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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez Poster
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Houston, Texas, United States
Toyota Center
⚡ Upcoming Event13 Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET (Local)
Houston (ET shown)
Early
4:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
6:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
1:00 PM
Prelims
2:00 PM
Main
3:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
9:00 PM
Prelims
10:00 PM
Main
11:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
10:00 PM
Prelims
11:00 PM
Main
12:00 AM (Sun)
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
4:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
6:00 PM

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez — Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Toyota Center)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Strickland vs Hernandez featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a pivotal middleweight main event from Houston.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event
🟢
Middleweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Anthony Hernandez

Anthony Hernandez

"Fluffy"

15-2-0

🟡
Serghei Spivac

Serghei Spivac

"Polar Bear"

17-6-0

Heavyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
🟢
Dan Ige

Dan Ige

"50K"

19-10-0

Featherweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
🟡
Chidi Njokuani

Chidi Njokuani

"Bang Bang"

25-11-0

Welterweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Carlos Leal

Carlos Leal

"The Lion"

22-7-0

🔴
Ode Osbourne

Ode Osbourne

"The Jamaican Sensation"

13-9-0

Flyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
🟢
Middleweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
🔴
Flyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
🔴
Welterweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
🔴
Welterweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
🟢
Women's Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Joselyne Edwards

Joselyne Edwards

"La Pantera"

16-6-0

🔴
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Jordan Leavitt

Jordan Leavitt

"The Monkey King"

12-3-0

🟡
Carli Judice

Carli Judice

"Crispy"

5-2-0

Flyweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Juliana Miller

Juliana Miller

"Killer"

4-3-0

🟢
Welterweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Punahele Soriano

Punahele Soriano

"Puna"

12-4-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Strickland vs Hernandez🟢Sean Strickland63.0%N/AAnthony Hernandez37.0%N/A
Strickland +63.0%Defense, striking volume, and championship experience
Spivac vs Delija🟡Serghei Spivac60.8%N/AAnte Delija39.2%N/A
Spivac +60.8%Early knockout power and striking volume
Ige vs Costa🟢Dan Ige50.0%N/AMelquizael Costa50.0%N/A
Costa +50.0%
Njokuani vs Leal🟡Chidi Njokuani50.0%N/ACarlos Leal50.0%N/A
Leal +50.0%
Reese vs Pereira🟢Zach Reese36.0%N/AMichel Pereira64.0%N/A
Pereira +64.0%Early finishing threat via grappling and power
Cornolle vs Edwards🟢Nora Cornolle50.0%N/AJoselyne Edwards50.0%N/A
Edwards +50.0%
Judice vs Miller🟡Carli Judice50.0%N/AJuliana Miller50.0%N/A
Miller +50.0%
Brahimaj vs Soriano🟢Ramiz Brahimaj50.0%N/APunahele Soriano50.0%N/A
Soriano +50.0%

Event Discussion

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