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Welterweight#12 RankedACTIVE
Geoff Neal

Geoff Neal

16-7
Age
35
Height
5'11"
Weight
171 lbs
Reach
75"
Avg Fight Time
09:52
Gym
Fortis MMA
UFC Record
8-5(13 bouts)
Wins By
5 KO 1 Sub 2 Dec
Losses By
1 KO 1 Sub 3 Dec
Wins by Rd
R1 3R2 2R3 3
Last 5
LWLLW
Finish Rate
75%
Bonuses
3
Style
Striker
Location
Austin, United States
Next Fight2026-02-21
UM
vs Uros Medic
Opponent Last Bout
W - Muslim SalikhovKO/TKOR1 1:19· Punch to Head At Distance

Fight History

LOSS
UM
vs Uros Medic
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez· 2025-09-27
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 1:19
WIN
VL
vs Vicente Luque
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill· 2025-09-27
KO/TKOPunches to Head At Distance·R3 2:01
LOSS
NM
vs Neil Magny
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
ST
vs Stephen Thompson
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous·R5 5:00
WIN
BM
vs Belal Muhammad
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
BC
vs Brian Camozzi
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros· 2025-09-27
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 2:48
LOSS
CP
vs Carlos Prates
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev· 2025-08-16
KO/TKOSpinning Back Elbow to Head At Distance·R1 4:59
WIN
RD
vs Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway· 2024-10-26
KO/TKOto Dos Anjos leg injury·R1 1:30
LOSS
IM
vs Ian Machado Garry
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria· 2024-02-17
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
SR
vs Shavkat Rakhmonov
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane· 2023-03-04
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R3 4:17
WIN
SP
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier· 2021-12-11
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
MP
vs Mike Perry
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington· 2019-12-14
KO/TKOPunches to Head At Distance·R1 1:30
WIN
NP
vs Niko Price
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar· 2019-07-27
KO/TKOPunches to Head From Guard·R2 2:39
WIN
FC
vs Frank Camacho
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till· 2018-09-08
KO/TKOKick to Head At Distance·R2 1:23
Fighter Archetype
Technical Striker
Outside Fighter
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
5.0/min
Grappling
0.54 TD
Defense
57%
⚖️Geoff adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
🧬Competent across all ranges — 51% striking and 45% TD accuracy
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

Striking Foundation
22 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique

Jabs

Core of offensive identity

Dominant Level+63% vs div avg
64%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance

Knees

#2
59%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance

Head Kicks

#3
55%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
🦵Leg Strike
Leg Kicks
50%
🤼Clinch
Elbows
36%
Other
Spinning
36%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
2× detected
Clinch → Takedown
2× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
  • Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Jabs (64%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
  • Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
  • Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
  • Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (123%) of offensive output.
  • Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 264% of offense - limited but refined.
  • Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
  • Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.

Finish Techniques

Striking Finishes
5
83% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
1
17% of career finishes
Knockout Arsenal (4 techniques)
Punches to Head At Distance
#1
2
40% of KOs
Kick to Head At Distance
#2
1
20% of KOs
Punches to Head From Guard
#3
1
20% of KOs
to At Distance Dos Anjos leg injury
#4
1
20% of KOs
🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)
From Back Control
Rear Naked Choke
#1
1
100% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
  • ⚡ Striking finisher: 83% of career finishes via knockout/TKO. Devastating striking power and end-game precision.
  • 🎯💥 KO arsenal: Punches to Head At Distance leads with 2 finishes. Multiple KO paths available.
  • 🔒🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Rear Naked Choke (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
  • 🎪📊 Style profile: Striking-heavy approach with submission upside. Prefers to end fights on feet.

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

🥊
Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.
⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (4/100). Opponents exploit this.
🔥
Finisher: 75% of wins end in finish (10 KO + 2 subs).
🚫
Anti-wrestler: 88% TD defense. Keeps fights standing.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy
51%
Average
Division Rank#15 of 54
0%100%
Striking Defense
57%
Above Avg
Division Rank#15 of 54
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
49% acc82%
Clinch
64% acc11%
Ground
70% acc7%
Striking Differential-0.43/min
5.05 landed/min5.48 absorbed/min
5.05
Landed/Min
5.48
Absorbed/Min
0.98
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed697
Sig. Strikes Attempted1365

Key Insights

Geoff is a distance-first striker, with 82% of output at range.

Primarily a headhunter with 85% targeting the head.

Utilizes an effective jab.

Distance-dominant: 82% of output at range with 49% accuracy.

Elite KD exchange: deals 4.5x more knockdowns than absorbed.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy
45%
Average
Division Rank#16 of 54
0%100%
TD Defense
88%
Elite
Division Rank#8 of 54
0%100%
TD Success Rate
45%(est)
Landed
5
Defended
6
Total
11
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
0.54
TD / 15min
0.11
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
11
TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Clinch Takedowns
10
Landed
22
Attempted
46%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
1 total attempts
Early Hunter
R1
100%
R2
0%
R3
0%

Key Insights

Elite TD defense (88%).

Submission timing: "Early Hunter" — most active early.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
1,394
0.92
Ratio
Absorbed
1,512
Chin Rating
Good
KD Exchange
18/4
KD Recovery
50%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
27.2
Moderate
Strikes/Min
4.8
Standing %
87%
R3 vs R1 Output
103%
Steady

Key Insights

⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.92x) - absorbs more than deals.

🎯 Effective knockdown technician - deals significantly more than absorbs.

⚙️ High engagement score (27.2) - maintains relentless pace.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 13 fights
R1 Control
0:40
R2 Control
0:40
R3 Control
0:30
R1 to Final
+6%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+9.2pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+9.2pp
Body
-2.1pp
Leg
-7.3pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-4.0pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
💪 Peak performance in final round
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Championship Rounds
Based on 1 five-round fight
Rounds 1-3 Avg
21.9
sig strikes / round
Rounds 4-5 Avg
24.0
sig strikes / round
Output Change
109%
R4-5 vs R1-3
Maintains Output

Competitive Profile

Division Rankings
Performance metrics ranked within division
Volume
#11
of 54
🥇 Top 25%
Absorption
#47
of 54
📉 Below Average
Accuracy
#15
of 54
🥈 Top 50%
Str Defense
#15
of 54
🥈 Top 50%
Knockdowns
#5
of 54
🥇 Top 25%
Takedowns
#43
of 54
📉 Below Average
Submissions
#33
of 54
🥉 Mid-range
Damage Ratio
#43
of 54
📉 Below Average
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
3065
Championship
Career-wide opponent strength
Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)
2
/ 10
20% Win Rate

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights
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