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UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Poster - UFC Flyweight Analytics
Saturday, August 2, 2025
Las Vegas, Nevada
UFC Apex
completed15 Fights
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: 7:00 PM ET

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park Analysis & Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park Analytics & Fight Breakdowns

Professional UFC Fight Night analysis for Taira vs Park featuring comprehensive flyweight rankings assessment, AI-powered predictions, and expert UFC Apex fight analysis. Our advanced MMA analytics platform delivers detailed technical breakdowns, all around metrics, and betting insights for elite matchups.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park Fights, Analytics & Predictions

Main Event
🟡
Flyweight
VS
-330 / +270
Submission - Neck Crank
Taira secured the submission from back control at 1:06 of Round 2
R2 1:06
Co-Main EventFight of the Night
🟢
Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan

"The Problem"

14-2-0

Lightweight
VS
+170 / -205
Decision - Unanimous
The judges scored the bout 29-28, 29-28, and 30-27 in favor of Duncan
R3 5:00
Fight of the Night
🟢
Esteban Ribovics

Esteban Ribovics

"El Gringo"

15-2-0

Lightweight
VS
-260 / +220
Decision - Unanimous
The judges scored the bout 29-28, 30-27, and 30-27 in favor of Ribovics
R3 5:00
🟡
Women's Bantamweight
VS
-171 / +146
Decision - Unanimous
The judges scored the bout 30-26, 29-27, and 29-27 in favor of Rosa
R3 5:00
Nora Cornolle

Nora Cornolle

"Wonder"

9-3-0

🟢
Neil Magny

Neil Magny

"The Haitian Sensation"

30-13-0

Welterweight
VS
+170 / -200
KO/TKO - Punches from Back Control
Magny secured the finish at 4:39 of Round 2
R2 4:39
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

"Capoeira"

25-10-1

🔴
Danny Silva

Danny Silva

"El Puma"

10-2-0

Featherweight
VS
-430 / +330
Decision - Unanimous
The judges scored the bout 29-28, 30-27, and 30-27 in favor of Vallejos
R3 5:00
Kevin Vallejos

Kevin Vallejos

"El Chino"

16-1-0

🔴
Nick Klein

Nick Klein

"Blue Collar"

6-3-0

Middleweight
VS
-410 / +310
KO/TKO - Kick to Body At Distance
Pulyaev secured the finish at 1:31 of Round 2
R2 1:31
🔴
Rinya Nakamura

Rinya Nakamura

"Hybrid"

10-1-0

Bantamweight
VS
-400 / +300
KO/TKO - Kick to Body At Distance
Nakamura earned the stoppage at 1:02 of Round 1
R1 1:02
🟢
Rodolfo Vieira

Rodolfo Vieira

"The Black Belt Hunter"

11-3-0

Middleweight
VS
-222 / +187
Decision - Unanimous
The judges scored the bout 29-28, 30-27, and 30-27 in favor of Vieira
R3 5:00
Tresean Gore

Tresean Gore

"Mr. Vicious"

5-4-0

🔴
Felipe Bunes

Felipe Bunes

"Felipinho"

14-8-0

Flyweight
VS
+360 / -460
Decision - Unanimous
The judges scored the bout 29-28, 29-28, and 29-28 in favor of Estevam
R3 5:00
Rafael Estevam

Rafael Estevam

"Macapá"

14-0-0

🟡
Piera Rodriguez

Piera Rodriguez

"La Fiera"

11-2-0

Women's Strawweight
VS
-195 / +165
Decision - Split
The judges scored the bout 29-28 (Rodriguez), 28-29 (Souza), and 29-28 (Rodriguez)
R3 5:00
Ketlen Souza

Ketlen Souza

"Esquentadinha"

15-6-0

🔴
Featherweight
VS
Submission - Rear-Naked Choke
Bashi forced the tap at 3:39 of Round 1
R1 3:39
🔴
CANCELLED - Finney Injury
Azamat Bekoev

Azamat Bekoev

"Iron"

20-3-0

Middleweight
CANCELLED
Torrez Finney

Torrez Finney

"The Punisher"

11-0-0

🔴
CANCELLED - Albazi Injury
Amir Albazi

Amir Albazi

"The Prince"

17-2-0

Flyweight
CANCELLED
🔴
CANCELLED - Marshall Injury
Francis Marshall

Francis Marshall

"Fire"

