UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira — Predictions, Odds & Start Time
Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (UFC Apex)
Advanced UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira analysis for Bautista vs Oliveira featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a stacked card including Albazi vs Horiguchi.
We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Fights, Analytics & Predictions
We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bautista vs Oliveira🟢 | Mario Bautista | 55.0% | N/A | — | Vinicius Oliveira | 45.0% | N/A | — | Bautista +55.0%Volume striking and UFC experience advantage |
| Albazi vs Horiguchi🟢 | Amir Albazi | 50.0% | N/A | — | Kyoji Horiguchi | 50.0% | N/A | — | Horiguchi +50.0% |
| Oleksiejczuk vs Barriault🟢 | Michał Oleksiejczuk | 52.0% | N/A | — | Marc-André Barriault | 48.0% | N/A | — | Oleksiejczuk +52.0%Power striking and finishing ability |
| Matsumoto vs Basharat🟡 | Jean Matsumoto | 48.0% | N/A | — | Farid Basharat | 52.0% | N/A | — | Basharat +52.0%Grappling control and undefeated record |
| Wang vs Moura🟡 | Cong Wang | 50.0% | N/A | — | Eduarda Moura | 50.0% | N/A | — | Moura +50.0% |
Event Discussion
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