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Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos - UFC APEX Las Vegas

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, March 14, 2026
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Meta APEX
completed14 Fights
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
PT (Local)
Las Vegas (PT shown)
Early
12:00 PM
Prelims
2:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
3:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
8:00 PM
GMT
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
7:00 PM
Prelims
9:00 PM
Main
12:00 AM (Sun)
CET
Central Europe
Early
8:00 PM
Prelims
10:00 PM
Main
1:00 AM (Sun)
AEST
Australia (East)
Early
6:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
8:00 AM (Sun)
Main
11:00 AM (Sun)

Veteran Power vs. Undefeated Precision

On March 14, 2026, the UFC APEX hosts a critical featherweight clash as 39-year-old veteran Josh Emmett (19-6) faces undefeated Argentine prospect Kevin Vallejos (17-1) in a fight that could define both careers. Emmett, known for his devastating knockout power (82 composite striking), seeks to prove he still belongs among the elite after years of war with the division's best. Vallejos brings technical precision and an unblemished record into hostile territory, hunting the signature win that would launch him into title contention. With Emmett's wrestling pedigree (1.8 TD/15min) and Vallejos's 52% striking accuracy, this stylistic clash promises fireworks—power striker meets technical artist in a fight where experience battles youth, and one man's championship dreams end.

Emmett's Last Stand

At 39, the Sacramento power puncher knows this could be his final shot at relevance. 19-6 record speaks to wars survived.

Vallejos's Moment

17-1 with only one blemish. The 27-year-old Argentine striker can announce his arrival with a veteran scalp.

APEX Atmosphere

The intimate APEX setting amplifies every strike. No crowd to hide behind—just skill vs. will.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos?

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos is a mixed martial arts event scheduled for March 14, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The five-round featherweight main event features veteran power puncher Josh Emmett (19-6) against rising Argentine contender Kevin Vallejos (17-1). Emmett brings dangerous knockout power with 4.2 significant strikes landed per minute and a wrestling base averaging 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Vallejos counters with precise striking at 52% accuracy and an impressive 17-1 professional record with only one career defeat. The card streams live on ESPN+ with the main card beginning at 6:00 PM ET.

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What are the predictions for Emmett vs. Vallejos?

MMA Analytics uses a five-model machine learning ensemble (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, Logistic Regression, and a Siamese Neural Network) to generate fight predictions. The model analyzes 45 SHAP-selected features and achieves 67.6% accuracy on held-out test data. For each fight on the UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos card, the system produces win probabilities, method-of-victory likelihoods, and confidence metrics, comparing model probabilities against market odds to identify potential value bets. All predictions are generated from historical fighter performance data, matchup dynamics, and physical attributes without human editorial bias.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos takes place on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The main card begins at 6:00 PM ET / 3:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM GMT / 9:00 AM AEDT (Sunday). The entire event, including the prelims, streams live on ESPN+ from the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. An ESPN+ subscription is required to watch the event live, with replay available on demand after the broadcast concludes.

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos — Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Meta APEX)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Emmett vs Vallejos featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth breakdowns for a marquee featherweight headliner at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Former UFC featherweight headliner Josh Emmett — experienced veteran faces rising contender Kevin Vallejos. The co‑main features Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson in women's strawweight, plus Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders in middleweight and Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund in a light heavyweight clash.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest-value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event
🟢
Josh Emmett
Featherweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Kevin Vallejos

17-1-0

Kevin Vallejos
🟢
Amanda Lemos
Women's Strawweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Gillian Robertson

"The Savage"

16-8-0

Gillian Robertson
🟢
Bruno Silva

Bruno Silva

"Bulldog"

15-7-2

Flyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Charles Johnson

18-8-0

Charles Johnson
🟢
Brad Tavares
Middleweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Eryk Anders

"Ya Boi"

17-9-0

Eryk Anders
🔴
Vitor Petrino
Heavyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Steven Asplund

7-1-0

Steven Asplund
🟡
Oumar Sy

Oumar Sy

12-1-0

Light Heavyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Ion Cutelaba

"The Hulk"

19-11-1

Ion Cutelaba
🔴
Bia Mesquita
Women's Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Melissa Rendon

7-1-0

Melissa Rendon
🔴
Elijah Smith
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Su Young You

16-3-0

Su Young You
🔴
Luan Lacerda
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Hecher Sosa

14-1-0

Hecher Sosa
🔴
Marwan Rahiki
Featherweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Harry Hardwick

13-4-1

Harry Hardwick
🟢
Chris Curtis

Chris Curtis

"The Action Man"

32-12-0

Welterweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Myktybek Orolbai

15-2-1

Myktybek Orolbai
🟢
Piera Rodriguez
Women's Strawweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Sam Hughes

"Sampage"

11-6-0

Sam Hughes
🔴
Bolaji Oki
Lightweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Manoel Sousa

13-1-0

Manoel Sousa
🟡
Andre Fili

Andre Fili

"Touchy"

25-12-0

Featherweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet

Jose Delgado

10-2-0

Jose Delgado

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Emmett vs VallejosEmmett32.0%——Vallejos68.0%——+68.0% Vallejos
Lemos vs RobertsonLemos38.0%——Robertson62.0%——+62.0% Robertson
Silva vs JohnsonSilva35.0%——Johnson65.0%——+65.0% Johnson
Tavares vs AndersTavares57.0%——Anders43.0%——+57.0% Tavares
Sy vs CutelabaSy64.0%——Cutelaba36.0%——+64.0% Sy
Curtis vs OrolbaiCurtis38.0%——Orolbai62.0%——+62.0% Orolbai
Rodriguez vs HughesRodriguez60.0%——Hughes40.0%——+60.0% Rodriguez
Fili vs DelgadoFili38.0%——Delgado62.0%——+62.0% Delgado

Event Discussion

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