What is UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez?
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez is a mixed martial arts event scheduled for February 21, 2026, at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. The five-round middleweight main event features former UFC middleweight champion Sean Strickland (29-7) against surging contender Anthony "Fluffy" Hernandez (15-2). Strickland brings elite volume striking at 5.9 significant strikes landed per minute with 84% takedown defense, while Hernandez counters with relentless grappling pressure averaging 4.0 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.8 submissions per 15 minutes. The card streams exclusively on Paramount+ with the main card beginning at 6:00 PM ET.
What are the predictions for Strickland vs. Hernandez?
MMA Analytics uses a five-model machine learning ensemble (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, Logistic Regression, and a Siamese Neural Network) to generate fight predictions. The model analyzes 45 SHAP-selected features and achieves 67.6% accuracy on held-out test data. For each fight on the UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez card, the system produces win probabilities, method-of-victory likelihoods, and confidence metrics, comparing model probabilities against market odds to identify potential value bets. All predictions are generated from historical fighter performance data, matchup dynamics, and physical attributes without human editorial bias.
How to watch UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez and what time does it start?
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez takes place on Friday, February 21, 2026. The main card begins at 6:00 PM ET / 3:00 PM PT / 11:00 PM GMT / 10:00 AM AEDT (Saturday). The entire event, including the prelims, streams live on Paramount+ from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. A Paramount+ subscription is required to watch the event live, with replay available on demand after the broadcast concludes.
