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UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, May 2, 2026
Perth, Western Australia, Australia
RAC Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event1 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
PT (Local)
Las Vegas (PT shown)
Early
2:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
5:00 PM
Prelims
6:00 PM
Main
8:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
10:00 PM
Prelims
11:00 PM
Main
1:00 AM (Sun)
CET
Central Europe
Early
11:00 PM
Prelims
12:00 AM (Sun)
Main
2:00 AM (Sun)
AEST
Australia (East)
Early
9:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
10:00 AM (Sun)
Main
12:00 PM (Sun)
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What is UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates?

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates is a mixed martial arts event scheduled for May 2, 2026, at the RAC Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main event features Sean Brady taking on Joaquin Buckley in a Welterweight bout. Brady enters with an 18-2 record and is known for his elite grappling and relentless wrestling pressure. Buckley holds a 21-7 record and is a dangerous knockout artist with explosive striking power. This classic grappler vs. striker matchup promises fireworks. The event airs on Paramount+ with the main card starting at 5:00 PM ET. The undercard includes several competitive matchups across multiple weight classes.

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What are the predictions for Della Maddalena vs. Prates?

MMA Analytics uses a five-model machine learning ensemble (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, Logistic Regression, and a Siamese Neural Network) to generate fight predictions. The model analyzes 45 SHAP-selected features and achieves 67.6% accuracy on held-out test data. For each fight on the UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates card, the system produces win probabilities, method-of-victory likelihoods, and confidence metrics, comparing model probabilities against market odds to identify potential value bets. All predictions are generated from historical fighter performance data, matchup dynamics, and physical attributes without human editorial bias.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates takes place on Saturday, April 25, 2026. The main card begins at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM GMT / 9:00 AM AEDT Sunday) on Paramount+. The preliminary card starts approximately two hours earlier on Paramount+. The event is held at the RAC Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates — Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (RAC Arena)

Advanced UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates analysis for Della Maddalena vs. Prates featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a championship main event.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event
🟢
Jack Della Maddalena
Welterweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
No picks yet
Carlos Prates

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Maddalena vs Prates🟢Jack Della Maddalena50.0%N/A—Carlos Prates50.0%N/A—
Prates +50.0%

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