Where is UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy being held?

The event is at The O2 Arena in London, England — a 20,000-seat venue that has hosted some of the biggest UFC events in European history.

How many fights are on the UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy card?

There are 14 fights on the card, including the five-round featherweight main event between unbeaten Movsar Evloev (19-0) and Lerone Murphy (17-0-1).

What are the main card fights for UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy?

The main card features Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (featherweight, 5 rounds), Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (middleweight), Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (featherweight), Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (welterweight), Iwo Baraniewski vs. Austen Lane (light heavyweight), and Kurtis Campbell vs. Danny Silva (featherweight).

Where can I find AI predictions and odds for UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy?

This page provides AI predictions for every fight. Key picks: Evloev 63% over Murphy (Decision most likely at 40%), Duncan 66% over Dolidze (striking composite 72 vs 42), Page 60% over Patterson (accuracy and damage economy). Each matchup shows model probabilities vs market odds to flag value bets across the full card.

How does the AI model generate fight predictions?

Our AI model analyzes fighter stats, historical matchup data, and performance trends to generate win probabilities for every fight. For Evloev vs Murphy, the model gives Evloev a 63% win probability — most likely by Decision (40%) via wrestling pressure. Murphy's best path is early KO/TKO (22%). Each fight includes model probabilities compared against market odds to flag value bets.

UFC London: Evloev vs. Murphy Predictions & Odds | The O2 Arena

Saturday, March 21, 2026

London, England

The O2

completed14 Fights

Main Card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Start Time: 12:00 PM ET

Start Time by Timezone

Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.

GMT

London (Local)

Early

11:00 AM

Prelims

1:00 PM

Main

4:00 PM

Eastern US/Canada

Early

7:00 AM

Prelims

9:00 AM

Main

12:00 PM

Pacific US/Canada

Early

4:00 AM

Prelims

6:00 AM

Main

9:00 AM

CET

Central Europe

Early

12:00 PM

Prelims

2:00 PM

Main

5:00 PM

AEDT

Australia (East)

Early

10:00 PM

Prelims

12:00 AM (Sun)

Main

3:00 AM (Sun)

UFC Returns to London: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

Evloev vs. Murphy — The O2 Arena, London — March 21, 2026

Two unbeaten featherweights walk into the 20,000-seat O2 Arena — only one keeps the zero. Movsar Evloev (19-0), the relentless Dagestani wrestler who smothers opponents with takedown pressure, faces Lerone Murphy (17-0-1), Manchester's knockout artist fighting on home soil. The stakes are massive: the winner almost certainly gets next crack at the 145-pound title. Live on Paramount+ at 4:00 PM GMT / 12:00 PM ET.

We've broken down every bout on the Evloev vs Murphy card with AI-driven model probabilities vs market odds and value bet flags — from the featherweight headliner all the way through Dolidze vs Duncan, Page vs Patterson, and the full 14-fight prelim lineup.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy?

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy takes place March 21, 2026, at The O2 in London — and this is the kind of matchup that keeps the featherweight division honest. Movsar Evloev (19-0) averages a staggering 4.67 takedowns per 15 minutes with 61% striking defense, making him one of the toughest puzzles at 145 pounds. Lerone Murphy (17-0-1) answers with 4.48 significant strikes per minute at 54% accuracy and 8 career KO/TKOs — raw power with precision behind it. The 14-fight card also features Dolidze vs. Duncan (middleweight), Page vs. Patterson (welterweight), and Jones vs. Sola (lightweight). Streams on Paramount+.

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What are the predictions for Evloev vs. Murphy?

The numbers lean Evloev's way: our model gives him a 63% win probability, most likely by Decision (40%) — expect him to chain wrestle through five rounds, piling up control time that Murphy hasn't faced at this level. Murphy's best path? Early KO/TKO (22%) in rounds 1-2, before the wrestling accumulates and his gas tank gets tested.

