Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado
Men's Welterweight Bout • UFC 327
Saturday, April 11, 2026 • Kaseya Center, Miami
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Charles Radtke
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Francisco Prado
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
📋 Last 5 Fights - Charles Radtke
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Daniel Frunza | W | Submission - Rear Naked Choke (R3, 4:29) |
| 2025-05-10 | Mike Malott | L | KO - Left Hook + Ground Punches (R2, 0:26) |
| 2024-11-09 | Matthew Semelsberger | W | KO - Punches (R1, 0:51) |
| 2024-06-08 | Carlos Prates | L | KO - Knee to Body (R1, 4:47) |
| 2024-02-03 | Gilbert Urbina | W | KO - Left Hook (R1, 4:47) |
📋 Last 5 Fights - Francisco Prado
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-19 | Nikolay Veretennikov | L | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2025-02-08 | Jake Matthews | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-02-24 | Daniel Zellhuber | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-07-15 | Ottman Azaitar | W | KO - Ground & Pound (R1, 4:05) |
| 2023-02-11 | Jamie Mullarkey | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (64.0 vs 65.0) and Grappling Composite (50.0 vs 58.0). Balances overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Visual comparison of key performance metrics between both fighters
📊 Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🧩 Charles Radtke Key Advantages
Radtke's 72.7% finish rate with 5 KO/TKO victories demonstrates legitimate one-punch power that keeps opponents honest. His first-round knockouts — including the 51-second destruction of Matthew Semelsberger and the KO of Gilbert Urbina — show he can end fights instantly when he finds openings. This power creates a constant threat that forces Prado to respect his hands, potentially limiting the Argentine's willingness to close distance aggressively. Radtke's ability to finish fights early (average fight time 08:15) means Prado must survive the most dangerous phases of the opening rounds.
Radtke's 60% takedown defense and ability to disengage from grappling exchanges keeps the fight standing where his power and reach advantage (72" vs 69") give him the edge. Against a fighter who carries 6 career submission wins, keeping the fight off the mat is critical. Radtke's superior UFC experience (4-2 vs 1-4) also helps him read and respond to grappling setups, forcing Prado to engage in striking exchanges where the American's KO power and accuracy dominate.
Radtke's 44% striking accuracy compared to Prado's 42% creates a 2-point efficiency edge, but more importantly Radtke generates 4.10 SLpM output with 3.50 strikes absorbed vs Prado's 4.90 SApM. Prado actually lands more but absorbs significantly more damage than Radtke — in a striking contest, Radtke wins the damage differential. His precision combined with KO power means every landed strike carries weight, forcing Prado to fight carefully on the feet.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
If Prado gets the fight to the mat, his elite submission game (6 career sub wins) poses severe danger. The Argentine's finishing instinct means any ground scramble or clinch exchange carries submission risk. Prado has never been stopped in his career, showing elite durability — Radtke's path to a finish requires keeping it standing and landing his power shots cleanly.
Radtke has been knocked out three times in his career, including recent losses to Carlos Prates (R1, 4:47, knee to body) and Mike Malott (R2, 0:26, left hook). His 48% striking defense leaves meaningful openings for clean shots, and his aggressive, pressure-forward style can leave him exposed to counters. At 35, chin durability is an increasingly relevant concern against a 23-year-old who hits with legitimate knockout power.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Radtke's optimal strategy is straightforward: keep the fight on the feet and apply forward pressure. His reach advantage (72" vs 69") lets him control range and land his power shots cleanly. By pushing forward with measured aggression, Radtke can back Prado against the cage and limit his ability to set up clinch work and scrambles. His 44% striking accuracy gives him an edge in precision striking exchanges.
Radtke should target body shots to drain Prado's cardio and discourage aggressive charges. When Prado does attempt clinch entries, Radtke can use his 3-inch reach advantage and footwork to create distance and punish with uppercuts and hooks on the way out. His 3 career submission wins show he's not helpless in grappling exchanges — but his real weapon is the KO threat on the feet.
🚀 Francisco Prado Key Advantages
Prado has never been finished in his career and has stopped all 12 of his opponents — 6 by KO/TKO and 6 by submission. His finishing instinct is elite, with 9 of 12 wins coming in Round 1. While his UFC stats show he's been challenged by high-level competition (1-4 record), his submission arsenal remains dangerous in any scramble or clinch situation. If Prado gets the fight to the mat, his 6 career submission wins demonstrate a diverse finishing repertoire.
At just 23 years old compared to Radtke's 35, Prado carries a massive 12-year youth advantage that manifests in recovery speed, durability, and the ability to maintain pace in later rounds. His 5'10" frame gives him a 1-inch height advantage over Radtke (5'9"), allowing him to use range effectively. While Radtke holds a 3-inch reach advantage (72" vs 69"), Prado's equal leg reach (41" vs 40") and superior athleticism at this stage of their careers is a key differentiator.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Prado is 1-4 in the UFC with all four losses coming by decision — he hasn't been able to impose his finishing game at the highest level consistently. If the fight stays standing and becomes a gritty 3-round contest, Radtke's UFC experience advantage (6 fights vs 5) and more reliable striking accuracy could earn him the win on the scorecards. Prado's 42% striking accuracy (vs Radtke's 44%) puts him at a disadvantage in pure striking exchanges.
