UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez - Event Fights,Analytics & Predictions
Accuracy of our Picks
Our AI-powered MMA analytics model evaluated only the optimal setup fights (both fighters with 5+ UFC bouts). We correctly predicted 5 out of 6 outcomes for UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez, achieving a 83% accuracy and a total of +0.54 units based on closing odds where available.
Correct Predictions (5)
Incorrect Predictions (1)
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez Analysis & Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez Analytics & Fight Breakdowns
Comprehensive UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez event analysis featuring Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez with detailed performance metrics for all fights, AI-powered predictions, and expert fight analytics. Our advanced MMA analytics platform provides in-depth technical breakdowns, stylistic analysis, and betting insights for the entire fight card.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez Fights, Analytics & Predictions
Performance of the Night
Iasmin Lucindo
18-6-0
Jean Matsumoto
17-1-0
Eryk Anders
17-9-0
Performance of the Night
Rafael Cerqueira
11-3-0
Performance of the Night
Performance of the NightJoselyne Edwards
13-4-0
Julija Stoliarenko
11-9-1
Eric McConico
10-3-1
Cody Brundage
11-7-1
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman vs Anthony🟢 | Roman Dolidze | 28.0% | +270 | 27.0% | Anthony Hernandez | 72.0% | -330 | 76.7% | Roman +1.0% |
| Steve vs Ode🟢 | Steve Erceg | 65.0% | -600 | 85.7% | Ode Osbourne | 35.0% | +425 | 19.0% | Ode +16.0% |
| Iasmin vs Angela🟢 | Iasmin Lucindo | 65.0% | -190 | 65.5% | Angela Hill | 35.0% | +165 | 37.7% | No Value |
| Andre vs Christian🟢 | Andre Fili | 35.0% | +210 | 32.3% | Christian Rodriguez | 65.0% | -250 | 71.4% | Andre +2.7% |
| Miles vs Jean🟡 | Miles Johns | 65.0% | +250 | 28.6% | Jean Matsumoto | 35.0% | -300 | 75.0% | Miles +36.4% |
| Eryk vs Christian🟢 | Eryk Anders | 40.0% | +415 | 19.4% | Christian Leroy Duncan | 60.0% | -565 | 85.0% | Eryk +20.6% |
| Joselyne vs Priscilla🟢 | Joselyne Edwards | 74.0% | -275 | 73.3% | Priscilla Cachoeira | 26.0% | +235 | 29.9% | Joselyne +0.7% |
| Uros vs Gilbert🟡 | Uros Medic | 58.0% | -450 | 81.8% | Gilbert Urbina | 42.0% | +350 | 22.2% | Gilbert +19.8% |
| Gabriella vs Julija🟡 | Gabriella Fernandes | 68.0% | -400 | 80.0% | Julija Stoliarenko | 32.0% | +300 | 25.0% | Julija +7.0% |
Note: Market odds are now available for selected fights
Accuracy of our Picks
Our AI-powered MMA analytics model evaluated only the optimal setup fights (both fighters with 5+ UFC bouts). We correctly predicted 5 out of 6 outcomes for UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez, achieving a 83% accuracy and a total of +0.54 units based on closing odds where available.
Correct Predictions (5)
Incorrect Predictions (1)
Event Analytics Overview
Event Recap & Highlights
💰 Official Performance Bonuses
Performance of the Night: Anthony Hernandez ($50,000).
Performance of the Night: Elijah Smith ($50,000).
Performance of the Night: Joselyne Edwards ($50,000).
Performance of the Night: Christian Leroy Duncan ($50,000).
Hernandez's Relentless Pace Secures Main Event Victory
Anthony "Fluffy" Hernandez delivered a suffocating pace and dominant grappling to submit Roman Dolidze via rear‑naked choke in round four (9 of 11 takedowns). While Dolidze had moments, Hernandez’s cardio and persistence proved decisive, earning him a Performance of the Night bonus.
A Night of Highlight-Reel Finishes
Four standout finishes stole the show: Christian Leroy Duncan’s spinning‑back‑elbow into TKO, Elijah Smith’s rare KO slam while defending a triangle, and first‑round knockouts from Joselyne Edwards and Uros Medic.
Memorable Decisions and Rising Contenders
The card also delivered competitive decisions: Steve Erceg earned a UD over Ode Osbourne with persistent grappling; Iasmin Lucindo sealed her UD by controlling round three; and three razor‑thin split decisions went to Andre Fili, Jean Matsumoto, and Eric McConico.