paramount+.

Where is UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott being held?

UFC Canada takes place at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.

Where can I find predictions, odds and fight card breakdowns for UFC Canada Burns vs. Malott?

This page provides AI-powered predictions, model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets and full fight card analysis for UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott in Winnipeg.

UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott - UFC Winnipeg

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Canada Life Centre

⚡ Upcoming Event12 Fights🏆 1 Title Fight

Main Card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Start Time: 6:00 PM ET

Start Time by Timezone

Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.

PT (Local)

Las Vegas (PT shown)

Early

2:00 PM

Prelims

3:00 PM

Main

5:00 PM

Eastern US/Canada

Early

5:00 PM

Prelims

6:00 PM

Main

8:00 PM

BST

United Kingdom / Ireland

Early

10:00 PM

Prelims

11:00 PM

Main

1:00 AM (Sun)

CET

Central Europe

Early

11:00 PM

Prelims

12:00 AM (Sun)

Main

2:00 AM (Sun)

AEST

Australia (East)

Early

9:00 AM (Sun)

Prelims

10:00 AM (Sun)

Main

12:00 PM (Sun)

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UFC Canada Winnipeg: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

Burns vs. Malott — Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg — April 18, 2026

The UFC returns to Canada, and Winnipeg is about to erupt. Former title challenger Gilbert Burns (22-9, 15-9 UFC) walks into enemy territory to face hometown hero Mike Malott (13-2-1, 6-1 UFC) in a welterweight main event that the Canada Life Centre crowd has been waiting for. Burns is a complete fighter — 47% of his UFC wins by decision, 33% by submission, 20% by KO/TKO — with the kind of battle scars that only 24 UFC appearances can give you. Malott is perfectly balanced at 6-1: two KO/TKOs, two submissions, two decisions. His sole UFC loss? By knockout. So both men carry real danger. Paramount+ at 6:00 PM ET.

AI-powered analytics cover every fight on the 12-fight UFC Canada Winnipeg card with model probabilities vs. market odds and value-bet flags. Look for Phillips vs. Jourdain at bantamweight and Moises vs. Young at lightweight as undercard matchups worth your attention across six weight classes.

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What is UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott?

UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott is a UFC Fight Night event on April 18, 2026, at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba on Paramount+ (main card 6:00 PM ET). This is classic MMA booking: the grizzled veteran vs. the hungry local. Gilbert Burns (22-9, 15-9 UFC) is one of the most experienced welterweights on the roster — 24 UFC appearances with elite BJJ credentials and a former title shot on his resume. Mike Malott (13-2-1, 6-1 UFC), the Ontario native fighting in front of a Canadian crowd, has won six of seven UFC bouts with finishing ability in every phase. The 12-fight UFC Canada card spans six weight classes.

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What are the predictions for UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott?

The experience gap here is massive — Burns has 24 UFC fights to Malott's seven, and that matters in a five-round main event where pacing and composure decide close rounds. Burns's submission game (33% of his wins) matches up well against a fighter whose sole loss came by KO, suggesting the mat is Durinho's territory. Both carry real finishing power, but if Burns can get this fight to the ground, his BJJ pedigree should take over. Every fight on the card includes win probabilities, method-of-victory likelihoods, and model-vs-market comparisons to flag value bets.

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How to watch UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott and what time does it start?

UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott goes live Saturday, April 18, 2026. Main card at 6:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM GMT / 9:00 AM AEDT Sunday) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. The venue is Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba — expect a raucous Canadian crowd backing their hometown fighter Malott.

Main Event — Welterweight

Burns vs. Malott

Burns is 15-9 UFC with 33% sub wins and 47% decisions — the man grinds. Malott is 6-1 with wins split perfectly across KO, sub, and decision. The 17-fight experience gap in the UFC is enormous, and it's the key differentiator in a matchup that's closer on paper than in practice.

Key Undercard — Bantamweight

Phillips vs. Jourdain

Two action fighters in a bantamweight clash that could steal the show. Phillips brings relentless wrestling and pace, while Jourdain — a volume striker moving down from featherweight — will test whether his power carries to 135.

Canadian Card — Lightweight

Moises vs. Young

Veteran Thiago Moises brings serious grappling pedigree against rising prospect Gauge Young in front of the Winnipeg crowd. Moises has the ground game to smother Young, but the younger fighter's athleticism and pace make this a live underdog spot.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event

🟢

Gilbert Burns

"Durinho"

"The Bulldozer"

22-10-1

Heavyweight

...vs...

No picks yet

Jamey-Lyn Horth

9-2-0

🔴

Mandel Nallo

14-3-0

Lightweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Jai Herbert

13-6-1

🟡

Thiago Moises

19-9-0

Lightweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Gauge Young

10-3-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Fight	Fighter A	Model Prob A	Market Odds A	Implied Prob A	Fighter B	Model Prob B	Market Odds B	Implied Prob B	Value
Burns vs Malott🟢	Gilbert Burns	55.0%	N/A	—	Mike Malott	45.0%	N/A	—	Burns +55.0%
Phillips vs Jourdain🟢	Kyler Phillips	57.0%	N/A	—	Charles Jourdain	43.0%	N/A	—	Phillips +57.0%
Jasudavicius vs Silva🟢	Jasmine Jasudavicius	58.0%	N/A	—	Karine Silva	42.0%	N/A	—	Jasudavicius +58.0%
Raposo vs Nascimento🟡	Mitch Raposo	50.0%	N/A	—	Allan Nascimento	50.0%	N/A	—	Nascimento +50.0%
Aldrich vs Horth🟢	JJ Aldrich	42.0%	N/A	—	Jamey-Lyn Horth	58.0%	N/A	—	Horth +58.0%
Moises vs Young🟡	Thiago Moises	57.0%	N/A	—	Gauge Young	43.0%	N/A	—	Moises +57.0%

Event Discussion

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UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott - UFC Winnipeg

UFC Canada Winnipeg: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

What is UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott?

What are the predictions for UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott?

How to watch UFC Canada: Burns vs. Malott and what time does it start?

Burns vs. Malott

Phillips vs. Jourdain

Moises vs. Young

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott Fights, Analytics & Predictions

Gilbert Burns

Mike Malott

Kyler Phillips

Charles Jourdain

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Karine Silva

John Castaneda

Mark Vologdin

Mitch Raposo

Allan Nascimento

Melissa Croden

Darya Zheleznyakova

Robert Valentin

Julien Leblanc

Tanner Boser

Gokhan Saricam

Dennis Buzukja

Márcio Barbosa

JJ Aldrich

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Mandel Nallo

Jai Herbert

Thiago Moises

Gauge Young

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Event Discussion

THE FUTURE OFCOMBAT SPORTS ANALYTICS

THE FUTURE OF
COMBAT SPORTS ANALYTICS