UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions
UFC Fight Night Paris: Imavov vs Borralho Predictions, Odds & Start Time
Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Middleweight Headliner)
Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Imavov vs Borralho featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the middleweight main event and the full card.
We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho Fights, Analytics & Predictions
We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).
Bolaji Oki
10-3-0
Modestas Bukauskas
19-6-0
Rinat Fakhretdinov
25-2-1
Andreas Gustafsson
12-3-0
Oumar Sy
12-1-0
Brendson Ribeiro
17-9-0
Shauna Bannon
7-2-0
Sam Hughes
11-6-0
Marcin Tybura
27-10-0
Ante Delija
26-6-0
William Gomis
15-3-0
Robert Ruchała
11-2-0
Sam Patterson
14-2-1
Trey Waters
9-2-0
Kauê Fernandes
11-2-0
Harry Hardwick
13-4-1
Brad Tavares
21-11-0
Robert Bryczek
18-6-0
Axel Sola
11-0-1
Rhys McKee
14-7-1
Event Recap
🇫🇷French Favorites Deliver at Home
UFC Fight Night: Paris delivered an explosive evening of mixed martial arts with the French fighters putting on spectacular performances for their home crowd. Benoit Saint-Denis earned a "Performance of the Night" bonus with a dominant submission victory over Mauricio Ruffy, showcasing his elite grappling skills with a rear naked choke face crank in the second round. Nassourdine Imavov capped off the main event with a decision victory over Caio Borralho, proving his championship credentials in front of his passionate home fans.
✨A Night of Spectacular Finishes
The card was dominated by explosive finishes, with multiple fighters earning performance bonuses for their devastating stoppages. Mason Jones delivered a brutal ground-and-pound finish against Bolaji Oki with elbows from mount, while Ante Delija shocked the heavyweight division by knocking out veteran Marcin Tybura with a devastating uppercut followed by ground strikes. Kauê Fernandes provided one of the most unique finishes of the night, securing a rare calf kick knockout against Harry Hardwick.
⭐Rising Stars and Veteran Performances
The preliminary card showcased both rising prospects and seasoned veterans delivering memorable performances. Axel Sola maintained his undefeated record with a body shot knockout of Rhys McKee, while Sam Patterson and Robert Bryczek both secured impressive knockout victories. The event highlighted the global nature of the UFC, with fighters from France, Brazil, Lithuania, and other countries delivering action-packed performances that kept the Parisian crowd on their feet throughout the night.
🏅Official Performance Bonuses
- Performance of the Night: Benoit Saint-Denis ($50,000)
- Performance of the Night: Mason Jones ($50,000)
- Performance of the Night: Ante Delija ($50,000)
- Performance of the Night: Kauê Fernandes ($50,000)
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nassourdine vs Caio🟢 | Nassourdine Imavov | 42.0% | — | — | Caio Borralho | 58.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Mauricio vs Benoit🟡 | Mauricio Ruffy | 32.0% | — | — | Benoit Saint Denis | 68.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Modestas vs Paul🟢 | Modestas Bukauskas | 68.0% | — | — | Paul Craig | 32.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Bolaji vs Mason🟡 | Bolaji Oki | 65.0% | — | — | Mason Jones | 35.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Oumar vs Brendson🟡 | Oumar Sy | 73.0% | — | — | Brendson Ribeiro | 27.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Shauna vs Sam🟡 | Shauna Bannon | 35.0% | — | — | Sam Hughes | 65.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Fares vs Kauê🟡 | Fares Ziam | 85.0% | — | — | Kauê Fernandes | 15.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
Accuracy of our Picks
Overall Summary (Optimal + Moderate)
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)
Moderate Risk Picks Summary
Related Links
Event Highlights
Event Preview
Middleweight Main Event in Paris
The main event showcases France's own Nassourdine Imavov facing rising Brazilian contender Caio Borralho at the iconic Accor Arena. This critical middleweight bout features Imavov's home advantage and striking prowess against Borralho's elite grappling and finishing ability. The winner positions themselves for potential top-5 consideration.
International Showcase
This Paris card delivers international flavor with French favorites like Benoit Saint Denis, Fares Ziam, and Morgan Charriere competing at home. The event features elite talent across multiple divisions, mixing established contenders with rising prospects in an electric European atmosphere.
Notable Storylines
This Accor Arena card features compelling matchups across nine weight classes, from flyweight to heavyweight. Key storylines include Imavov's path to middleweight contention, Saint Denis' lightweight ascension, and several French fighters competing in front of their home crowd. With elite European talent and international challengers, UFC Fight Night Paris promises technical striking battles and high-level grappling exchanges in one of the sport's most passionate markets.