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UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs Allen - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs Allen Poster - UFC Analytics
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
4:00 AM
Prelims
6:00 AM
Main
8:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
1:00 AM
Prelims
3:00 AM
Main
5:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
9:00 AM
Prelims
11:00 AM
Main
1:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
10:00 AM
Prelims
12:00 PM
Main
2:00 PM
Local
Local (TBD)
Early
1:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
Saturday, October 18, 2025
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Rogers Arena
completed11 Fights
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: TBD

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs Allen Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Middleweight Headliner)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for De Ridder vs Allen featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the middleweight main event and the full card including Fiorot vs Jasudavicius.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs Allen – Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

Main Event
🟡
Reinier de Ridder

Reinier de Ridder

"The Dutch Knight"

21-3-0

Middleweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO (Retirement/Corner Stoppage)
R45:00
No picks yet
Brendan Allen

Brendan Allen

"All In"

26-7-0

🟢
Kevin Holland

Kevin Holland

"Trailblazer"

28-15-0

Welterweight
VS
Odds:
Decision (Unanimous)
R35:00
No picks yet
🟢
Manon Fiorot

Manon Fiorot

"The Beast"

13-2-0

Women's Flyweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO (Punches and Knees)
R11:14
No picks yet
🟢
Marlon Vera

Marlon Vera

"Chito"

23-11-1

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
Decision (Split)
R35:00
No picks yet
🟢
Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson

"The Monster"

17-6-1

Lightweight
VS
Odds:
Decision (Unanimous)
R35:00
No picks yet
Matt Frevola

Matt Frevola

"The Steamrolla"

11-6-1

🟢
Cody Gibson

Cody Gibson

"The Renegade"

21-12-0

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO (Straight Right to Hammerfists)
R10:21
No picks yet
Aoriqileng
Performance of the Night

Aoriqileng

"The Mongolian Murderer"

26-12-0

🔴
Women's Strawweight
VS
Odds:
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
R32:50
No picks yet
🔴
Middleweight
VS
Odds:
Decision (Unanimous)
R35:00
No picks yet
🔴
Azamat Bekoev

Azamat Bekoev

"The Professional"

20-4-0

Middleweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO (Punches)
R30:55
No picks yet
🟡
Bruno Silva

Bruno Silva

"Bulldog"

15-7-2

Flyweight
VS
Odds:
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
R32:15
No picks yet
Hyun Sung Park

Hyun Sung Park

"Peace of Mind"

10-2-0

🔴
Women's Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO (Punches From Top Position)
R34:32
No picks yet
⭐ Fight of the Night
🔴
Lightweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO (Punches, Knees, and Elbows)
R31:16
No picks yet
Drew Dober

Drew Dober

28-15-0

🟢
Charles Jourdain
Performance of the Night

Charles Jourdain

"Air"

17-8-1

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
R13:05
No picks yet
Davey Grant

Davey Grant

"Dangerous"

15-8-0

CANCELLED
🟡
Reinier de Ridder

Reinier de Ridder

"The Dutch Knight"

21-2-0

Middleweight
CANCELLED
Odds:
No picks yet
Anthony Hernandez

Anthony Hernandez

"Fluffy"

15-2-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Reinier vs Brendan🟡Reinier de Ridder64.0%Brendan Allen36.0%No odds yet
Kevin vs Mike🟢Kevin Holland65.0%Mike Malott35.0%No odds yet
Manon vs Jasmine🟢Manon Fiorot75.0%Jasmine Jasudavicius25.0%No odds yet
Marlon vs Aiemann🟢Marlon Vera62.0%Aiemann Zahabi38.0%No odds yet
Kyle vs Matt🟢Kyle Nelson35.0%Matt Frevola65.0%No odds yet
Cody vs Aoriqileng🟢Cody Gibson62.0%Aoriqileng38.0%No odds yet
Bruno vs Hyun🟡Bruno Silva28.0%Hyun Sung Park72.0%No odds yet
Charles vs Davey🟢Charles Jourdain65.0%Davey Grant35.0%No odds yet
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Accuracy of our Picks

Note: These metrics are reference-only. We use flat staking of 1.00 unit per pick regardless of model confidence or probability. Historical units reflect this constant stake size.
25%
Prediction Accuracy (Overall)
2
Correct Predictions (Overall)
8
Total Setup Fights
-4.98u
Betting Units (Overall)
33%
Prediction Accuracy (Optimal)
2
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
6
Optimal Setup Fights
-2.98u
Betting Units (Optimal)
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius
Pick: Manon Fiorot (-225) | +0.44u
Result: KO/TKO (Punches and Knees)
Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant
Pick: Charles Jourdain (-173) | +0.58u
Result: Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)
Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott
Pick: Kevin Holland | -1.00u
Result: Decision (Unanimous)
Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi
Pick: Marlon Vera | -1.00u
Result: Decision (Split)
Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola
Pick: Matt Frevola | -1.00u
Result: Decision (Unanimous)
Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng
Pick: Cody Gibson | -1.00u
Result: KO/TKO (Straight Right to Hammerfists)
Moderate Risk Picks Summary
0%
Prediction Accuracy (Moderate)
0
Correct Predictions (Moderate)
2
Moderate Setup Fights
-2.00u
Betting Units (Moderate)
Total Units (Moderate): -2.00u
Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen
Pick: Reinier de Ridder | -1.00u
Bruno Silva vs Hyun Sung Park
Pick: Hyun Sung Park | -1.00u

Event Highlights

Middleweight Main Event Spotlight

Grappling‑heavy chess match as Reinier de Ridder meets all‑action grappler Brendan Allen. Expect takedown battles, clinch work, and submission scrambles defining momentum swings.

Elite Women's Flyweights + Action Undercard

Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius headlines the contenders' lane, while Bruno Silva vs Hyun Sung Park and Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi bring proven action across divisions. Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott adds high‑profile welterweight intrigue, and the card features additional action with Drew Dober vs Kyle Prepolec and Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant.

Notable Storylines

Can de Ridder's submission chains out‑grapple Allen's pressure? Will Fiorot's footwork control range against Jasmine's wrestling? Watch for late‑card momentum swings and live‑bet spots in grappling‑heavy matchups. The preliminary card features rising prospects and veteran matchups including women's divisions and lightweight action.

Event Analytics Overview

11
Total Fights
5
Main Card Fights
8
Divisions

Event Discussion

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