What is UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy?
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy is a UFC event scheduled for March 21, 2026, at The O2 in London, England. The five-round main event features an unbeaten featherweight clash between Movsar Evloev (18-0) and Lerone Murphy (14-0-1). Evloev is a dominant wrestler who lands 4.2 significant strikes per minute with a 52% takedown accuracy and 80% takedown defense. Murphy, nicknamed “The Miracle,” is a striker averaging 4.8 significant strikes per minute with a 3-inch reach advantage at 74 inches. The co-main card includes Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan at middleweight. The entire card streams live on ESPN+.
What are the predictions for Evloev vs. Murphy?
MMA Analytics uses a five-model machine learning ensemble (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, Logistic Regression, and a Siamese Neural Network) to generate fight predictions. The model analyzes 45 SHAP-selected features and achieves 67.6% accuracy on held-out test data. For each fight on the UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy card, the system produces win probabilities, method-of-victory likelihoods, and confidence metrics, comparing model probabilities against market odds to identify potential value bets. All predictions are generated from historical fighter performance data, matchup dynamics, and physical attributes without human editorial bias.
How to watch UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy and what time does it start?
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy takes place on Saturday, March 21, 2026, at The O2 in London, England. The main card begins at 12:00 PM ET / 9:00 AM PT / 4:00 PM GMT / 3:00 AM AEDT (Sunday). Both the prelims and main card stream exclusively on ESPN+ in the United States. Because the event is held in London, the start time is earlier than typical U.S.-based UFC cards, making it a daytime event for American viewers.
