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UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs de Ridder - Post-Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder Poster - MMA Data Analytics
Saturday, July 26, 2025
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Etihad Arena
Event Completed12 Fights3 Fight Bonuses
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: 2:00 PM ET

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs de Ridder - Complete Results & Analysis

Post-Fight Analytics & Performance Breakdown

Complete UFC Fight results and post-fight analysis for Whittaker vs de Ridder featuring comprehensive performance breakdowns, fight statistics, and detailed MMA analytics. Our platform provides complete UFC fight results with technical analysis, performance metrics, and prediction accuracy assessment for the Abu Dhabi Fight Night card.

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs de Ridder - Fight Results & Analysis

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

Main Event
Middleweight🟡
Robert Whittaker

Robert Whittaker

"The Reaper"

26-9-0

VS
-140 / +120
Decision - Split
Scorecards: 47-48 (Whittaker), 48-47 (de Ridder), 48-47 (de Ridder)
R5 5:00
Light Heavyweight🟡
Nikita Krylov

Nikita Krylov

"The Miner"

30-11-0

VS
-195 / +170
KO/TKO
Punches to Head On Ground
R1 4:18
Bogdan Guskov

Bogdan Guskov*

"Czarevitch"

18-3-0

Fight of the Night
Middleweight🟢
Shara Magomedov

Shara Magomedov

"Bullet"

16-1-0

VS
-650 / +475
Decision - Unanimous
Scorecards: 30-27, 30-27, 30-27
R3 5:00
Marc-André Barriault

Marc-André Barriault

"PowerBar"

17-10-0

Bantamweight🟡
Petr Yan

Petr Yan

"No Mercy"

19-5-0

VS
-380 / +315
Decision - Unanimous
Scorecards: 29-28, 29-28, 29-28
R3 5:00
Marcus McGhee

Marcus McGhee*

"The Maniac"

10-2-0

Women's Strawweight🟢
VS
-185 / +160
KO/TKO
Elbow to Head In Clinch
R2 2:59
Tabatha Ricci

Tabatha Ricci

"Baby Shark"

12-3-0

Bantamweight🟢
Bryce Mitchell

Bryce Mitchell

"Thug Nasty"

18-2-0

VS
-125 / +105
Decision - Unanimous
Scorecards: 29-28, 29-28, 29-28
R3 5:00
Flyweight🔴
Asu Almabayev

Asu Almabayev

"Zulfikar"

19-2-0

VS
-104 / -116
Decision - Unanimous
Scorecards: 30-27, 30-27, 29-28
R3 5:00
Jose Ochoa

Jose Ochoa**

"Kalzifer"

8-2-0

Light Heavyweight🔴
Ibo Aslan

Ibo Aslan**

"The Last Ottoman"

14-3-0

VS
-250 / +210
Decision - Unanimous
Scorecards: 30-27, 30-27, 29-28
R3 5:00
Performance of the Night
Welterweight🔴
Carlos Leal

Carlos Leal**

"The Lion"

22-7-0

VS
-500 / +375
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R1 0:42
Muslim Salikhov

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"

22-5-0

Bantamweight🟢
Da'Mon Blackshear

Da'Mon Blackshear

"Da Monster"

17-8-1

VS
-320 / +270
Decision - Unanimous
Scorecards: 29-28, 29-28, 29-28
R3 5:00
Davey Grant

Davey Grant

"Dangerous"

15-7-0

Performance of the Night
Featherweight🔴
Mohammad Yahya

Mohammad Yahya**

"The UAE Warrior"

12-6-0

VS
+270 / -320
KO/TKO
Doctor Stoppage - Eye Injury
R2 5:00
Steven Nguyen

Steven Nguyen**

"The Ninja"

10-2-0

Heavyweight🔴
Martin Buday

Martin Buday

"Badys"

16-2-0

VS
+250 / -300
Decision - Unanimous
Scorecards: 29-28, 29-28, 29-28
R3 5:00
Marcus Almeida

Marcus Almeida**

"Buchecha"

5-2-0

Event Results Summary

12
Total Fights
4
Knockouts
0
Submissions
2
Fight Bonuses

Accuracy of our Picks

50%
Prediction Accuracy
2
Correct Predictions
4
Optimal Setup Fights
-0.15
Betting Units (P&L)

Our AI-powered MMA analytics model correctly predicted 2 out of 4 fight outcomes for the UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder optimal setup bouts, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. With proper odds calculation, we finished with a -0.15 unit loss for this event. These were fights where both fighters had sufficient UFC experience for reliable statistical analysis.

