UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Almabayev Event Analytics & Predictions
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Almabayev — Predictions, Odds & Start Time
Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Arena CDMX)
Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Moreno vs Almabayev featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a championship double‑header including Harrison vs Nunes.
We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
UFC Fight Night Fights, Analytics & Predictions
We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreno vs Almabayev🟢 | Brandon Moreno | 56.0% | N/A | — | Asu Almabayev | 44.0% | N/A | — | Moreno +56.0%UFC experience, pace management, and overall well-roundedness |
| Chairez vs Bunes🟡 | Edgar Chairez | 52.0% | N/A | — | Felipe Bunes | 48.0% | N/A | — | Chairez +52.0%Submission threat vs scrambles; small edge in speed/pace |
Event Discussion
THE FUTURE OF
COMBAT SPORTS ANALYTICS
Join 10,000+ analysts. Get AI-verified predictions, real-time arbitrage alerts, and deep-dive technical breakdowns delivered to your inbox.
Join the revolution. No spam, just edge. Unsubscribe anytime.