Prado's 42% striking accuracy and 55% striking defense leave him vulnerable during the standing exchanges. Radtke has finished 5 fights in the first round — if he catches Prado early, the power differential could end things before the Argentine finds his rhythm. At 4.90 strikes absorbed per minute, Prado eats more damage than he dishes when the fight stays standing.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Prado's optimal strategy is to stay aggressive and look for the finish early. At 23, his explosiveness and durability are assets — he should look to close the distance through striking exchanges to initiate clinch work where his submission game can come into play. Rather than shooting from distance against Radtke, Prado should use his 5'10" frame and length to set up clinch entries and drag the fight to the mat through scrambles.
Prado should avoid prolonged firefights in the first round when Radtke is most dangerous (5 R1 finishes). By using his height advantage (5'10" vs 5'9") and movement to stay at range early, Prado can weather Radtke's initial power storm and look to take over as the fight extends. At 23 vs 35, the youth differential becomes more pronounced as the rounds progress — Prado's superior athleticism is a long-term asset in this matchup.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Cage Dynamics
The 30-foot octagon creates a dynamic that initially favors Radtke's striking approach, providing space to circle and pick shots while avoiding Prado's clinch entries. Radtke's 72" reach vs Prado's 69" gives him a meaningful 3-inch range advantage to work behind his jab and maintain distance. Radtke's 44% striking accuracy benefits from the larger cage where he can set his feet and throw with full power. Prado at 5'10" has a 1-inch height advantage for setting up clinch work, and his explosive athleticism at 23 could help him close distance effectively.
📈Statistical Profile
The statistical profile reveals a clash of experience vs. youth with finishing ability on both sides. Radtke's advantages lie in UFC experience (6 fights, 4-2 record), reach (72" vs 69"), and KO power (72.7% finish rate). Prado counters with superior youth (23 vs 35), a 100% career finish rate (12-0 finishes), and 4.10 SLpM output. Prado absorbs more damage (4.90 SApM vs 3.50), which is a concern if the fight becomes a striker's brawl. The fight outcome hinges on early aggression: Radtke is dangerous from the opening bell, while Prado's youth and finishing instinct become more relevant as the rounds progress.
⚔️Key Battlegrounds
Three critical factors will determine the outcome: early finish potential, standing vs. grappling balance, and cardio management. Early rounds favor Radtke where his power is most dangerous (5 career R1 finishes), but Prado's 23 vs 35 youth advantage and 100% career finish rate mean he's dangerous whenever the fight hits the mat. Prado has never been stopped in his professional career — Radtke must be precise with his power shots. If the fight reaches the third round with no finish, Prado's athleticism and youth advantage becomes the deciding factor.
🎲Outcome Distribution
The most likely outcome is Radtke by KO/TKO (30%), achieved through his power advantage and early aggression. Prado's primary path is by Submission (20%) if he can get the fight to the mat and deploy his proven finishing arsenal. Radtke by Decision (18%) reflects a grinding 3-round contest where experience edges out youth. Prado by Decision (15%) shows a scenario where his 23-year-old athleticism wears down the veteran Radtke. The 55-45 split reflects how closely matched these fighters are despite Prado's youth advantage.
✅Why Charles Radtke Wins
- • Reach advantage (72" vs 69") controls range
- • Superior striking accuracy (44% vs 42%)
- • KO power with 72.7% finish rate
- • UFC experience edge (4-2 vs 1-4)
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Prado's 100% career finish rate and submission arsenal
- • Age disadvantage (35 vs 23) significantly affects late-round cardio
- • 3 career KO losses raise chin durability concerns
🏁Executive Summary
This welterweight bout pits 35-year-old veteran Charles Radtke's knockout power and UFC experience (4-2) against 23-year-old Argentine finisher Francisco Prado, who carries a 100% career finish rate but a difficult 1-4 UFC record. Radtke's reach advantage (72" vs 69") and superior striking accuracy (44% vs 42%) give him the edge on the feet. Radtke's 72.7% finish rate and 5 first-round finishes make him dangerous from the opening bell. Prado has never been stopped in his career and owns 6 career submission wins — any scramble or clinch situation carries submission danger. At 12 years younger, Prado's athleticism and durability become more decisive as rounds accumulate.
Prediction: Radtke by KO/TKO is the most likely outcome (30%) through his power advantage and early aggression — he's landed 5 first-round finishes in his career. If the fight extends past two rounds, Prado's 12-year youth advantage and finishing instinct become increasingly relevant. The 55-45 split reflects a genuinely competitive matchup where early rounds favor the veteran and late rounds favor the young Argentine finisher.