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UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang Poster - UFC Light Heavyweight Analytics
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
4:00 AM
Prelims
6:00 AM
Main
8:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
1:00 AM
Prelims
3:00 AM
Main
5:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
9:00 AM
Prelims
11:00 AM
Main
1:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
10:00 AM
Prelims
12:00 PM
Main
2:00 PM
Local
Shanghai, China
Early
1:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
Saturday, August 23, 2025
Shanghai, China
Shanghai
completed12 FightsChina Card
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: 6:00 AM ET / 7:00 PM Local

UFC Fight Night Shanghai: Walker vs Zhang Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Light Heavyweight Headliner)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Walker vs Zhang featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the light heavyweight main event and the full card including Ortega vs Sterling.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🟡
Main Event
Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO - Punches to Head on Ground
R22:37
Walker's accuracy peaked at 91% in R2; 33 ground strikes after a knockdown at 2:37.
🟢
Co-Main Event
Brian Ortega

Brian Ortega

"T-City"

16-5-0

Feahterweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R55:00
Scorecards: 50-45, 50-45, 50-45 for Sterling.
Aljamain Sterling

Aljamain Sterling

"Funk Master"

25-5-0

🟢
Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
Scorecards: 30-27, 29-28, 29-28 for Pavlovich.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

"Salsa Boy"

14-2-0

🟡
Flyweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
Dominated with superior striking; out-landed Borjas 73–16.
🟢
Rongzhu

Rongzhu

27-6-0

Lightweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
Scorecards: 30-27, 29-28, 29-28 for Rongzhu.
Austin Hubbard

Austin Hubbard

"Thud"

16-10-0

🔴
Yi Zha

Yi Zha

26-5-0

Featherweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO - Punches to Head at Distance
R10:37
Two knockdowns; 13 significant strikes to 0 before referee stoppage.
🔴
Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
Submission - Ezekiel Choke from Guard
R12:45
Secured rare Ezekiel choke from guard despite early striking deficit.
🔴
Flyweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO - Punch to Head at Distance
R24:35
Found timing and dropped Kavanagh with a perfectly placed punch.
Charles Johnson

Charles Johnson

"InnerG"

18-7-0

🔴
Long Xiao

Long Xiao

27-10-0

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
Su Young You

Su Young You

"Yoo-Jitsu"

16-3-0

🔴
Lightweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
Scorecards: 30-27, 29-28, 29-28 for Young.
Gauge Young

Gauge Young

"Gee Money"

10-3-0

🟢
Michel Pereira

Michel Pereira

"Demolidor"

31-14-0

Middleweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO - Elbows to Head from Guard
R10:43
After a knockdown, Daukaus transitioned to top control and finished with elbows.
Kyle Daukaus

Kyle Daukaus

"The D'Arce Knight"

16-4-0

🔴
Welterweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO - Elbows to Head on Ground
R13:33
Devastating ground-and-pound; 25 of 27 significant strikes from top position.
Kiefer Crosbie

Kiefer Crosbie

"BDK"

10-6-0

🔴
CANCELLED
Michel Pereira

Michel Pereira

"Demolidor"

31-14-0

Middleweight
CANCELLED
Odds:
🔴
CANCELLED
Welterweight
CANCELLED
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
Superior accuracy and tactical striking • Scorecards: 29-28, 29-28, 29-28 for You.
Kiefer Crosbie

Kiefer Crosbie

"BDK"

10-5-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Mingyang vs Johnny🟡Mingyang Zhang43.0%Johnny Walker57.0%No odds yet
Brian vs Aljamain🟢Brian Ortega32.0%Aljamain Sterling68.0%No odds yet
Sergei vs Waldo🟢Sergei Pavlovich75.0%Waldo Cortes-Acosta25.0%No odds yet
Sumudaerji vs Kevin🟡Sumudaerji75.0%Kevin Borjas25.0%No odds yet
Rongzhu vs Austin🟢Rongzhu65.0%Austin Hubbard35.0%No odds yet
Michel vs Kyle🟢Michel Pereira63.0%Kyle Daukaus37.0%No odds yet
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Accuracy of our Picks

Note: These metrics are reference-only. We use flat staking of 1.00 unit per pick regardless of model confidence or probability. Historical units reflect this constant stake size.

Overall Summary (Optimal + Moderate)

83%
Prediction Accuracy (Overall)
5
Correct Predictions (Overall)
6
Total Setup Fights
+3.41
Betting Units (Overall)
75%
Prediction Accuracy (Optimal)
3
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
4
Optimal Setup Fights
-0.06
Betting Units (Optimal)

Our AI-powered MMA analytics model evaluated only the optimal setup fights (both fighters with 5+ UFC bouts). We correctly predicted 3 out of 4 outcomes for UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang, achieving a 75% accuracy and a total of -0.06 units based on closing odds where available.

Correct Predictions (Optimal)

Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling
Pick: Aljamain Sterling (-510) | +0.20u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Pick: Sergei Pavlovich (-245) | +0.41u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard
Pick: Rongzhu (-300) | +0.33u
Result: Decision - Unanimous

Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)

Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus
Pick: Michel Pereira | -1.00u
Result: KO/TKO - Elbows to Head from Guard

Moderate Risk Picks Summary

100%
Prediction Accuracy (Moderate)
2
Correct Predictions (Moderate)
2
Moderate Setup Fights
+3.47
Betting Units (Moderate)
Total Units (Moderate): +3.47u
Mingyang Zhang vs Johnny Walker
Pick: Johnny Walker (+290) | +2.90u
Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas
Pick: Sumudaerji (-174) | +0.57u

Event Analytics Overview

12
Total Fights
3
Knockouts
1
Submissions
0
Performance Bonuses
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