8-3-0

Featherweight
CANCELLED

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Tatsuro vs Hyun🟡Tatsuro Taira68.0%-33076.7%Hyun Sung Park32.0%+27027.0%No Value
Chris vs Mateusz🟢Chris Duncan32.0%+17037.0%Mateusz Rębecki68.0%-20567.2%No Value
Esteban vs Elves🟢Esteban Ribovics71.0%-26072.2%Elves Brener29.0%+22031.3%No Value
Karol vs Nora🟡Karol Rosa72.0%-17163.1%Nora Cornolle28.0%+14640.7%Rosa +8.9%
Neil vs Elizeu🟢Neil Magny63.0%+17037.0%Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos37.0%-20066.7%Magny +26.0%
Rodolfo vs Tresean🟢Rodolfo Vieira68.0%-22268.9%Tresean Gore32.0%+18734.8%No Value
Piera vs Ketlen🟡Piera Rodriguez68.0%-19566.1%Ketlen Souza32.0%+16537.7%No Value
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Event Results Summary

15
Total Fights
3
Knockouts
2
Submissions
2
Fight Bonuses

Accuracy of our Picks

Note: Flat 1.00 unit per pick regardless of odds. Profits for favorites use 1u risk.

Overall Summary (Optimal + Moderate)

86%
Prediction Accuracy (Overall)
6
Correct Predictions (Overall)
7
Total Setup Fights
+2.94
Betting Units (Overall)
75%
Prediction Accuracy
3
Correct Predictions
4
Optimal Setup Fights
+1.54
Betting Units (P&L)

Our AI-powered MMA analytics model evaluated only the optimal setup fights (both fighters with 5+ UFC bouts). We correctly predicted 3 out of 4 outcomes for UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park, achieving a 75% accuracy and a total of +1.54 units based on closing odds where available.

Correct Predictions (Optimal)

Esteban Ribovics vs Elves Brener
Predicted: Esteban Ribovics (68%) ✓ Won | -260 odds | +0.38u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Predicted: Neil Magny (58%) ✓ Won | +170 odds | +1.70u
Result: KO/TKO - Punches from Back Control
Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore
Predicted: Rodolfo Vieira (55%) ✓ Won | -222 odds | +0.45u
Result: Decision - Unanimous

Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)

Chris Duncan vs Mateusz Rębecki
Predicted: Mateusz Rębecki (58%) ✗ Lost | -1.00u
Result: Decision - Unanimous

Moderate Risk Picks Summary

100%
Prediction Accuracy (Moderate)
3
Correct Predictions (Moderate)
3
Moderate Setup Fights
+1.40
Betting Units (Moderate)
Total Units (Moderate): +1.40u
Tatsuro Taira vs Hyun Sung Park
Pick: Tatsuro Taira (-330) | +0.30u
Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle
Pick: Karol Rosa (-171) | +0.58u
Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza
Pick: Piera Rodriguez (-195) | +0.51u

Event Recap & Highlights

Taira Continues His Unstoppable Ascent

In the main event, rising star Tatsuro Taira demonstrated once again why he is considered one of the most dangerous prospects in the flyweight division, securing an impressive second-round submission victory over Hyun Sung Park. After a competitive first round, Taira took the fight to the ground, where his elite grappling proved too much for Park. With a fluid transition, Taira locked in a face crank that left his opponent with no choice but to tap, maintaining his undefeated record and sending a clear message to the rest of the division.

A Night of Wars and Spectacular Finishes

The card was packed with action, highlighted by two bouts that earned "Fight of the Night" honors. Chris Duncan and Mateusz Rębecki delivered a relentless, back-and-forth three-round battle, while Esteban Ribovics and Elves Brener did the same in a contest that kept fans on the edge of their seats. Beyond the hard-fought decisions, the night saw several emphatic finishes. Veteran Neil Magny showcased his power by stopping Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos with punches from back mount in the second round, and Rinya Nakamura continued his knockout streak with a devastating body kick in the first round.

Fight Night Bonuses & Standout Performances

Fight of the Night: Chris Duncan vs. Mateusz Rębecki for their entertaining back-and-forth battle ($50,000 bonus to each fighter). Fight of the Night: Esteban Ribovics vs. Elves Brener for their high-volume striking marathon ($50,000 bonus to each fighter).

Memorable Performances Across the Card

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park delivered a complete evening with a mix of high-level grappling, explosive knockouts, and hard-fought decisions. Austin Bashi impressed with a quick rear-naked choke submission in the first round, while Andrey Pulyaev also finished his fight with a body kick in the second. Fighters like Karol Rosa, Kevin Vallejos, Rodolfo Vieira, and the undefeated Rafael Estevam showcased their dominance by securing victories, highlighting the depth and talent present across all divisions.

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