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UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Fiziev - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Fiziev Poster - UFC Analytics
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
4:00 AM
Prelims
6:00 AM
Main
8:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
1:00 AM
Prelims
3:00 AM
Main
5:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
9:00 AM
Prelims
11:00 AM
Main
1:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
10:00 AM
Prelims
12:00 PM
Main
2:00 PM
Local
Local (TBD)
Early
1:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
Saturday, October 11, 2025
TBD
TBD
Upcoming Event13 Fights
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: TBD

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Fiziev Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Lightweight Headliner)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Oliveira vs Fiziev featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the lightweight main event and the full card including Luque vs Ponzinibbio and Walker vs Usman.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Fiziev – Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

Main Event
🟢
Charles Oliveira

Charles Oliveira

"Do Bronx"

35-11-0

Lightweight
VS
Odds:
Rafael Fiziev

Rafael Fiziev

"Ataman"

13-4-0

🟡
Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
Mohammed Usman

Mohammed Usman

"The Motor"

11-4-0

🟡
Vitor Petrino

Vitor Petrino

"Icão"

12-2-0

Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
Thomas Petersen

Thomas Petersen

"The Train"

10-3-0

🟡
Julia Polastri

Julia Polastri

"Psycho"

13-5-0

Women's Strawweight
VS
Odds:
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

"The Polish Princess"

16-9-0

🟢
Vicente Luque

Vicente Luque

"The Silent Assassin"

23-11-1

Welterweight
VS
Odds:
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Santiago Ponzinibbio

"Argentine Dagger"

30-9-0

🟢
Deiveson Figueiredo

Deiveson Figueiredo

"Deus da Guerra"

24-5-1

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
Montel Jackson

Montel Jackson

"Quik"

15-2-0

🟢
Welterweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Flyweight
VS
Odds:
Stewart Nicoll

Stewart Nicoll

"The Freak"

8-1-0

🔴
Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Irina Alekseeva

Irina Alekseeva

"Russian Ronda"

5-3-0

Women's Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
🟡
Flyweight
VS
Odds:
Clayton Carpenter

Clayton Carpenter

"Clutch"

8-1-0

🔴
Lightweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Featherweight
VS
Odds:
Kaan Ofli

Kaan Ofli

11-4-1

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Charles vs Rafael🟢Charles Oliveira55.0%Rafael Fiziev45.0%No odds yet
Valter vs Mohammed🟡Valter Walker58.0%Mohammed Usman42.0%No odds yet
Vitor vs Thomas🟡Vitor Petrino56.0%Thomas Petersen44.0%No odds yet
Julia vs Karolina🟡Julia Polastri48.0%Karolina Kowalkiewicz52.0%No odds yet
Vicente vs Santiago🟢Vicente Luque53.0%Santiago Ponzinibbio47.0%No odds yet
Deiveson vs Montel🟢Deiveson Figueiredo51.0%Montel Jackson49.0%No odds yet
Gabriel vs Randy🟢Gabriel Bonfim54.0%Randy Brown46.0%No odds yet
Jafel vs Clayton🟡Jafel Filho52.0%Clayton Carpenter48.0%No odds yet
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Event Highlights

Lightweight Main Event Spotlight

Charles Oliveira meets elite striker Rafael Fiziev in a high‑octane lightweight headliner. Oliveira brings world‑class submission threats and pressure boxing, while Fiziev offers elite kickboxing and defensive movement.

Veterans and Finishers on the Card

Fan‑favorite bouts include Vicente Luque vs Santiago Ponzinibbio and Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson, plus heavyweight power with Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto. Additional welterweight action features Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown, and flyweight prospects Lucas Rocha vs Stewart Nicoll.

Notable Storylines

Can Oliveira's submission game neutralize Fiziev's striking? Will Luque's durability and pressure overcome Ponzinibbio's boxing? Watch emerging prospects at flyweight and heavyweight for breakout performances. The card also features rising welterweight Gabriel Bonfim and lightweight prospect Lucas Almeida in competitive matchups.

Event Analytics Overview

13
Total Fights
6
Main Card Fights
7
Divisions
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