Don't sleep on the co-main: Duncan at 66% over Dolidze is our strongest main-card pick, driven by superior volume and accuracy. Page at 60% over Patterson should thrive with his karate-based movement in front of the London crowd. Every fight on the card includes model probabilities vs market odds to flag value bets.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy airs Saturday, March 21, 2026, from The O2 in London. Main card kicks off at 12:00 PM ET / 4:00 PM GMT with prelims starting at 9:00 AM ET / 1:00 PM GMT. Catch the full card on Paramount+ (US) or TNT Sports (UK) — international viewers have access via UFC Fight Pass. Heads up for US fans: London timing means this is a rare afternoon card, so plan accordingly.

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Main Card Matchup Insights

Main Event — Featherweight

Evloev vs Murphy

Model: Evloev 63% — grinding Decision (40%) is the most likely outcome

The gap: 4.67 vs 1.41 TD/15 — Evloev shoots 3.3x more than Murphy faces

Murphy's window: KO/TKO (22%) — he needs it early, rounds 1-2

Red flag: Murphy's 51% TDD has never faced a wrestler this relentless

Co-Main — Middleweight

Dolidze vs Duncan

Model: Duncan 66% — outworks Dolidze on volume and accuracy

Duncan: 4.60 SLpM, 58% accuracy, 79″ reach — long and sharp

Dolidze: 73% finish rate is scary, but 26% TDD is exploitable

Home crowd behind Duncan — London energy could be the X-factor

Main Card — Welterweight

Page vs Patterson

Model: Page 60% — makes you miss and makes you pay

MVP: 60% StrAcc, karate angles, absorbs just 1.68 SApM

Patterson's threat: 100% TDAcc (small sample) and 2.78 Sub/15

MVP fighting in London — expect the O2 to be electric for this one

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest-value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event

🟢

Movsar Evloev

19-0-0

Featherweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Lerone Murphy

"The Miracle"

17-0-1

🟢

Roman Dolidze

15-4-0

Middleweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Christian Leroy Duncan

13-2-0

🔴

Luke Riley

12-0-0

Featherweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Michael Aswell

11-3-0

🟡

Michael Page

"Venom"

"The Dragon"

17-2-0

Lightweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Axel Sola

11-0-1

🔴

Nathaniel Wood

"The Prospect"

7-2-0

Women's Bantamweight

Market Odds

...vs...

No picks yet

Luana Carolina

11-5-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Fight	Fighter A	Model Prob A	Market Odds A	Implied Prob A	Fighter B	Model Prob B	Market Odds B	Implied Prob B	Value
Evloev vs Murphy	Evloev	63.0%	—	—	Murphy	37.0%	—	—	+63.0% Evloev
Dolidze vs Duncan	Dolidze	34.0%	—	—	Duncan	66.0%	—	—	+66.0% Duncan
Page vs Patterson	Page	60.0%	—	—	Patterson	40.0%	—	—	+60.0% Page

Event Discussion

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UFC London: Evloev vs. Murphy Predictions & Odds | The O2 Arena

UFC Returns to London: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

What is UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy?

What are the predictions for Evloev vs. Murphy?

How to watch UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy and what time does it start?

Main Card Matchup Insights

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Fights, Analytics & Predictions

Movsar Evloev

Lerone Murphy

Roman Dolidze

Christian Leroy Duncan

Luke Riley

Michael Aswell

Michael Page

Sam Patterson

Iwo Baraniewski

Austen Lane

Kurtis Campbell

Danny Silva

Mason Jones

Axel Sola

Nathaniel Wood

Losene Keita

Louie Sutherland

Brando Pericic

Antonio Trócoli

Mantas Kondratavicius

Felipe Franco

Mario Pinto

Shaqueme Rock

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Shanelle Dyer

Ravena Oliveira

Melissa Mullins

Luana Carolina

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Event Discussion

THE FUTURE OFCOMBAT SPORTS ANALYTICS

THE FUTURE OF
COMBAT SPORTS ANALYTICS