Correct Predictions (2) | +1.85 Units

Shara Magomedov vs Marc-André Barriault
Predicted: Magomedov (82%) ✓ Won: Magomedov | +0.15 Units (-650 odds)
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant
Predicted: Grant (65%) ✓ Won: Grant | +1.70 Units (+270 odds)
Result: Decision - Unanimous

Incorrect Predictions (2) | -2 Units

Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci
Predicted: Ribas (52%) ✗ Won: Ricci | -1 Unit (-185 odds)
Result: KO/TKO - Round 2
Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov
Predicted: Said (58%) ✗ Won: Mitchell | -1 Unit (-105 odds)
Result: Decision - Unanimous

Betting Unit System: Each pick represents 1 unit. Actual odds determine profit/loss. Total P&L: +1.85 (wins) - 2 (losses) = -0.15 units

These 4 optimal setup fights featured fighters with sufficient UFC experience for reliable analysis. Despite a 50% accuracy rate, the betting unit system resulted in a net loss due to the heavy favorite Magomedov (-650) providing minimal profit despite winning.

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Robert vs Reinier🟡Robert Whittaker58.0%-14058.3%Reinier de Ridder42.0%+12045.5%Aligned
Nikita vs Bogdan🟡Nikita Krylov68.0%-19566.1%Bogdan Guskov32.0%+17037.0%Aligned
Shara vs Marc-André🟢Shara Magomedov82.0%-65086.7%Marc-André Barriault18.0%+47517.4%Aligned
Petr vs Marcus🟡Petr Yan78.0%-38079.2%Marcus McGhee22.0%+31524.1%Aligned
Amanda vs Tabatha🟢Amanda Ribas52.0%-18564.9%Tabatha Ricci48.0%+16038.5%Ricci +9.5%
Bryce vs Said🟢Bryce Mitchell42.0%-12555.6%Said Nurmagomedov58.0%+10548.8%Nurmagomedov +9.2%
Da'Mon vs Davey🟢Da'Mon Blackshear58.0%-32076.2%Davey Grant42.0%+27027.0%Grant +15.0%
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Event Recap & Highlights

De Ridder Edges Whittaker in Tactical Main Event

The main event of UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder delivered a highly anticipated clash of styles, with Reinier de Ridder securing a hard-fought split decision victory over Robert Whittaker. In a strategic five-round affair, De Ridder's grappling and control proved just enough to sway two of the three judges, handing Whittaker a rare defeat and solidifying De Ridder's position at the top of the middleweight division. The fight was a chess match, with both fighters showcasing their elite skills, but De Ridder's ability to implement his game plan ultimately made the difference.

Explosive Finishes Light Up the Card

The card featured thrilling stoppages including Bogdan Guskov's devastating first-round TKO over Nikita Krylov, Muslim Salikhov's 42-second knockout of Carlos Leal, Tabatha Ricci's second-round TKO via elbow over Amanda Ribas, and Steven Nguyen's TKO victory via doctor stoppage. These explosive finishes showcased the finishing ability across multiple divisions.

Fight Night Bonuses & Standout Performances

Fight of the Night: Shara Magomedov vs. Marc-André Barriault for their entertaining back-and-forth battle. Performance of the Night: Muslim Salikhov for his spectacular 42-second knockout and Steven Nguyen for his technical performance leading to the doctor stoppage victory.

Memorable Night in Abu Dhabi

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder provided an action-packed evening with diverse outcomes across eight different weight classes. The event highlighted the depth of talent in the UFC, with both established veterans like Petr Yan and rising stars making significant statements. From the strategic main event to the explosive preliminary card finishes, the night offered something for every fight fan, reinforcing the excitement and unpredictability of mixed martial arts.

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