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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown Poster - UFC Analytics
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
10:00 AM
Prelims
12:00 PM
Main
2:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
7:00 AM
Prelims
9:00 AM
Main
11:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
3:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
7:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
4:00 PM
Prelims
6:00 PM
Main
8:00 PM
Local
Local (TBD)
Early
TBD
Prelims
TBD
Main
TBD
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
TBD
completed16 Fights
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: 12:00 PM ET

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Welterweight Headliner)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Bonfim vs Brown featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the welterweight main event and the full card including Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti, Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes and Ricky SimΓ³n vs Raoni Barcelos.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis β€” model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement β€” aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.

πŸ“ŠAnalysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

πŸ”΄

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟑

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟒

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown – Fights, Analytics & Predictions

πŸ’‘

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

Main Event
🟒
Welterweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Gabriel Bonfim def. Randy Brown β€” KO/TKO (Clinch Knee), R2 1:40
No picks yet
Co-Main Event
🟑
Mayra Bueno Silva

Mayra Bueno Silva

"Sheetara"

10-5-1

Women's Bantamweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Jacqueline Cavalcanti def. Mayra Bueno Silva β€” Decision - Unanimous, R3 15:00
No picks yet
🟒
Bantamweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Raoni Barcelos def. Ricky SimΓ³n β€” Decision - Unanimous, R3 15:00
No picks yet
πŸ”΄
Heavyweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Josh Hokit def. Max Gimenis β€” KO/TKO (Right Hook), R1 0:56
No picks yet
🟒
Tecia Pennington

Tecia Pennington

"The Tiny Tornado"

15-7-0

Women's Strawweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Denise Gomes def. Tecia Pennington β€” Decision - Unanimous, R3 15:00
No picks yet
🟑
Bantamweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Cristian QuiΓ±onez

Cristian QuiΓ±onez

"Problema"

18-5-0

πŸ”΄
Lightweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Chris Padilla def. Ismael Bonfim β€” KO/TKO (Ground and Pound), R2 4:30
No picks yet
πŸ”΄
Jamall Emmers

Jamall Emmers

"Pretty Boy"

22-8-0

Featherweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Jamall Emmers def. Hyder Amil β€” Decision - Unanimous, R3 15:00
No picks yet
🟒
Muslim Salikhov

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"

22-6-0

Welterweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Uros Medic def. Muslim Salikhov β€” KO/TKO (Straight Left to Ground Punches), R1 1:03
No picks yet
Uros Medic

Uros Medic

"The Doctor"

12-3-0

🟑
Matt Schnell

Matt Schnell

"Danger"

17-10-0

Flyweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Joseph Morales def. Matt Schnell β€” Submission (Guillotine Choke), R1 2:54
No picks yet
πŸ”΄
Middleweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Christian Leroy Duncan def. Marco Tulio β€” KO/TKO (Spinning Backfist and Punches), R2 3:28
No picks yet
πŸ”΄
Catchweight (195 lbs)
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Zach Reese def. Jackson McVey β€” Submission (Rear Naked Choke), R2 1:38
No picks yet
🟒
Bantamweight
VS
Odds:.../...
Result: Daniel Marcos def. Miles Johns β€” Submission (Rear Naked Choke), R2 4:23
No picks yet
β›” CANCELLED
πŸ”΄
Featherweight
CANCELLED
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Jamall Emmers

Jamall Emmers

"Pretty Boy"

21-8-0

β›” CANCELLED
🟑
Bantamweight
CANCELLED
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
β›” BOUT RESCHEDULED
πŸ”΄
Women's Bantamweight
CANCELLED
Odds:.../...
No picks yet

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Bonfim vs Brown🟒Gabriel Bonfim62.0%β€”β€”Randy Brown38.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
Silva vs Cavalcanti🟑Mayra Bueno Silva36.0%β€”β€”Jacqueline Cavalcanti64.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
SimΓ³n vs Barcelos🟒Ricky SimΓ³n61.0%β€”β€”Raoni Barcelos39.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
Pennington vs Gomes🟒Tecia Pennington44.0%β€”β€”Denise Gomes56.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
Yanez vs QuiΓ±onez🟑Adrian Yanez68.0%β€”β€”Cristian QuiΓ±onez32.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
Salikhov vs Medic🟒Muslim Salikhov65.0%β€”β€”Uros Medic35.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
Schnell vs Morales🟑Matt Schnell40.0%β€”β€”Joseph Morales60.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
Johns vs Marcos🟒Miles Johns45.0%β€”β€”Daniel Marcos55.0%β€”β€”No odds yet
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Accuracy of our Picks

Note: Flat 1.00u stake per pick. Profits computed from American odds when available.
71%
Prediction Accuracy (Overall)
5
Correct Predictions (Overall)
7
Total Picks
+0.40u
Betting Units (Overall)
60%
Prediction Accuracy (Optimal)
3
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
5
Optimal Picks
-0.25u
Betting Units (Optimal)
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown
Pick: Gabriel Bonfim (-155) | +0.65u
Result: KO/TKO (Clinch Knee)
Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes
Pick: Denise Gomes (-182) | +0.55u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos
Pick: Daniel Marcos (-180) | +0.56u
Result: Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)
Ricky SimΓ³n vs Raoni Barcelos
Pick: Ricky SimΓ³n | -1.00u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic
Pick: Muslim Salikhov | -1.00u
Result: KO/TKO (Straight Left to Ground Punches)
Moderate Risk Picks Summary
100%
Prediction Accuracy (Moderate)
2
Correct Predictions (Moderate)
2
Moderate Picks
+0.65u
Betting Units (Moderate)
Correct Predictions (Moderate)
Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Pick: Jacqueline Cavalcanti (-230) | +0.43u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales
Pick: Joseph Morales (-455) | +0.22u
Result: Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Incorrect Predictions (Moderate)
None

Performance of the Night ($50,000)

  • Gabriel Bonfimvs Randy Brown
  • Christian Leroy Duncanvs Marco Tulio
  • Josh Hokitvs Max Gimenis
  • Zach Reesevs Jackson McVey

Event Summary

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown showcased spectacular finishing ability across multiple divisions. The main event was a masterclass in clinch work and explosive finishing, while the full card offered a mix of highlight-reel stoppages and competitive decisions. The Performance of the Night bonuses were well‑deserved by Gabriel Bonfim, Christian Leroy Duncan, Josh Hokit, and Zach Reese.

Event Discussion

Event Analytics Overview

8
Total Fights
4
Main Card Fights
6
Divisions
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